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United States News
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Title: Truth, Conspiracy, or SNAFU -- YOU Decide
Source: Lew Rockwell
URL Source: https://www.lewrockwell.com/2020/07 ... onspiracy-or-snafu-you-decide/
Published: Jul 25, 2020
Author: L. Reichard White
Post Date: 2020-07-25 03:15:58 by Deckard
Keywords: None
Views: 790
Comments: 3

We will not escape from this misery until the Government has been forced to admit that it made a foolish mistake and over-reacted wildly to Covid-19. –The BBC’s Peter Hitchens

A snowball’s chance in the hot place comes to mind. Rather than waiting for that ice water, as usual, we’ll have to straighten this out for ourselves.

So, do you believe COVID-19 will kill you? And will the economy re-open? The two answers are joined at the hip.

Because it’s not so much the virus that needs to be brought under control, it’s the establishment narrative, fake news and urban myth about the virus.

Let’s get that truth nailed-down right now.

First the context we get from this:C.D.C. estimates 24,000 to 62,000 U.S. flu deaths occurred [in the ~six months] from Oct 1, 2019 thru March 21, 2020.

An estimate when the actual data exists? What would it be for a full year? And with a range of 38,000, it’s clear they didn’t bother to actually do a tally. Why don’t they keep their numbers up-to-the-minute? So where did their numbers come from?

They use computer simulations — but why use simulations instead of tallying data that already exists? What about the COVID-19 numbers they’re feeding us?

Indeed, all the constantly changing scare projections are done with computer simulations appropriately called “models” which must always be based on programming assumptions. That’s why some nerds call them “technical fiction.”

…people who work with models always tend to overestimate their models, They come to believe models are real and forget they are only models.–polymath Freeman Dyson www.nytimes.com

Unfortunately there’s a lot more to this than just over-confidence in computer models.

First and possibly most egregious – – – there are so many “egregious” it’s hard to rank them – – – is the way the political/bureaucratic/pseudo-scientific/newsie Blob steadfastly confuses “infections” with “cases.” Like this for example – – –

The United States marked a record number of coronavirus cases Friday for the third consecutive day, notching 77,638 new infections in 24 hours, according to a tally by Johns Hopkins University. –US sets another virus record with 77,638 new cases: Johns Hopkins |

So, are they cases or are they infections? In the real scientific world, things simply aren’t done that way. In his letter to German Chancellor Angela Merkel, thoroughly credentialled virologest Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi put it like this – – –

“In infectiology — founded by Robert Koch himself — a traditional distinction is made between infection and disease. An illness requires a clinical manifestation. [1] Therefore, only patients with symptoms such as fever or cough should be included in the statistics as new cases. In other words, a new infection — as measured by the COVID-19 test — does not necessarily mean that we are dealing with a newly ill patient who needs a hospital bed.”

Bottom Line: A case reqires an infection but an infection is not a case.

With any disease — seasonal flu for example — there are always infected folks with mild or no recognized symptoms who don’t enter the medical system. They’re called “asymptomatic” but the newsies etc. pretend it’s new with COVID-19 and scary.

But to heck with the newsies, keeping in mind that infections are not cases, let’s see if the politicians and health bureaucrats stick to Koch’s basic science – – –

In a Commissioners Court hearing for Collin County [Texas] on May 18th, it was revealed that while previously the determination of a Covid “case” was a confirmed test result, the definition was suddenly changed to count “probable” cases as “cases.” … Even worse, once a “probable” case was determined based on possibly unrelated subjective criteria, up to 15 people in possible contact with that “probable” case were also listed as “probable cases.” And “probable cases” were considered cases.Is the Texas Covid ‘Spike’ Fake News?, By Ron Paul [bolding emphasis added]

So, by calling “confirmed test results” — which only indicates an infection — “cases,” even before The Blob gets out the gate it’s already completely off the infectiology reservation. Worse according to The Blob — and now flying in the face of Koch’s scientific baseline at MACH 2 — apparently if you say hello in person to someone who was probably infected, you’re automatically escalated right through “infected,” and directly into a “case” yourself as are up to 14 other friendly folks.

So even POSSIBLE infections have been escalated into full-blown “cases.” The more testing, the more infections you’ll find — but you call themcases” too. So if you’re wondering where all these “spikes” are coming from, now you know. They’re being mostly defined and imagined into existence.

To paraphrase Stalin, “It’s not the infections, cases and deaths that define the ‘pandemic,’ it’s those who report the infections, cases and deaths.

So now we know the official “cases” statistics, whether generated by tally or computer, are technical fiction and/or pretty much garbage.

So, unless you want to be completely misinformed, you can just about completely disregard official figures and stats so far — and those who purvey them.

Unfortunately the source of this unscientific and basically dishonest reporting goes much deeper than just “probable cases” in Collin County, Texas. It also includes reported deaths.

For example – – –

The city [New York] has added more than 3,700 additional people who were presumed to have died of the coronavirus but had never tested positive. –N.Y.C. Death Toll Soars Past 10,000 in Revised Virus Count – The New York Times [emphasis added]

Notice the word “presumed” — and “never tested positive” in the above. So the official stats admittedly include presumed coronavirus deaths as well as Collin Co’s “probable cases.” That “3,700 additional people” amounted to more than a 50% increase in reported NYC COVID-19 deaths at the time — all of them “confirmed” and/or “verified” by presumption.

And, if it can be done by presumption, what exactly do “confirmed” and/or “verified” actually mean?

Further, keeping in mind that among many other mislabeled causes of death as you’ll see, until May 26, 2020, the C.D.C.s list of symptoms for recognizing COVID-19 — and those for recognizing seasonal influenza — are almost identical. How could they tell the difference? So, how good were those presumptions anyway?

So, not only are the official “case” stats pretty much garbage, so are the official death stats. How much is “pretty much?” Stay tuned.

While this makes for exciting reportage and attention-getting politics, clearly it isn’t science and it isn’t correct.

So, “Why would Collin Co. Texas, New York City, etc. do that?” you ask?

From that same Times article – – –

The C.D.C., in its guidance to local governments, has recommended that cases of “assumed” coronavirus infection be noted on death certificates since before New York City recorded its first death on March 14. [bolding emphasis added]

So, they would do that because the C.D.C. recommended that they do. Why would the C.D.C. recommend something that seriously unscientific and misleading — and do it even before any deaths?

That’s a very interesting question you may want to keep in mind while deciding, “Truth, Conspiracy or SNAFU.”

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#1. To: Deckard, All (#0)

Truth, Conspiracy, or SNAFU -- YOU Decide

It's none of the above.

It’s just another biased trashy lewrockwell.com article.

Gatlin  posted on  2020-07-25   10:18:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Gatlin (#1)

It’s just another biased trashy lewrockwell.com article.

Classic Gatlin: Ignore the facts and shoot the messenger.

You're getting to be a regular one-trick pony, aren't you princess?

Of course the subject matter must have been too complicated for you to grok the significance.

So you hate Rockwell too? Gee, I'm shocked!

Government is in the last resort the employment of armed men, of policemen, gendarmes, soldiers, prison guards, and hangmen.
The essential feature of government is the enforcement of its decrees by beating, killing, and imprisoning.
Those who are asking for more government interference are asking ultimately for more compulsion and less freedom.

Deckard  posted on  2020-07-25   10:32:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Deckard, All (#2)

Classic Gatlin …

Yep – The one and only.

You're getting to be a regular one-trick pony, aren't you princess?

How have I played a wicked trick on you?

Of course the subject matter must have been too complicated for you to grok the significance.

It is not the subject matter.

It is the biased content of the article that I fail to “grok” the significance of.

So you hate Rockwell too?.

Nope.

I do however have great dislike for biased agenda driven articles thought.

Gee, I'm shocked!

You will get over it.

For time heals everything.

I leave you to mediate – with this …

Gatlin  posted on  2020-07-25   11:35:02 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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