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Business
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Title: U.S. Retail Sales, Industrial Output Exceed Forecasts as Recovery Quickens
Source: Bloomberg
URL Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news? ... 0601087&sid=aOBOoQxCyBac&pos=4
Published: May 14, 2010
Author: By Timothy R. Homan and Courtney Schliss
Post Date: 2010-05-14 12:21:58 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 1433
Comments: 13

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- Retail sales and industrial production in the U.S. climbed more than forecast in April, indicating the economic recovery gained momentum at the start of the second quarter.

Sales increased 0.4 percent last month after a 2.1 percent gain in March that was larger than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Production rose 0.8 percent, the most in three months, the Federal Reserve said.

Another report showed consumer sentiment improved in May following four straight months of payroll gains, suggesting Americans will keep shopping at retailers including Home Depot Inc. and J.C. Penney Co. Factories are cranking up assembly lines and hiring to meet rising demand at home and abroad, helping to sustain the expansion of the world’s largest economy.

“We’re seeing a broadening of the recovery,” said Brian Bethune, chief U.S. financial economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts, who correctly forecast the gain in industrial production. “Consumers are still engaged. There is some pent-up demand out there.”

Stocks fell and Treasury securities rose as concern about the impact of Europe’s debt crisis overshadowed signs of improvement in the U.S. economy. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 2.2 percent to 1,131.77 at 11:50 a.m. in New York. The 10- year Treasury note rose, pushing down the yield 10 basis points to 3.43 percent.

Retail sales, which have increased seven straight months, were forecast to rise 0.2 percent, according to the median estimate of 83 economists in a Bloomberg News survey.

Not as Broad-based

The April gain wasn’t as broad-based as in prior months, which may reflect the influence of an early Easter. More holiday-related shopping probably took place in March at the expense of April. After revisions, the March rise in purchases matched the increase last August as the biggest since January 2006.

Six of 13 major categories showed gains in sales last month. Sales at building-material stores such as Home Depot rose 6.9 percent in April after a 7.8 percent gain, the best two- month performance on record going back to 1992.

Purchases of automobiles rose 0.5 percent, counter to industry figures which showed a drop. Spending at service stations, health-care stores and restaurants also climbed.

Excluding autos, gasoline and building materials, which are the figures used to calculate gross domestic product, sales decreased 0.2 percent, the first drop since July.

Labor Market

One reason for the spending gains may be that the labor- market recovery is accelerating. Payrolls increased by 290,000 in April, the most in four years, according to figures from the Labor Department last week.

Americans were less pessimistic about the labor market, helping lift consumer sentiment in early May, according to a Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan report. The index of confidence rose to 73.3 from an April reading of 72.2.

The Fed’s report today showed output at factories, mines and utilities climbed last month after a 0.2 percent gain in March. Production at manufacturers rose 1 percent for a second month.

“The manufacturing sector continues to sort of lead the way in the recovery,” said Julia Coronado, a senior economist at BNP Paribas in New York. Factories are “benefitting from the upswing in the inventory cycle, recovering global trade and the upswing in consumer spending,” she said.

Economists forecast industrial production would increase 0.7 percent in April, according to the median of 81 projections in a Bloomberg survey. The April gain was the biggest since a 1.2 percent jump in January.

Capacity Utilization

The Fed’s report showed capacity utilization, which measures the amount of a plant that is in use, rose to 73.7 percent last month, the highest since November 2008, from 73.1 percent in March. The gauge averaged 80 over the past 20 years and suggests inflation remains low.

Utility output decreased 1.3 percent in April, while mining production, which includes oil drilling, rose 1.4 percent.

Production of business equipment increased 1 percent after a 1.1 percent gain in March. Output of computers, electrical equipment and appliances increased last month.

Consumer goods production rose 0.2 percent in April. Motor vehicle and parts production declined 2.2 percent last month after a 1.9 percent rise.

Manufacturers, which make up about 12 percent of the economy, are benefiting from gains in business spending and expanding global economies.

Cisco Sales

Cisco Systems Inc., the world’s biggest provider of networking equipment, this week forecast a 25 percent to 28 percent increase in fourth-quarter revenue. Sales in the fiscal third quarter, which ended May 1, rose 27 percent.

The recovery is “accelerating,” Chief Executive Officer John Chambers said on a May 12 conference call. “I’d say now almost without exception, most people are beginning to slowly turn cautiously optimistic.”

Caterpillar Inc., the world’s biggest construction equipment maker, expects sales to increase this year as exports rebound, Chief Executive Officer Jim Owens said May 5. The company said last month it has added about 1,500 jobs since year-end because of higher production volume, including 600 in the U.S.

“We’re seeing a very sharp recovery in 2010,” Owens said in an interview in Washington. “Exports by the end of the year will be close to record levels.”

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 12.

#1. To: Brian S (#0)

“We’re seeing a very sharp recovery in 2010,” Owens said in an interview in Washington

Easy to say if you have a job, and haven't been thrown out of your home via foreclosure.

Badeye  posted on  2010-05-14   12:23:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: Badeye (#1)

Easy to say if you have a job, and haven't been thrown out of your home via foreclosure.

It sounds like third rate small businesses run by absentee owners aren't doing so well.

Skip Intro  posted on  2010-05-14   14:56:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: Skip Intro, Abu el Banat (#11)

Boofer 2005: My business is doing so great I can play on the internet ALL DAY!!!!

Boofer 2010: My business is doing so poorly I can play on the internet ALL DAY!!!!

war  posted on  2010-05-14   17:15:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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