Title: Trump leads the GOP pack this week, though few think he will win the nomination (Bush, Paul tied for 2nd) Source:
YouGov URL Source:https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/ ... /gop-frontrunner-donald-trump/ Published:Jul 9, 2015 Author:Kathy Frankovic Post Date:2015-07-09 21:22:37 by Hondo68 Keywords:None Views:504 Comments:2
The Republican horserace continues to be a contest of multiple candidates – with frontrunners sometimes ahead by only a few points, and no one dominating the race. In this week’s Economist/YouGov Poll, businessman Donald Trump leads among Republicans, ahead of Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker.
Trump looks even better as a candidate this week when Republicans are asked for their second choice. When they are, Trump extends his lead. One in four Republicans who are registered to vote say he is their first or second choice.
But who are these Republicans? Trump’s statements on immigration may be striking a chord. Two-thirds of those who choose Trump first or second support the goals of the Tea Party, higher than the overall percentage of Republicans who do. They are much less likely to have a college education than are other Republicans, and they are more likely than other Republicans to say they are “very” conservative.
Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for someone they consider a contender. Just one in five of Trump’s supporters think Trump will win the nomination. Only 7% of Republicans think Trump will capture the nomination: more give the edge to Bush, Paul, Rubio and Walker.
Trump also may have a problem mobilizing the rest of his party. While one in four Republicans make him their first or second choice this week, more than four in ten Republicans don’t like him.
This is a slight improvement for Trump compared to his ratings in some previous weeks, when there have been more Republicans who had an unfavorable than a favorable opinion of Trump. And when they were asked to give a one-word description of Trump, Republicans more often cited negative than positive assessments.
At WS, a little surprising since they are always so determined to be perceived as "serious":
Bill Kristol joined Anderson Cooper on CNN Wednesday night to discuss the newsman's interview with real-estate mogul and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. The boss argued Trump is a force for good in the GOP presidential primary. Kristol debated Democratic operative and Hillary Clinton-supporter Paul Begala as well as Republican strategist and Jeb Bush-supporter Ana Navarro.
Watch the video below:
Here's Kristol:
I am not pro-Trump. I'm slightly anti-anti-Trump because I'm so sick of all the establishment types being so earnest in disdaining him. And this serves the Republican party right. They've set up this debate, 10 people, excluding the so-called minor candidates, some of whom are very impressive and not-so-minor candidates like Carly Fiorina and Rick Perry and others who might get excluded. They set this up, they tried to control everything. They set up a situation where, who's going to dominate that debate? I suspect Donald Trump. And you know what? I sort of think it serves the others right, and it puts more pressure on Jeb Bush and Scott Walker and Marco Rubio, people I like and respect, to have something to say. So if they get up there and are platitudinous politicians, they are going to look pale compared to Donald Trump.
