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politics and politicians Title: Ted Cruz Wins Wisconsin Republican Primary (CBS NEWS) — According to the CBS News Wisconsin Republican primary exit poll: Cruz is running well across many groups of Wisconsin primary voters. He is beating Trump among men and women by about 10 percent, and he is ahead of Trump in all age groups. Trump did less well in Wisconsin among groups of voters who have been his core supporters in previous primaries. Cruz is winning among those with college degrees and among those without. They are about even among those with no more than a high school degree. Cruz does better among more affluent voters but still runs almost even with Trump among those with incomes under $50,000. Cruz runs well among those who said they are “very conservative” as he has in previous primaries, but he also edges out Trump among those who said they are “somewhat conservative.” Trump has generally beat Cruz among those who say they are somewhat conservative. Trump does lead Cruz among political moderates. As many as 34 percent of Republican primary voters say that bringing needed change is the candidate quality that most mattered in their vote decision; Cruz and Trump run neck and neck among these voters. This is better than Cruz has done in previous primaries. Cruz ran well ahead of Trump among voters who said that they want a candidate who shares their values and among those who wanted a candidate who can win in November. Sixty-five percent of Republican primary voters said they were very worried about the direction of the nation’s economy, and Cruz beat Trump among these voters. Seventy percent support a temporary ban on Muslims who are not U.S. citizens entering the country, and Cruz and Trump are very close among this group. Trump does beat Cruz among those who want to deport illegal immigrants who are not U.S. citizens, but only about one in three Republican primary voters support this position. Cruz topped Trump easily among the majority of primary voters who want to offer illegal immigrants a chance to apply for legal status. Trump did very well among the half of Republican primary voters who want the next president to be from outside the political establishment, but he only got 7 percent of the vote of those who prefer the next president to have political experience. The Republican exit poll asked voters, “If no one wins a majority of the delegates before the convention, should the party nominate the candidate with the most votes in the primaries or the candidate who the delegates think would be the best nominee?” More than half, 56 percent, said the party should nominate the candidate with the most votes. Another 42 percent said it should be the candidate who the delegates think would be the best nominee. However, this varied widely between Trump and Cruz voters. As many as 83 percent of Trump voters said the nominee should be the candidate who won the most votes in the primaries. Among Cruz supporters, 56 percent said it should be the best nominee, and 42 percent said it should be the candidate with the most votes. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 79. #11. To: ConservingFreedom, TooCpnservative, AKA Stone, vicomte13, All (#0) Barring the strange and unusual, even for this campaign, I believe that Trump will get the nomination on the first ballot. Uncommitted delegates will put him over the top.
#13. To: SOSO, nolu chan (#11) Barring the strange and unusual, even for this campaign, I believe that Trump will get the nomination on the first ballot. Uncommitted delegates will put him over the top. Cruz seems to have locked up 90%. I don't see how you can say that seriously. Cruz is also locking up significant numbers of delegate slots with his supporters, people who are bound to vote for Trump on the first (or second) ballot but who will then flock to Cruz. And Rubio is just waiting with his hoard of 172 delegates. Kasich has 54. And Bush and others have some to toss in too, for their final revenge against The Donald's sneers at them. If Rubio and Kasich and Bush and others unbind their delegates and Cruz has hundreds of unbound delegates plus about 800 of his own delegates, Cruz could win on the first ballot against Trump, outright.
#14. To: TooConservative, SOSO (#13) Cruz seems to have locked up 90%. 90% of what? Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from any possibility whatever of attaining a 1237 majority after the April 19th primary in New York. Cruz is running in third, has been there for a while, and is over 30 points behind Trump. Cruz can preach, but he can't sell his brand of snake oil in New York. Cruz is likely to be shut out in the northeast.
#18. To: nolu chan, TooConservative (#14) Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from any possibility whatever of attaining a 1237 majority after the April 19th primary in New York. It will take a lot of opium smoking to see how Cruz has a realistic chance to get 1237 on the first ballot even with the uncommitted and unbound delegates. Both CNN and Fox have been doing the math based on the current polling in the remaining 13 +/- states. There is an odds on bet that Trump will be 45 or so votes short going into the convention with about 150 uncommitted/unbound delegates to be had. Trump's chances look good to get the 45 +/- out of these that he needs. But this has been a very strange campaign year. Bottom line, IDM who gets the REP nomination as the REP Party is toast in 2016.
#22. To: SOSO, TooConservative (#18) Both CNN and Fox have been doing the math based on the current polling in the remaining 13 +/- states. There is an odds on bet that Trump will be 45 or so votes short going into the convention with about 150 uncommitted/unbound delegates to be had. I do not think current polling will have any validity when it becomes mathematically impossible for Cruz to win a majority. Wisconsin appeared good for Kasich but he was shut out in every county.
#23. To: nolu chan (#22) Both CNN and Fox have been doing the math based on the current polling in the remaining 13 +/- states. There is an odds on bet that Trump will be 45 or so votes short going into the convention with about 150 uncommitted/unbound delegates to be had. I certainly would not put any money on the predictive accuracy of the polling. Didn't one poll yesterday have Trump 10% up on Cruz in WI? But again, IDM who the REPs wind up nominating they are toast in Nov.
#62. To: SOSO (#23) But again, IDM who the REPs wind up nominating they are toast in Nov. In a vacuum, I would agree. However, the Dems need to win with somebody. Can an avowed socialist win? Can anyone assure that Hillary will survive and win after the FBI report is made? The Dem party is almost as fractured as the Rep party. This is the wackiest election season I have ever seen.
#75. To: nolu chan (#62) Can an avowed socialist win? I today's America? Hell yes!! "Can anyone assure that Hillary will survive and win after the FBI report is made?" Indictment? Are you kidding? "The Dem party is almost as fractured as the Rep party. This is the wackiest election season I have ever seen." The DRat tribe will always rally together. Hell, they even supported the likes of Dukakis, Humphrey, and McGovern. Even JFK had a "fractured" party until he selected LBJ as his running mate. DRats are very tribal animals.
#76. To: SOSO (#75) Indictment? Are you kidding? I said nothing of an indictment. The FBI report could be severely damaging whether Loretta Lynch acts on it or not. It depends on what information it publishes.
#79. To: nolu chan (#76) The FBI report could be severely damaging whether Loretta Lynch acts on it or not. It depends on what information it publishes. Who is the boss of the FBI? Who controls the entire alleged Justice Department? Who hires and fires the Feeb director?
Replies to Comment # 79. FBI DIrector's Term is 10 Years. He cannot be fired by the President, only removed by Congress. The current FBI Director is a Bush appointee.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 79. Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest |
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