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politics and politicians Title: McCain: Trump really fired up “the crazies” in Arizona with his immigration talk To think, there are conservatives out there in America today who are convinced their partys elder statesmen view them with contempt. Normally Id assume McCains grouchy because Trumps rise is another setback for his dream of a new legislative amnesty but this probably has more to do with petty electoral concerns. His boy Lindsey Graham is at risk of being bumped off the presidential debate stage by Trump and McCain himself could face a tougher than expected primary challenge in Arizona if Trumpmentum spills over and galvanizes an oust Maverick surge on the right there. In fact, if Trump wants to earn a little goodwill from some of his conservative critics, he should promise to campaign against McCain in the primary next year, replete with donations to his challenger. Theres no better way to prove youre anti-establishment than by targeting ol Mav for political destruction. And if McCains counting on the fact of Trumps unpopularity to help him out, he should reconsider: At least among Republicans, that unpopularity is no longer a fact. Trumps gone from being viewed unfavorably by 65 percent of GOPers two months ago to being viewed favorably by 57 percent today. He has a big-name fan too in former Gov. Jan Brewer, who applauded Trump last week for telling it like it really, truly is on immigration. All he needs to do is stay engaged with this issue and Republican politics for the next nine months or so. Which means
yeah, McCains probably at no risk. A better politician than Maverick would pause to reflect that the crazies could guarantee Democratic victory next year if theyre disaffected and that, rather than insult them, GOP chieftains might want to co-opt some of their concerns about immigration. Jonathan Last sees Trump as potentially another Perot if things dont change: Republican strategists (and their candidates) ought to understand that Republican voters care a lot about immigration. And yet, the attitude of the GOP establishment towards these folks seems to be, as Mickey Kaus jokes, they just cling to their rage about immigration because they cant get what they really want: Low capital gains taxes.
But the coalition that is supporting him right now could be adopted by a better politician. And if it isnt, the 2016 math gets pretty bleak. What we need, says Last, is a candidate whos broadly in favor of immigration yet candid about the fact that it comes with costs to the rule of law, to public safety, and of course to wages. Every Republican in the field would acknowledge that if pressed, but the only ones who seem remotely eager to discuss it are Cruz and Scott Walker and Walker may well clam up the moment the nominations secure. The core problem with Trumps candidacy for Republican leaders is that, by consolidating a subset of the right around strong borders, hes raising the cost of the partys inevitable pander to amnesty fans in hopes of winning a greater share of the Latino vote. That was supposed to be a relatively low-cost transaction for the GOP: The nominee, be it Bush or Rubio or whoever, would check the requisite boxes about opposing sanctuary cities and jailing criminal aliens in the primaries and then shift instantly to hosannas about the economic and cultural dynamism of immigration in the general. By building a fan base on the right and positioning himself as a potential Perot figure, Trump makes that much harder. Winning elections requires selling out the Republican base. Doesnt Trump understand that? McCain does. I nearly choked on my coffee this morning reading this passage from the New Yorker piece quoted above: This guy is mocking other Republicans for twisting in the wind on immigration? What? Poster Comment: If Trump was smart, he'd set up a PAC and fund a challenger to the Stain for $20-$30 million Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 9.
#9. To: TooConservative (#0)
What he means, ... but able to sell his advocacy of immigration reform, a meaningless term absent definition of the intended reform. It's intended as a meaningless term to which each recipient can give his own meaning, even when those meanings are polar opposites. Trump is putting the GOP cookie cutter politicos on the spot to state what they really support. The Republican base has come to realize that the party has sold out that base in election after election. Trump understands that. Trump is reinforcing the idea that the party PTB intend to do it again.
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