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Title: Ted Cruz: Trump won’t be the nominee and I’ll pick up most of his voters
Source:
HotAir
URL Source: http://hotair.com/archives/2015/10/ ... ll-pick-up-most-of-his-voters/
Published: Oct 9, 2015
Author: Allahpundit
Post Date: 2015-10-09 19:13:56 by Tooconservative
Keywords: None
Views: 1285
Comments: 9
Via Politico, skip to 12:00 of the clip below for the key bit. Oh, it’s on. Or is it? Normally, a candidate for president claiming that he’s going to peel away his opponents’ supporters and win the nomination would be so banal that it wouldn’t qualify as news. It’s the ultimate “dog bites man” story. Of course Cruz believes this. If he didn’t, why would he be running? But these aren’t normal circumstances. Cruz is the only Republican in the field who has yet to utter a critical or discouraging syllable about Trump, part of his talk-radio-ish strategy not to say or do anything that might annoy the many newly minted Trump fans in the GOP base. But now he has, and Trump being as thin-skinned as he is, there’s no telling whether he’ll shrug this off as a routine expression of confidence by an opponent or some sort of attack that warrants dismissing Cruz as an ineffectual loser who’s probably not eligible to be president in the first place. The question is why, after having steered so far clear of criticizing Trump to this point, Cruz has suddenly allowed himself to talk openly about picking up Trump’s voters once they realize who’s done the most in the field to stand up to Washington. I think Peggy Noonan’s got the answer: The first act was “I’m Here and I’m Yuge.” Now Act II: “I Mean It and I’m Staying.”… The wisdom now, and it’s not stupid, is that as time passes the field will narrow. More candidates will drop out, voters will begin to coalesce behind other front-runners, and suddenly one of them will be polling at 27% or 32%. Various powers will throw their weight behind front-runner No. 2 or 3 or 4. But this year has reminded us to expect the unexpected. Maybe not enough candidates will drop out to make a difference. Maybe the splintered field stays splintered. How then do you stop Mr. Trump? Maybe—again—only Trump stops Trump. Yeah, the lesson of the last three weeks of polling is that while Trump is no longer rising, he’s not falling much either. He’s still in the mid- to high 20s after a pre-debate high in some polls in the low 30s, but that’s been good for first place in every national poll save one. Cruz may have been expecting the Trump fade to have begun by now, freeing up lots of disaffected anti-establishment voters just in time for a Cruz-led challenge to Obama this month over the debt ceiling. Hasn’t happened. This floor speech, for instance, was aimed directly at Trump voters, I think. Listen to the clip below and you’ll hear him note that he was the only candidate running who was willing to risk a shutdown in the name of defunding Planned Parenthood. Meanwhile, according to the last national poll taken, Trump is still 20 points ahead of him. Just this morning, Trump told MSNBC that he’s never getting out of the race. Cruz may have finally concluded that Trump’s not going to jump off the cliff himself. He’s going to need a little push. Which brings us back to one of the great mysteries of the primary: Is Cruz right that he’ll end up inheriting most of Trump’s support if/when he drops out? The numbers don’t support that (yet), but that may be because another “outsider” candidate, Ben Carson, is momentarily in Cruz’s way. Once he and Trump have both faded, voters looking for an anti-establishmentarian may reconcile themselves to Cruz. Whether that happens, I think, depends mainly on what ends up mattering more, his message or his mien. No one can deliver anti-Washington red meat like Cruz, but he’s every inch the polished, Harvard-trained lawyer when he talks. He and Trump couldn’t be more different in that respect. And of course, Cruz is a conservative ideologue whereas Trump is, er, not. How much of an obstacle, or benefit, is that conservatism among Trump voters? Stay tuned. [Trump] continues with high negatives. But for all the dopey, damaging dramas he’s gotten himself into the past few months he’s maintained his position. Imagine if he’d been disciplined.
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#1. To: TooConservative (#0)
I think that we are heading for a brokered convention. That our a severly bruised, battered, wounded and very fractured REP Party with a similarly weakened nominee in the general election. Also, am beginning to think that the REPS will lose the House in 2016.
потому что Бог хочет это тот путь
Cruz is also soliciting Rand's supporters. He just happened to recall in front of the cameras that both Ron Paul and Rand Paul warmly endorsed him when he ran for Senate in 2012. Cruz is starting to try to make a few moves to scoop up supporters from other campaigns that look stalled. He'll continue to make his play for the Huckabee supporters too. The system is designed to avoid brokered conventions and it's been that way for fifty years. But I see Cruz as having a much deeper campaign plan with offices in a lot of states and volunteers and Cruz continuing to make time to campaign in those states, especially the big wave of Red states in the South with primaries in March. Cruz seems to think he'll make his stand against the GOPe candidate at that point and that Trump will be out of the race by then. It does sound cold and calculating but every last one of these candidates is thinking day and night about how to grab uncommitted voters or steal voters from each other and pick up voters from dropout candidates. This is what pols do.
It may be but hard ball the reality of politics. There are three maybe four candidates that have a chance of making it through the primaries. I just do not see that one will have a majority heading into the election. Hell, the REPS can't even get a new Speaker of the House. потому что Бог хочет это тот путь
It looks like Trump bot Laura Ingraham may be about ready to throw The Donald under the bus and, Stand With Rand... That should get Rand up to 3% in the polls. "For when we were yet without strength, in due time Christ died for the ungodly."---Romans 5:6
Wondered what happened to Rita. Miss her show on FNC. Then again I think Greta replaced her. Like her show too. So much better than Eva Braun Kelley.
"For when we were yet without strength, in due time Christ died for the ungodly."---Romans 5:6
You think the Country Club Republicans will demand JEB be made VP,like they demanded Reagan give his asshat father the VP slot in order to get their support? Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)
Not if Hillary is the DRat nominee. Probably not at all. потому что Бог хочет это тот путь
She has a weekend radio show on WABC Sunday 6AM -7 AM . But she was dumped from the weekday 5PM -6PM slot before Mark Levin. WABC (Cumulus)is a complete mess now . Levin and John Batchelor are the only hosts of substance who did not defect to WOR. Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?
#2. To: SOSO (#1)
#3. To: TooConservative (#2)
It does sound cold and calculating but every last one of these candidates is thinking day and night about how to grab uncommitted voters or steal voters from each other and pick up voters from dropout candidates.
#4. To: TooConservative, *2016 The Likely Suspects* (#0)
"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul
#5. To: hondo68 (#4)
looks like Trump bot Laura Ingraham may be about ready to throw The Donald under the bus and, Stand With Rand.
#6. To: TooConservative (#0)
#7. To: SOSO (#1)
I think that we are heading for a brokered convention.
#8. To: sneakypete (#7)
You think the Country Club Republicans will demand JEB be made VP,like they demanded Reagan give his asshat father the VP slot in order to get their support?
#9. To: redleghunter (#6)
Wondered what happened to Rita. Miss her show on FNC.
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