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Title: Trump Could Win It All
Source:
US News & World Report
URL Source: http://www.usnews.com/opinion/artic ... real-threat-to-hillary-clinton
Published: Jan 9, 2016
Author: James Warren
Post Date: 2016-01-09 16:59:34 by cranky
Keywords: None
Views: 1573
Comments: 9
A new survey shows a sizable number of Democrats ready to defect from Hillary Clinton to Donald Trump.
Trump's the one?
So if Donald Trump proved the political universe wrong and won the Republican presidential nomination, he would be creamed by Hillary Clinton, correct?
A new survey of likely voters might at least raise momentary dyspepsia for Democrats since it suggests why it wouldn't be a cakewalk.
The survey by Washington-based Mercury Analytics is a combination online questionnaire and "dial-test" of Trump's first big campaign ad among 916 self-proclaimed "likely voters" (this video shows the ad and the dial test results). It took place primarily Wednesday and Thursday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.
Nearly 20 percent of likely Democratic voters say they'd cross sides and vote for Trump, while a small number, or 14 percent, of Republicans claim they'd vote for Clinton. When those groups were further broken down, a far higher percentage of the crossover Democrats contend they are "100 percent sure" of switching than the Republicans.
When the firmed showed respondents the Trump ad, and assessed their responses to each moment of it, it found "the primary messages of Trump's ad resonated more than Democratic elites would hope."
About 25 percent of Democrats "agree completely" that it raises some good point, with an additional 19 percent agreeing at least "somewhat."
Mercury CEO Ron Howard, a Democrat whose firm works for candidates in both parties and corporate clients, concedes, "We expected Trump's first campaign spot to strongly appeal to Republican Trump supporters, with little impact – or in fact negative impact – on Democratic or independent voters."
He continues, "The challenge to Hillary, if Trump is the nominee and pivots to the center in the general election as a problem-solving, independent-minded, successful 'get it done' businessman is that Democrats will no longer be able to count on his personality and outrageous sound bites to disqualify him in the voters' minds."
Trump's formidable challenges remain obvious and in no small measure reflect his general style.
A total of 66 percent of Democrats are very concerned with it, as are 32 percent of Republicans and 41 percent of independents, according to the survey.
Further, 65 percent of Democrats said that the "prestige" of the country would be hurt by his election, as did 19 percent and 29 percent of Republicans and independents, respectively.
But what if Trump lowered the bombast in a general election?
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What you have here is Hobson's choice, the choice between too bad alternatives
#2. To: paraclete (#1)
What you have here is Hobson's choice, the choice between too bad alternatives
A lot can happen between now and 8 Nov.
I really can't see either one on any ballot.
There are three kinds of people in the world: those that can add and those that can't
#3. To: paraclete (#1)
"What you have here is Hobson's choice, the choice between too bad alternatives"
We had that in 2012 and 2008 and we were told to hold our noses and vote Republican.
So I say do the same in 2016.
#4. To: paraclete (#1)
What you have here is Hobson's choice, the choice between too bad alternatives
Same old same old. Been that way ever since Reagan left office,and that evil old bastard Poppy Bush took over. It's been a case of "the lesser of two evils" ever since.
Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)
American Indians had open borders. Look at how well that worked out for them.
#5. To: sneakypete, *The Two Parties ARE the Same* (#4)
Been that way ever since Reagan left office,and that evil old bastard Poppy Bush took over
In '88 it was Dukakis, GHW Bush, or Ron Paul (Libertarian Party). The party faithful chose Satan GHW Bush. The D&R party has been firmly commited to the Highway to Hell ever since.
"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul#6. To: hondo68 (#5) (Edited)
The D&R party has been firmly commited to the Highway to Hell ever since.
Nah,they have been committed to that since the 50's. They just made it official starting with Poppy and his fellow New Englanders pretending to be his opponents.
Which is one of the things that worries me about Trump. He is a life-long denizen of NYC and is and has been butthole buddies with every Dim mayor since he was a child,as well as national Dim figures.
Not so sure he doesn't need to change his name to Trojan Horse.
Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)
American Indians had open borders. Look at how well that worked out for them.
#7. To: cranky (#0)
Trump Could Win It All
Let's hope he does. He's the only one capable of starting a mission of revolt against the deception, childishness, and degeneracy that's taken control of this country in recent decades and has imposed the Bushs, Clintons, and Obamas. God help us if he betrays us.
#8. To: paraclete (#1) (Edited)
too bad alternatives
how
about
two
not
too
what
do
you
think
this
is
a
summer school
for
failed
kindergartners
no
wonder
you
don't
understand
history
constitution
gun rghts
love
boris
If you ... don't use exclamation points --- you should't be typeing ! Commas - semicolons - question marks are for girlie boys !
#9. To: sneakypete, rlk, Y'ALL (#6)
Trump Could Win It AllNot so sure he doesn't need to change his name to Trojan Horse. --- sneakypete
Let's hope he does. He's the only one capable of starting a mission of revolt against the deception, childishness, and degeneracy that's taken control of this country in recent decades and has imposed the Bushs, Clintons, and Obamas.
God help us if he betrays us. ---- rlk
On the contrary,, if Trump betrayed those of us who WILL vote him in; -- it will start a minor revolution against our two party system. -- Which would be good.
But in any case, he's the only candidate that can save the USA from a Hillary/socialistic regime..
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