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Title: National Poll: Donald Trump Remains Frontrunner, Would Lose Big Head-To Head With Ted Cruz
Source:
Breitbart
URL Source: http://www.breitbart.com/big-govern ... in-head-to-head-with-ted-cruz/
Published: Mar 8, 2016
Author: Jordan Schachte
Post Date: 2016-03-08 15:15:15 by cranky
Keywords: None
Views: 1642
Comments: 23
An ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Donald Trump leading the race to become the Republican nominee for President of the United States. However, if the field were to consolidate, the billionaire businessman would no longer be favored in a head-to-head situation, according to the survey.
The real estate mogul leads with 34 percent support nationally, followed by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) with 25 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) at 18 percent, and John Kasich rounding out the field with 13 percent, the poll results say.
“Trump’s support has essentially remained unchanged for months,” the report released with the poll said.
Both Cruz and Rubio defeat Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head scenario.
Cruz easily defeats Trump head-to-head 54-41 percent. non-Cruz or Trump supporters prefer Cruz to Trump 72-17 percent.
Among “very conservative voters,” Cruz takes down Trump 60-34 percent. Among white evangelicals, Cruz handles Trump 64-31 percent.
Rubio also defeats Trump, but by smaller margins, 51-45 percent. Non-Rubio or Trump voters favor Rubio 69-23 percent. He, like Cruz, is favored by approximately 60% of women in a head-to-head with Trump.
Only 51 percent of those surveyed felt that they would be satisfied with Trump’s nomination, and 52 percent said they view him favorably. Cruz has the highest net favorability rating at 65 percent.
The poll also surveyed Democrat voters. It found that Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) nationally, 49-42 percent.
By a 69-29 percent divide, American view the current political system as “dysfunctional,” according to the survey. Yet, only 21 percent are angry at the government.
The ABC/WaPo poll sampled 1,000 adults nationwide.(1 image)
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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 22.
This idea has yet to be tested, you just can't transfer voters because they didn't vote for Dump, what isn't at play yet is who he would choose as a VP candidate and that could be decisive
#8. To: paraclete (#7)
This idea has yet to be tested, you just can't transfer voters because they didn't vote for Dump, what isn't at play yet is who he would choose as a VP candidate and that could be decisive
What seems to be a theme among the anti-Trumps is that Trump has plateaued and as candidates drop out, Cruz picks up support while Trump stays the same.
#11. To: cranky (#8)
What seems to be a theme among the anti-Trumps is that Trump has plateaued and as candidates drop out, Cruz picks up support while Trump stays the same.
I think that idea is weak on current results, you see it is based on percentages and thus far all you could say is the bleed is shared equally. The idea that more are against him than for him doesn't fly because it hasn't been tested in a two horse race, you don't know the preferences of the other voters or even if they would turn out
#12. To: paraclete (#11)
I think that idea is weak on current results, you see it is based on percentages and thus far all you could say is the bleed is shared equally. The idea that more are against him than for him doesn't fly because it hasn't been tested in a two horse race, you don't know the preferences of the other voters or even if they would turn out
What makes you think that ? Trump peaked at 35% -40% no matter how many candidates are in the contest . The big factor so far has been open and closed primaries. In contests where Dems are allowed to vote in Republican primaries Trump has done well. In primaries where only Republicans can vote Cruz has done better .
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count .html
#16. To: tomder55 (#12)
What makes you think that ? Trump peaked at 35% -40% no matter how many candidates are in the contest . The big factor so far has been open and closed primaries. In contests where Dems are allowed to vote in Republican primaries Trump has done well. In primaries where only Republicans can vote Cruz has done better .
Truth be told you didn't tell the truth.
Trump has received more then 40 percent in multiple states.
Cruz has not done better then Trump except in 4 states. Those 4 states aren't the only states that doesn't have cross over voting.
You should be honest. Or better informed.
#20. To: A K A Stone (#16)
Cruz has not done better then Trump except in 4 states. Those 4 states aren't the only states that doesn't have cross over voting.You should be honest. Or better informed.
I am honest and informed . I was talking about closed primaries. Before yesterday Cruz won closed primaries/caucus in Iowa ,Alaska ,Oklahoma and Kansas .
Trump won Nevada.
Yesterday he did better picking up the closed primary states of Kentucky and Lousiana . Cruz picked up Idaho .
So in closed contests Cruz as a 5-3 advantage.
The reason I mentioned it was because there are closed contest states with a lot of delegates before the season is over .
#21. To: tomder55 (#20) (Edited)
So in closed contests Cruz as a 5-3 advantage.
The real question here Tom is whether the will of the people will win through, or whether the faceless men will decide the outcome in smoke filled back rooms. Donald Dump is a popular candidate but not a party man, not a team player. What you have been telling us is real republicans want Cruz, but the people seem to have decided they don't want this election to be hijacked as it has been in the past. Do you think they have twigged to the fact that democracy isn't the will of the people afterall?
#22. To: paraclete (#21)
The real question here Tom is whether the will of the people will win through, or whether the faceless men will decide the outcome in smoke filled back rooms. Donald Dump is a popular candidate but not a party man, not a team player. What you have been telling us is real republicans want Cruz, but the people seem to have decided they don't want this election to be hijacked as it has been in the past. Do you think they have twigged to the fact that democracy isn't the will of the people afterall?
This isn't about the will of the people. This is who the party picks as a nominee. I think open primaries corrupt the process. Why would either party allow their nominee to be selected by people registered to the other party ? It's insane ! .
I haven't been telling you who real Republicans want . I have been telling you who this conservative prefers from the remaining candidates .
Trump is a populist demagogue who has memorized a few slogans . When his positions are challenged he resorts to elementary school insults. He is a lot of things and takes a lot of contradictory positions . What I know from years of watching his act here in NY is that he is not conservative.
Replies to Comment # 22.
This isn't about the will of the people. This is who the party picks as a nominee.
Then why isn't voting confined to registered members of the Party?
You see Tom this process has the venier of democracy, but in the background the party has decided that a particular candidate should not be selected. There may be good reasons for that, personally, I think he is dangerous because he is likely to govern by fiat, and he is a crony of the Clintons. What will be interesting will be if he manages to get 51% of the votes, he would actually make a good VP for Hilliary
End Trace Mode for Comment # 22.
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