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politics and politicians Title: Yes, Trump Lost the Debate Per this Suffolk University survey in Iowa that is not an online poll like many of the other post-debate surveys. Trump didn’t suffer a catastrophe (he still leads in the state), but the debate hurt him: The Suffolk survey has warning signs for Trump. By 2-1, 55%-23%, those surveyed say watching Trump in the debate made them feel less comfortable rather than more comfortable with him as a candidate for president. A 54% majority also reject Trump’s complaints that he was treated unfairly by the Fox News anchors who served as moderators; 41% agree with him. And a third of Iowa Republicans say Trump – enmeshed in a post-debate contretemps over his comments about Fox News anchor Megyn Kelly – “doesn’t show appropriate respect for women.” A larger number, 46%, side with the real-estate mogul and reality-TV star, saying criticism of his comments about women “are just examples of political correctness.” Then there’s this: Trump scores a big lead among those who didn’t watch the debate, at 21%, double the standing of retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who finishes second at 10%. But among those who watched the debate, Trump does less well, tied with Walker at 14%. Meanwhile, Trump still leads in New Hampshire, but is lower than he had been in prior surveys: BREAKING: NEW @FPUniversity /@bostonherald NH POLL @realDonaldTrump 18% @JebBush 13% @JohnKasich 12% @CarlyFiorina 9% pic.twitter.com/lXa1NZ6JAF— Boston Herald Radio (@HeraldRadio) August 11, 2015 And Rasmussen has Trump losing altitude nationally: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Trump with 17% support among Likely Republican Primary Voters, down from 26% in late July before the first GOP debate. Senator Marco Rubio and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush are in second place with 10% support each, in a near tie with Fiorina and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker who both earn nine percent (9%) of the likely primary vote. Next with eight percent (8%) come retired neurologist Dr. Ben Carson and Senator Ted Cruz at seven percent (7%). (To see survey question wording, click here.) Poster Comment: Trump's highest Suffolk poll standing in IA is among people who didn't watch the debate. So Trump polls best among Iowa's Know-Nothings. He could have advocated full-blown Soviet communism and still been their pick. You can't deny that NR is still a hotbed of Trump haters ("Witless Ape Rides Escalator") so take it all, like any these goofy August name-recognition polls, with a big grain of salt. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Comments (1-70) not displayed.
Trump/Fiorina ticket. LOL right. But stranger things have happened. "When Americans reach out for values of faith, family, and caring for the needy, they're saying, "We want the word of God. We want to face the future with the Bible.'"---Ronald Reagan #72. To: TooConservative, CZ82, Fred Mertz, tomder55, GarySpFc, buckeroo, Stoner, nativist nationalist, redleghunter (#43) You know I'm getting the distinct impression that some people are getting upset that you aren't wearing a set of Trump kneepads. Ok, I chuckled. Maybe even actually audibly LOL'ed. "Deep down"? OUCH! TC can't wear out his Trump kneepads if his GOPe Reince Princess autographed industrial strength kneedpads aren't fully worn down yet. Oy. And now you're giving out stars for the bulletin board? My guess is that 2-3 LFers on your "star" list will eventually understand the dynamics, stakes, and identity of the REAL enemy of the REAL battle here.
#73. To: Vicomte13 (#70) It'll be Jeb. Which means it'll be Hillary or Biden. It is not too late to stop Bush. In 2012, if the grassroots had united around a single candidate and stuck with him no matter what, Romney could not have been the nominee. The Tea folk do seem, in my reading, to understand this. I think they are flirting around for now but a lot of people will realize they need to pick one guy to stop Bush. And Scott Walker just happens to be almost everyone's second pick (if he isn't their first pick) and has held that position consistently since polling started on the GOP field. This would not be the first time that everyone's second pick overcame their first picks. It is true of presidents and often of electing popes as well and for the same very human reasons.
#74. To: Liberator (#72) TC can't wear out his Trump kneepads if his GOPe Reince Princess autographed industrial strength kneedpads aren't fully worn down yet. I am such a notorious party hack that I use only military-grade kneepads monogrammed with RNC insignia when I post here.
My guess is that 2-3 LFers on your "star" list will eventually understand the dynamics, stakes, and identity of the REAL enemy of the REAL battle here. No difference. I won't actually care if I am the last non-Trump supporter here.
#75. To: TooConservative (#74) I am such a notorious party hack that I use only military-grade kneepads monogrammed with RNC insignia when I post here. Lol...there ya go. We already have some dialogue for another Hitler parody! I guess eventually we can flip a coin to see which one of us plays an outraged Fuhrer. Or just wait for Trump's victory. ;-)
#76. To: TooConservative (#73) It is not too late to stop Bush. Yep. And Trump is your man, at least if you want my help. If not him, then Huckabee. No? Ok, then Carson. Not him either? Well, then, shucks, how about...Santorum? No. Can't win. Who's left then? Paul...eesh...ok. Then the rest of your party revolts. They won't have him. Fiorina? No. Pataki? No. Our list of options grows thin. Rubio? Is he really pro-life? Ok. But he'll lose the general. Walker? Is he really pro-life? Ok. But he'll lose the general. Meh. Too much work. I'll stick for the Donald. Not really interested in the seven dwarves.
#77. To: Vicomte13 (#76) Meh. Too much work. I'll stick for the Donald. Not really interested in the seven dwarves. One debate in August -- and with a volatile frontrunner like Trump -- and you're ready to award Trump the nomination by acclamation. How do you know if he has any idea (or intention) of assembling a real campaign? Recall the 1936 GOP candidacy of Alf Landon in 1936. Or the equally embarrassing GOP campaign of 1940.
What's yer hurry? Don't you want to even see if Trump is going to campaign? BTW, Trump's entire campaign is just a couple of people and no one with experience running a national campaign. AFAIK, they haven't even worked on a national presidential campaign. Like Perot, Trump has thus far been incredibly tight with campaign money and is not spending like a real candidate who is preparing to run a political operation in multiple states and then nationwide. The only guy he had, the disreputable Roger Stone, quit him last weekend. I didn't like Stone but he had political experience going back to the Nixon era. You might at least argue he was semi-professional for a 50+ state campaign. I keep wondering if Trump really is willing to do all the travel and do all the events expected of a presidential candidate. It's a pretty grueling schedule for over a year.
#78. To: TooConservative (#7) Maybe I am the last non-Trumpster (other than Choo-Choo Man) here at LF. Nope. Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012) #79. To: GrandIsland (#9) Suck it up, closet libtard haters. The ones that are going to have to suck it up in the end are the closet librard lovers,like you. Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012) #80. To: TooConservative (#77) You have no clue.
#81. To: TooConservative (#43) So Trump is good for business at Fox News and at LibertysFlame. : ) To me Trump keeps stepping on his own dick and before long will only have the support of the "hard cores". He has to learn to "Engage brain before engaging mouth" if he wants to have a chance...
#82. To: TooConservative (#77) Like Perot Whom I supported.
#83. To: A K A Stone (#80) You have no clue. I do have a clue about Trump's ground operation, or rather the lack of it. All the other serious candidates are building ground operations with chairmen and renting offices and hiring staff. These things don't happen magically, done overnight by little elves. A few others like Pataki and Gillmore and Graham are the only ones who are not building up campaign organizations. You realize that the ground campaign organizations for the primary season are the basis for building up your ground operation for the general election campaign. AFAIK, Trump hasn't even opened a single campaign office yet, let alone hired real staff for them. As unfair as it is, you can't win IA or NH or SC just by flying in a few times on your private 757 and telling the press how lucky the voters are that you are willing to accept the nomination from the fine people of the state. Wait until Trump meets Iowa's corn and pig farmers. That should be fun. And campaigning 14-16 hours a day? Trump is really going to do that? I just can't quite imagine it. I keep wondering if Trump will be the Second Coming of Fred Thompson. Go out to the Iowa state fair, putt around on a golf cart and basically never get heard from again. Giuliani didn't fare so well either and was reduced to a Floriduh strategy but by then McCain had big momentum and deep party backing.
#84. To: CZ82 (#81) He has to learn to "Engage brain before engaging mouth" if he wants to have a chance... He really needs to study. Basic stuff about the world, about the actual policy issues. He makes Sarah Palin look like a genius by comparison. He's lived in his little Donald Trump World in NYC for so long, he doesn't pay attention to a lot of issues that the country will expect its next president to know something about. Walker's and Bush's preparedness are questioned but Trump doesn't even qualify. Plus, he flipflops around on issues like funding or defunding PP. Who knows what he thinks about it? No one.
#85. To: TooConservative (#77) I keep wondering if Trump really is willing to do all the travel and do all the events expected of a presidential candidate. It's a pretty grueling schedule for over a year. Trump can stand in one place, get the media, and reach the whole country. He is a celebrity, a star. He doesn't have to go shake hands in diners like nobody high-school class presidents who have worked their way up through the professional political cycle have to. He's not coming in to be a politician, he's a billionaire stepping in to the throne, and he fully intends to bypass all of the usual crap that common people have to do to get elected, by using his star power and money to do it his way. He has the eye and attention of the nation. Whatever he does, anywhere, gets attention. Nobody expects stars to go to diners. And he doesn't have to either, because people form an opinion of him from the broader brush media. They've had him in their living rooms and quoted them more than Obama. And everybody in the country has liked him in some way. They may have come to dislike him for his political positions or bluster, but at some point everybody did like him, and that's never true of a career politician. Career politicians are nobodies whom you have to encounter because they press themselves onto you for a job. Trump is already somebody. He's asking you to hire him for a few years for a specific task, a big task. He doesn't have a politician's equipment - and may not NEED it to get elected. People are sick of professional politicians and party hacks. We all see them as incompetent, corrupt, petty assholes. And we're right. Trump/Oprah is a brilliant ticket because it would certainly win. And no, they would not have to undergo a "grueling campaign". A few stops in a state to sold out crowds, televised everywhere, and they'd be rock stars. People pretend that Clinton was a rock star, or Obama, and as politicians they sort of were. But Trump is a TV star, and Oprah (yes, I'm having fun, but she IS eligible for the office, having at least one American citizen parent) - she's one of the most successful entertainers ever. Trump can do it his own way, and win. I'm going to support him no matter what. I've got no party. I hate both the parties. I look down on professional politicians. I don't think that what political people do with their lives is worthwhile. I do not view it as "serving me" or public service at all. I view it as a combination of c-rate theater and mob pressure on people. Politics diminishes the people who do it. Trump is interesting. He's not a politician, and that's to his benefit in getting people like me to follow him, and vote for him once. If it turns out to be a disaster, so what? LBJ was a disaster. Nixon was a disaster. Carter was a disaster. H.W. Bush was a disaster, and W Bush was a disaster. Trump cannot be worse than them. Unlike all of them, he actually successfully has run something hard, and real, for years. Rising in politics is not an achievement I respect, because I do not think that what politicians and civil servants do is really worthwhile activity. Nor do I think it is particularly hard, when compared with making money. Also, politicians do get rich, but that is entirely through corruption. Trump and real businessmen who have gotten rich actually did it in a way that seems straightforward and legal to me. I know, TL;DR Well, you're missing a lot.
#86. To: sneakypete (#78) Nope. You're right. It's over 3 months until the (worthless) IA caucus. I keep noticing how the Trump backers seem to be insisting that The Donald be coronated immediately. Fascinating. What's wrong, don't they want to see him run a 50+ state campaign? When will Donald visit (or send a surrogate) to the early contests in the six American territories that can award convention delegates. I recall Romney's sons going there and cleaning up.
#87. To: TooConservative (#84) Who knows what he thinks about it? No one He'll look at the subject intently, make a decision, and move on. What politicians do is not "hard work". They're not bright people.
#88. To: TooConservative (#83) As unfair as it is, you can't win IA or NH or SC just by flying in a few times on your private 757 and telling the press how lucky the voters are that you are willing to accept the nomination from the fine people of the state. Frankly that is the opinion of a nobody.
#89. To: TooConservative (#83) Giuliani didn't fare so well either and was reduced to a Floriduh strategy but by then McCain had big momentum and deep party backing. Yes he did. And all of that immense effort, and spending money on political people to do very busy things, was all useless. Suppose with movie star quality one can simply leap past that waste, and leap past having to hire all of those useless people, and connect directly with voters and get their votes. Trump is doing that. He changes the game because of charisma and celebrity. It's why he will win unless the Republicans start throwing procedural barriers against him. His opponents cannot do that, only the GOP apparatus itself can. And will. Biden will be a decent President.
#90. To: Vicomte13 (#85) Trump/Oprah is a brilliant ticket because it would certainly win. Have mercy. Go back to Biden. It's slightly less insane.
#91. To: Vicomte13 (#85) Trump/Oprah is a brilliant ticket because it would certainly win. Oprah is a racist c word. He was joking when he said that. Someone asked him about it at some Oprah event and he said sure or something to that effect.
#92. To: TooConservative (#84) He's lived in his little Donald Trump World in NYC for so long Yea it's a place where everybody says "Yes sir" no matter what crap comes out of his mouth...
#93. To: A K A Stone (#91) Oprah is a racist He's been told that before...
#94. To: Vicomte13 (#89) Yes he did. And all of that immense effort, and spending money on political people to do very busy things, was all useless. Giuliani still had that whole America's Mayor think, he had approval in the mid-sixties in almost every state despite some people knowing how liberal he was on abortion and gun control. And he really had a tin ear on the subject. He got dispatched by the various interest groups who defined who and what he was. I see no reason why Trump has any better chance. Like I said before: Trump but not Giuliani (who was obviously capable of running a large government as an executive)? You've got to be kidding.
#95. To: CZ82 (#92) Yea it's a place where everybody says "Yes sir" no matter what crap comes out of his mouth... You really notice how he refuses to appear on TV for interviews despite the fact that Trump Tower is only a few blocks from the major news studios. Instead, he won't leave his penthouse and travel a few blocks to appear like any other candidate engaging with the press in a normal campaign about issues. Raising the non-campaign of Alf Landon was not just an idle remark. Trump really doesn't travel well. Recall his attempt to run in 2012 when he flew his Trumpcopter up to NH for a big announcement. He got about 75 reporters there, kinda hemhawed around, told them he's the greatest, and then flew back to NYC, not to be heard from again. Trump has fizzled when it came to actual campaigning before.
#96. To: TooConservative (#95) Raising the non-campaign of Alf Landon was not just an idle remark. Damn that was waaaaaayyy before my time...
#97. To: TooConservative (#95) Trump has fizzled when it came to actual campaigning before. He only went what 3-4 places last time before he mailed it in???
#98. To: CZ82, Vicomte13, Pericles (#96) Damn that was waaaaaayyy before my time... The 1940 election was even worse. The GOP nominee ended up as such an admirer of FDR's that he went to work for him.
And people think the GOPe is horrible and pathetic today but it was totally sucky back in the Thirties. What if Romney had taken an administration job with Obama after he lost the 2012 race? Yeow.
#99. To: CZ82, sneakypete (#97) He only went what 3-4 places last time before he mailed it in??? Maybe these diehard Trump fans, who undoubtedly know more about him than we do, could provide a nice itinerary of Trump's 2012 campaign for the GOP nomination.
#100. To: TooConservative (#95) You really notice how he refuses to appear on TV for interviews despite the fact that Trump Tower is only a few blocks from the major news studios. Instead, he won't leave his penthouse and travel a few blocks to appear like any other candidate engaging with the press in a normal campaign about issues. In California, that is how they campaign. Because of the size of the state it is all on TV.
#101. To: TooConservative (#0) Yes, Trump Lost the Debate
http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10740.php
Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus http://www.suffolk.edu/news/60760.php#.VcvdlflVhBc Press Release that accompanied actual Suffolk poll.
Poll: Trump Leads Iowa GOP Field but Shows Less Strength among Debate Viewers The marginals and tables provide greater details.
#102. To: Pericles (#100) Let's see Trump try that in Iowa or New Hampshire. Those people expect personal attention. I'm trying to picture Trump and his wife eating the usual ghastly rubber chicken dinner with the west Iowa corn grower's association and their lovely wives. I think he'd be back on that 757 in an hour, headed for NYC, never to return.
#103. To: nolu chan (#101) Poll: Trump Leads Iowa GOP Field but Shows Less Strength among Debate Viewers I focused on that earlier. If Trump won the debate, how did his support shrink among those who saw the debate and only remain steady with those who didn't see the debate. And that doesn't explain how much he got booed by the debate crowd after that first question. People blame Megyn Kelly for Trump's debate performance but Trump got booed steadily after that first question. Brett "Babyface" Baier was the one with the knife.
#104. To: A K A Stone (#91) He was joking when he said that. No! Really? I'm crushed! Here I was hoping...
Trump/Rubio is a real ticket that would unite the party and win the election, and then afterwards make the country better.
#105. To: TooConservative (#98) Ummm, hello, 1940. WORLD WAR II! National unity was more important than party. And the Republicans had a lot to atone for too, considering that they blocked every effort to get involved earlier to stop Hitler.
#106. To: Vicomte13 (#104) Trump/Rubio is a real ticket that would unite the party and win the election, and then afterwards make the country better. I tell you it would be Cruz. They seem to genuinely admire each other.
#107. To: TooConservative (#106) I would vote for Trump/Cruz, happily. Unfortunately, I don't know if I'll ever get the chance.
#108. To: TooConservative (#103) I focused on that earlier. If Trump won the debate, how did his support shrink among those who saw the debate and only remain steady with those who didn't see the debate. And that doesn't explain how much he got booed by the debate crowd after that first question. People blame Megyn Kelly for Trump's debate performance but Trump got booed steadily after that first question. Brett "Babyface" Baier was the one with the knife. The entire Fox staff were carry water for the GOPe. It has been your position, repeatedly, that polls do not matter. At least until one poll can be spun to Trump being the leader in all the polls, but not as significantly in the lead. Now, a poll of a few hundred people in Iowa, with Trump still in the lead means Trump lost the debate. That would be based on the opinion of a few hundred selected people in one state. Just be happy that Trump appears to have a limited ceiling, limiting his ability to win a general election.
Here is Bret Baier, the baby-faced assassin.
BAIER: Gentlemen, we know how much you love hand-raising questions. So we promise, this is the only one tonight: the only one. Is there anyone on stage, and can I see hands, who is unwilling tonight to pledge your support to the eventual nominee of the Republican party and pledge to not run an independent campaign against that person. = = = = = = = =
BAIER: Gentlemen, the next series of questions deals with ObamaCare and the role of the federal government.
#109. To: nolu chan (#101) I remember in Junior high school. This bully took on this nerdy looking kid. The nerdy lookin kid just kept punching him in the face. But the dumb ass bully ju just kept walking towards him and getting popped again. And again and again. Un Until his face was covered in blood. It was like he was getting his ass kicked bu but he was to stupid to know it. That is what you are doing to TC.
#110. To: Vicomte13 (#104) Trump/Rubio is a real ticket that would unite the party and win the election, and then afterwards make the country better. Trump isn't stupid enought to pick Rubio. If he did that I wouldn't vote for him.
#111. To: TooConservative (#106)
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