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Title: Insiders pump the brakes on Cruz
Source: Politico
URL Source: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/ ... the-breaks-on-cruz-116444.html
Published: Apr 4, 2015
Author: James Hohmann
Post Date: 2015-04-04 13:40:19 by Hondo68
Keywords: Senate backbencher, name and rep toxic, NH open primary
Views: 19822
Comments: 73

Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire don’t think the polarizing Texan can win.

Illustration by POLITICO / Getty Image

Ted Cruz is the first Republican presidential candidate out of the starting gate, but GOP insiders in Iowa and New Hampshire are overwhelmingly skeptical of the first-term Texas senator’s chances of being the eventual nominee or succeeding in the general election.

This week’s survey of The POLITICO Caucus — a bipartisan group of key activists, operatives and thought leaders in New Hampshire and Iowa — reveals grave concerns about Cruz’s electability. And after eight years in the wilderness, most Republicans want a nominee who can win.

Not one of the 100 respondents believes that Cruz would win the Iowa caucuses or New Hampshire primary if they took place this week, though there is widespread agreement that he is much better positioned in the Hawkeye State than the Granite State. And nine out of 10 Republican insiders in the early states believe Ted Cruz couldn’t carry their state — both Iowa and New Hampshire are swing states, though relatively small electoral-vote prizes — against Hillary Clinton in the general.

Launching his candidacy on Monday at Liberty University in Virginia, the senator tailored his roll-out toward the evangelicals who powered Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee’s victories in the past two Iowa caucuses. But most insiders believe Cruz will ultimately pose the biggest problem for Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, who will kick off his own campaign on April 7.

“Announcing first is an advantage in that he was able to fill a news vacuum for a few days,” said an uncommitted New Hampshire Republican, who — like everyone else — completed the questionnaire anonymously in order to speak candidly. “He’s a tremendous orator with great stage presence … However, he’s still Ted Cruz — a polarizing person who is more interested in making headlines than making policy.”

Here are six takeaways from this week’s edition of The POLITICO Caucus:

Cruz is a deeply polarizing figure — among Republicans.

Most GOP insiders believe that Cruz’s push to defund Obamacare — which made him a household name and led to a federal government shutdown in October 2013 — is more a negative than a positive.

“The shutdown made him infamous to most and loved by a vocal few,” said a New Hampshire Republican.

“His supporters see his fight as a badge of honor,” said an Iowa Republican. “Undecided caucusgoers will likely see his shutdown strategy as a major blunder.”

The senator’s outspokenness makes him the “fighter” in the 2016 field, several said, but they fear it will sour independents from ever backing him down the road.

“His fighter mentality will play well with conservative activists and those who listen to talk radio,” said an Iowa Republican, “but it’s not like he has scored any real accomplishment on rolling back the Affordable Care Act.”

“Ted Cruz has a legislative record that has no positive accomplishments,” said another. “He will be in a field with many people that can point to positive accomplishments, either as governors or senators.”

“He is the reason Democrats can call Republicans ‘the Party of No,’” said a third Republican.

“He has become a poster child for congressional dysfunction,” said a fourth.

Pressed by Fox News’ Megyn Kelly this week on what he’s accomplished as a senator, Cruz argued that he has not been a backbencher in the Senate. “What I’ve tried to do is lead on the great challenges of the day,” he said, “whether it’s stopping Obamacare or stopping the out-of-control debt, or stopping executive amnesty or defending our constitutional rights or standing with Israel, or stopping Iran from getting nuclear weapons.”

Those who see Cruz’s crusade against Obamacare positively say that he showed the courage of his convictions and can’t be portrayed as a typical D.C. politician.

“Doing the right thing, even if you don’t succeed, will win you points,” said a New Hampshire Republican.

“The intelligentsia is annoyed, but real people are hungry for it,” said another.

An Iowa Republican noted that Cruz “repelled many” but “propelled his base to actively proselytize.” Another explained that Obamacare remains toxic among caucusgoers: “Someone who bravely and with clarity speaks out against it will gain much.”

But one New Hampshire Republican noted that Cruz was the only likely 2016 candidate with whom local GOP candidates did not want to appear in the run-up to last fall’s midterm elections. The 44-year-old did just one campaign swing through New Hampshire, for congressional candidate Marilinda Garcia.

Cruz’s visit in the days before the GOP primary in the state’s Second Congressional District — the more Democratic of New Hampshire’s two seats — helped propel Garcia to the nomination. But the Republican says it hurt Garcia in the general election against Democratic Rep. Ann McLane Kuster.

“The Democrats promptly used the trip in ads and used Cruz as a vehicle to successfully drive home the ‘extreme’ narrative against Garcia,” this Republican said. “It was a net loss to be seen alongside Cruz in 2014. His name and reputation are both toxic.”

Cruz has a much better shot of winning Iowa’s caucuses than New Hampshire’s primary.

Nearly two-thirds of Iowa Republican insiders believe Cruz can win the caucuses, compared to just 14 percent of New Hampshire Republicans who said Cruz could win the New Hampshire primary.

Iowans of both parties mostly agree on what the Cruz path to victory there looks like. As one Republican put it, “First, consolidate the evangelical right along with portions of the Liberty movement who think Rand’s too wishy-washy and, second, excel in the debates.”

“He will need to be the last conservative standing,” said another. “In 2012, Santorum won the Iowa caucuses because he was the last conservative to catch fire. If Scott Walker, Santorum, Huckabee, etc. don’t have staying power, and Cruz can manage to light a fire, then he can win.”

A third Republican thinks its unlikely but possible that Cruz wins the caucuses: “He’d have to grab a clear majority of evangelicals, sweep the hawkish, non-libertarian tea partiers, and hope the congestion in the race occurs in the establishment lane of [Marco] Rubio, Walker, [Jeb] Bush and [Chris] Christie.”

The most common suggestion for Cruz is that he should focus on Iowa as much as possible. “He really needs to live in the state of Iowa,” said a fourth Republican, “so much that he knows that the chicken is way better than the pizza at Pizza Ranch.”

Only eight insiders in New Hampshire said Cruz could win the Republican primary, and all but two of them mentioned Pat Buchanan as a reason why. If the controversial former aide to Richard Nixon could upset Bob Dole in 1996, they argue, Cruz certainly could beat a favorite of the establishment.

“It’s very unlikely, but yes, it’s possible if the mainstream vote splinters, he consolidates the tea party/hard right vote (say, 25 percent of the total), and he times it perfectly,” said a New Hampshire Republican. “That is what Buchanan pulled off in 1996. But if he’s a threat to win two weeks out, a ‘Stop Cruz’ movement will kick in.”

A handful of people who said Cruz could not win in New Hampshire volunteered, with no prompting, that the state has changed a lot in the 20 years since Buchanan won there. Some noted there are not enough religious conservatives in the Granite State to sustain Cruz, and others pointed to the state’s open primary as a reason the Texan won’t win there.

“Long gone are the days of the mid 90s of Pat Buchanan dominating the GOP presidential primary,” said a Republican. “In New Hampshire, independent voters outnumber Republicans or Democrats, and they can vote in either primary.”

“Assuming no credible challenger emerges to Hillary Clinton, independents will decide this thing, and they’re going to want to make their vote count and pull a GOP ballot,” said another.

“Not going to happen,” said a third New Hampshire Republican. “No way, no how.”

Paul is hurt the most by Cruz’s presence in the field.

Asked from which candidate Cruz draws most, twice as many insiders chose Paul over anyone else. Huckabee and Santorum were tied for second, since the Texan will work to win over social conservatives. Rick Perry, because he’s from Texas, and Scott Walker, because some think it’s a race between Jeb Bush and one leading alternative, tied for fourth.

“Ted Cruz’s path to victory is for Rand Paul not to run,” said an Iowa Republican. “That being said, three supporters of Ron Paul have endorsed Cruz.”

“If Rand stumbles as the champion of the liberty voters, and Cruz excels with the social conservatives and becomes the winner of that micro-contest, he has a pathway to cobble together a finish in the high 20s, which could theoretically win the Iowa caucuses,” said a second.

A New Hampshire Republican thinks Cruz won’t ever win the primary but might become a spoiler. If he prevailed in Iowa, perhaps he’d get a 7-to-10-point bounce in the polls. Much of that would come from Paul, and that could keep the Kentuckian from winning New Hampshire.

“He loses to Cruz on charisma and passion,” another Granite Stater said of Paul.

Enrolling in Obamacare has not conveyed the message Cruz hoped.

Cruz told the Des Moines Register this week that he would “presumably” sign up for insurance through the federal health care exchange after his wife took a leave from her job at Goldman Sachs, which set off a firestorm. Democrats charge hypocrisy; Republicans wonder why he wouldn’t buy private insurance or use a COBRA plan. Cruz said he would not take federal subsidies, but now his aides say he is still exploring all of his options.

Several Republicans wondered aloud about the backstory behind this tactic. “The Cruz campaign should have seen that coming and been prepared,” said one GOPer in New Hampshire. “The stagecraft and timing of the announcement was top notch; the handling of the Obamacare enrollment was worse than amateurish.”

An Iowa Republican said Cruz’s fight to repeal the law is positive: “But it is quickly outweighed by his decision to go on the exchange to enroll in Obamacare. It is the height of irony. But I’m sure he’ll wear it like a badge of honor.”

Democrats cite Cruz’s announcement as proof that health insurance is more affordable on the Obamacare exchanges than outside of them. Many argue that it damages his credibility.

“New Hampshire has experienced a high ACA enrollment rate, and while a majority of New Hampshire citizens were frustrated by the rollout, those who now have health care coverage do not want to see it taken away,” said a Democrat. “The real question is: What would Ted Cruz do to address the issue? Saying no or taking funding away is not a solution.”

Most early-state Democrats want Hillary to back up Obama on Israel.

The Obama administration has been harshly critical of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government in the week since he won reelection. Unsurprisingly, 90 percent of Republicans think Hillary Clinton should distance herself from the White House on the issue. But two-thirds of Iowa Democrats and four-fifths of New Hampshire Democrats think the former secretary of state should stand firm with the president.

There is deep frustration on the left with Netanyahu, most recently over the way he used fear-mongering about Arab turnout to gin up conservative voters with an Election Day video.

“Netanyahu was the one who decided to politicize U.S.-Israel geopolitics for his own domestic political gain (or accepted John Boehner’s offer to do so),” said a New Hampshire Democrat. “I can see no upside for Hillary or any Democrat in fostering a relationship with Bibi. He clearly can’t be trusted.”

“She has to stand with Obama on this because he is right, and also because Netanyahu has shown himself to be a classically shifty politician who just says what he needs to be elected,” said a second.

“Very tricky issue here,” said a third, “but from a purely domestic political standpoint: As long as there is clamor for Warren or someone else in liberal base world, she needs to hem as close to President Obama as possible.”

While supporting Israel under any circumstances is a priority for some key Democratic donors, early state insiders say that the issue does not pack as much of a punch at the grassroots level.

“Most Iowans have never heard of AIPAC,” said a Democrat there. “Israel is not an issue that motivates many Iowa Democrats or Republicans.”

“She should not wade into the fray at all,” said another. “This is Obama’s story. It will fade, and then she can write her own story.”

“I feel we’ve finally hit a watershed moment in American politics where, at least on the Democratic side, it will be acceptable, even advantageous, to say no to Israel,” said a third.

A few Democrats think she should publicly disagree with Obama. “She needs to find ways to separate herself from Obama; this is a natural one given her background,” said an Iowan. “She needs to be proactive, not reactive,” said another.

And some Democratic activists urged Clinton to just say whatever she really thinks, rather than thinking through how various stakeholders might respond. “You might be surprised how much voters will like such refreshing behavior,” said a New Hampshire Democrat.

Seven in 10 Democrats don’t think Joe Biden would have a shot if he challenged Hillary.

Clinton is poised to enter the race soon, and she still appears unstoppable in her quest for the Democratic nod. But chatter continues about who might be credible enough to create a real race.

The vast majority of Democratic insiders, including most of those uneasy with Clinton, do not think Vice President Joe Biden is the man to do it. “The belief that Vice President Biden can’t beat Secretary Clinton is already baked in here among activists,” said an Iowan. “He has a small and loyal corps of support, but the unaligned Democratic activists in Iowa will break for Clinton or, possibly, a fresh face.”

“Vice President Biden is extremely well liked by Iowa Democrats,” said another. “There is no excitement around him though, it is a struggle to build crowds for him, and he is viewed as a great leader, but not the standard bearer to lead the party forward.”

“I would like to see Joe Biden exit the stage with dignity, not getting crushed by Hillary Clinton in the caucuses,” said a third.

A New Hampshire Democrat said the fondness for Biden is authentic, but that his Senate voting record — especially with respect to Wall Street, credit card companies and bankruptcy “reform” — won’t galvanize progressives.

“He would have real issues appealing to the 30 percent constituting the left wing of the party, the wing that is more likely to vote for someone other than Hillary Clinton,” said the Democrat. “So I don’t see where he gets his votes from.”

Clinton’s ability to break the ultimate glass ceiling also insulates her from another stiff challenge.

“Activists and core Dems are ready for a woman, or at least the right woman,” said a New Hampshire Democrat. “Much as I love Biden, he is now past his prime in electoral terms.”

Biden finished fifth in the 2008 Iowa caucuses with just 1 percent. He withdrew before New Hampshire, but his name remained on the ballot: He got a total of 638 votes, or 0.22 percent.

But that was eight years ago. “He’s the sitting vice president and is well liked in Iowa,” said a Democrat there. “And you can’t win if you don’t play!”

“People forget that liberals will only vote in the New Hampshire Democratic primary — independents are likely to vote GOP — so if Biden embraced the left lane and became Populist Uncle Joe, then yes, he would have a legitimate shot … albeit as an underdog,” said a Democrat there.

“It’s certainly a hell of a bank shot,” said another Granite State Democrat, “but he’s got to be taken seriously.”

These are the members of The POLITICO Caucus (not all of whom participated this week):

Iowa: Tim Albrecht, Brad Anderson, Rob Barron, Jeff Boeyink, Bonnie Campbell, Dave Caris, Sam Clovis, Sara Craig, Jerry Crawford, John Davis, Steve Deace, John Deeth, Derek Eadon, Ed Failor Jr., Karen Fesler, David Fischer, Doug Gross, Steve Grubbs, Tim Hagle, Bob Haus, Joe Henry, Drew Ivers, Jill June, Lori Jungling, Jeff Kaufmann, Brian Kennedy, Jake Ketzner, David Kochel, Chris Larimer, Chuck Larson, Jill Latham, Jeff Link, Dave Loebsack, Mark Lucas, Liz Mathis, Jan Michelson, Chad Olsen, David Oman, Matt Paul, Marlys Popma, Troy Price, Christopher Rants, Kim Reem, Craig Robinson, Sam Roecker, David Roederer, Nick Ryan, Tamara Scott, Joni Scotter, Karen Slifka, John Smith, AJ Spiker, Norm Sterzenbach, John Stineman, Matt Strawn, Phil Valenziano, Jessica Vanden Berg, Nate Willems, Eric Woolson, Grant Young

New Hampshire: Charlie Arlinghaus, Arnie Arnesen, Patrick Arnold, Rich Ashooh, Dean Barker, Juliana Bergeron, D.J. Bettencourt, Michael Biundo, Ray Buckley, Peter Burling, Jamie Burnett, Debby Butler, Dave Carney, Jackie Cilley, Catherine Corkery, Garth Corriveau, Fergus Cullen, Lou D’Allesandro, James Demers, Mike Dennehy, Sean Downey, Steve Duprey, JoAnn Fenton, Jennifer Frizzell, Martha Fuller Clark, Amanda Grady Sexton, Jack Heath, Gary Hirshberg, Jennifer Horn, Peter Kavanaugh, Joe Keefe, Rich Killion, Harrell Kirstein, Sylvia Larsen, Joel Maiola, Kate Malloy Corriveau, Maureen Manning, Steve Marchand, Tory Mazzola, Jim Merrill, Jayne Millerick, Claira Monier, Greg Moore, Matt Mowers, Terie Norelli, Chris Pappas, Liz Purdy, Tom Rath, Colin Reed, Jim Rubens, Andy Sanborn, Dante Scala, William Shaheen, Stefany Shaheen, Carol Shea-Porter, Terry Shumaker, Andy Smith, Craig Stevens, Kathy Sullivan, Chris Sununu, James Sununu, Jay Surdukowski, Donna Sytek, Kari Thurman, Colin Van Ostern, Deb Vanderbeek, Mike Vlacich, Ryan Williams

Kristen Hayford contributed to this report.


Poster Comment:

Maybe his ObamaCare death panel will take him out, before he's able to get Jeb Bush nominated, and Hillary elected president? (1 image)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 69.

#2. To: hondo68 (#0) (Edited)

I consider myself an evangelical Christian. I believe Ted Cruz when he says he is an evangelical Christian, as well. Therefore nothing is intended to impugn Sen. Cruz's personal walk with God. These are just observations re: his candidacy for POTUS.

He is not electable for many reasons - some of which I'll list:

1. His base (evangelical Christians like myself) is too small. As much as I dislike the term "reaching out" (because it usually means compromising one's values), it is a necessity if one is expecting to be elected to high office.

2. Staying on the subject of his base for a moment - his base is not only a small fraction of the general electorate, it is not even much of a player when it comes to the gop. In reality, the gop hates Cruz type conservatives. They expect our votes (where else ya gonna go?), but other than that it's sit down and shut up.

3. Cruz has not only made enemies, he's made the wrong kind of enemies. Enemies who are the movers and shakers (who make up the Ruling Class - your Boehners, McConnells, Roves and Bushes and the like). You don't make enemies of the ruling class and expect to be nominated to head one of the Branches of Their Party.

4. Cruz would be a big loser with Millennials. For whatever reason (and I've observed this first hand), even Millennials who don't vote or who's political opinions aren't fully formed have a deep dislike - bordering on hatred - for Cruz. Maybe it's due to Comedy Central, Social Media or whatever else influences that generation. Though I don't know firsthand much about it, I suspect most of the shows on Comedy Central have had a field day with him.

After all, they can't poke fun at Muslims, democrats or Obama. Pretty much all that's left to make sport of is evangelical Christians like Cruz.

So these are only 4 reasons, but there are many more.

But it doesn't matter - we're past the point where elections matter, anyway.

Rufus T Firefly  posted on  2015-04-04   14:14:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Rufus T Firefly, The Evangelical Card (#2) (Edited)

Pretty much all that's left to make sport of is evangelical Christians like Cruz.

I've voted for at least one evangelical in the past, so that's not a factor for me. Playing the Evangelical Card is not working.

Cruz does seem to have a bit of an issue with run of the mill non-evangelical Christians. He did go out of his way to attend a Christian gathering to tell them "You suck", and then walk out. However, he attended the Nelson Mandella service, and tweeted words of praise for the genocidal Commie scum.

Maybe Politico does have a problem with certain Christians, but so does Rafael Cruz.

Hondo68  posted on  2015-04-04   15:38:05 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: hondo68 (#3)

He did go out of his way to attend a Christian gathering to tell them "You suck", and then walk out.

It was an unprecedented gathering of all the ancient churches of the Mideast, many of whom hadn't had any real contact in many centuries. The conference was to draw attention to the deadly persecution of Christians across the Mideast.

Cruz showed up and declared "If you don't stand with Israel, I won't stand with you!" and stomped off the stage.

What a sleazebag. Apparently, he was trying to appeal to Sheldon Adelson and the RJC.

It was despicable. And, yes, I'm holding a grudge against Cruz for pulling such a scummy stunt.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-04   18:00:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: TooConservative (#4) (Edited)

Cruz showed up and declared "If you don't stand with Israel, I won't stand with you!" and stomped off the stage.

What a sleazebag. Apparently, he was trying to appeal to Sheldon Adelson and the RJC.

Yep, Cruz told the most persecuted group of Christians in the world -- those with histories, friends and families in the Middle East -- to fuck off.

Screw the bastard.

cranko  posted on  2015-04-04   19:06:44 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: cranko (#5)

Yep, Cruz told the most persecuted group of Christians in the world -- those with histories, friends and families in the Middle East -- to fuck off.

Screw the bastard.

He opened well enough, saying Christians have to take a united stand against terrorism in all its forms –pointedly including Hezbollah & Hamas among the list. This ruffled some feathers for reasons I’ll get to, but I think it would have been let go had he not moved into a disquisition on the nobility and rightness of the founding (not the existence today) of Israel.

Responding to grumbling about that, the Senator then said that Israel is the greatest ally of Christians in the Middle East, at which people from largely Christian Lebanon (I’m guessing the majority of the people in the room) took profound offense. They lay claim to that title.

Misreading (as I think) the reason for the grumbling, Cruz then said people who don’t love Israel hate the Jews and those who hate Israel hate America. At that point the Lebanese ambassador and one of the Patriarchs stomped out and a few people in the back of the room shouted comments at Cruz ( I couldn’t make out what they said.)

I would say about half the room applauded Senator Cruz — either in agreement or just wanting him to be allowed to have his say. It is important to note that early in his remarks the audience applauded when Senator Cruz said Christians need to be united in defense of Christians, and applauded again when he said they need to be united in defense of Jews.

A K A Stone  posted on  2015-04-04   19:31:44 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: A K A Stone (#6) (Edited)

How do you suppose Cruz would react if someone lectured a group of persecuted Cubans about Israel and told them that "if you cannot stand with Israel, I cannot stand with you."?

The explanations for what Cruz did fall short. He made a complete ass of himself to persecuted Christians.

AFAIK, he never did apologize.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-05   7:12:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: TooConservative (#8)

How do you suppose Cruz would react if someone lectured a group of persecuted Cubans about Israel and told them that "if you cannot stand with Israel, I cannot stand with you."?

The explanations for what Cruz did fall short. He made a complete ass of himself to persecuted Christians.

AFAIK, he never did apologize.

If "Christians" hate Israel. They probably aren't real Christians.

He shouldn't apologize as he did nothing wrong.

A K A Stone  posted on  2015-04-05   8:19:14 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: A K A Stone (#9)

He shouldn't apologize as he did nothing wrong.

I think attending a meeting to promote wider media awareness of persecuted Christians and then denouncing them because they don't love Israel as much as Cruz says he does (only because he wants Adelson's money so badly) is despicable.

Cruz made the big headlines and threw the martyrs of the Mideast under the bus and drove over them. And damned them in the process.

It was a cheap stunt and showed a real lack of character. There were indicators that he planned to do this to them well in advance.

Cruz was happy to throw the murdered, raped, indigent Christians of the Mideast under his bus as he whored himself for Adelson's cash. And it worked. His standing with Adelson and the RJC improved almost immediately. Before this stunt, the RJC types disliked and distrusted him.

So now we know which 30 pieces of Adelson's silver are the price to buy Ted Cruz.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-05   8:39:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: TooConservative (#10)

Adelson's money so badlyIt was a cheap stunt and showed a real lack of character. There were indicators that he planned to do this to them well in advance.

What was his exact words that were so offensive?

A K A Stone  posted on  2015-04-05   8:47:59 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: A K A Stone (#11)

What was his exact words that were so offensive?

The conclusion of his offensive speech, most of which did not address Mideast Christians in any way, shape or form:

Cruz: “If you will not stand with Israel and the Jews,” he said. “Then I will not stand with you. Good night, and God bless.” And with that, he walked off the stage.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-05   8:56:53 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: TooConservative (#16)

Cruz: “If you will not stand with Israel and the Jews,” he said. “Then I will not stand with you. Good night, and God bless.” And with that, he walked off the stage.

So basically if they stand with the muslims who want to murder all the Jews he will not stand with them.

Good for Cruz. I like him even better now. Thank You.

A K A Stone  posted on  2015-04-05   8:59:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: A K A Stone (#18)

Good for Cruz. I like him even better now. Thank You.

That most of his supporters think this way is a good sign that Cruz can never get the GOP nomination.

Cruz has a small sliver of GOP voters, mostly Tea folk who imagine themselves to constitute a great Silent Majority. He has almost no room to grow outside that core constituency. He also has a habit of making very rash statements in public of which his condemnation of persecuted Mideast Christians is only one example.

Cruz's supporters seem to have a habit of confusing "invective" for "statesmanlike". It is one of the main reasons that the Tea candidates fared rather poorly in 2014 against the GOP establishment, losing virtually every race.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-05   9:15:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#33. To: TooConservative (#20) (Edited)

Cruz has a small sliver of GOP voters, mostly Tea folk who imagine themselves to constitute a great Silent Majority. He has almost no room to grow outside that core constituency.

Not true at all. An utterly myopic narrative.

He also has a habit of making very rash statements in public...

This may be true regarding "rash statements", but then the same was said and written of Ronald Reagan.

This op-ed piece from Politico is the biggest piece of trash and Goebellian propaganda on a candidate I've EVER seen (for a candidate so supposedly marginalized by his own party.)

All this proves is that the RNC is trying like mad to stop the F-14's from launching from the carrier deck of the USS Cruz.

The truth (and the GOPe and their moderate know it) is that once he's up in the air, he'll be tough to beat. So they'll try and sabotage the carrier deck NOW. Or later. It doesn't matter to them.

Liberator  posted on  2015-04-06   13:03:09 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#35. To: Liberator (#33)

This may be true regarding "rash statements", but then the same was said and written of Ronald Reagan.

Reagan was never needlessly provocative. You can't say the same for Cruz.

Yet Cruz is an expert lawyer and an expert in using language. So you have to conclude that Cruz is using this as a deliberate tactic. Some say they think he's trying to push the entire GOP much further Right.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-06   13:38:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#41. To: TooConservative (#35)

Reagan was never needlessly provocative. You can't say the same for Cruz.

Isn't "never provocative" completely subjective?? Many believe Reagan was indeed needlessly provocative. And a nutjob. Someone who was going to blow up the GOP, the nation, AND the world with his words.

Cruz IS provocative. AND bold. A leader America desperately needs. No one BUT someone who is provocative and bold will put a dent in this subversive universe of Uni-Party of politics and PC national suicide where the constitution, conservationism and common sense are getting our head bashed.

To quote Barry Goldwater, "Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice."

Yet Cruz is an expert lawyer and an expert in using language. So you have to conclude that Cruz is using this as a deliberate tactic. Some say they think he's trying to push the entire GOP much further Right.

Yeah, and so? Is he fighting "unfairly" or something? The GOP NEEDS to move MUCH further right. It's platform and comittment to conservative principle has been shaken and torn apart like a ragdoll. The feckless, rudderless GOP is philosophically to the left of Dem Party, circa 1976. Of coure I expect you to disagree on this, Cruz's "tactics," and punching the RNC right in the face.

Liberator  posted on  2015-04-06   14:28:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#60. To: Liberator (#41)

To quote Barry Goldwater, "Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice."

Yeah, 'cause that worked so well in '64, eh?

That you and Cruz think this will actually work in 2016 says a lot about why Cruz has such limited potential to grow a supporter base.

If it didn't work in '64 in the wake of the Cuban missile crisis and the assassination of an American president by a Soviet sympathizer, it won't work now.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-07   7:30:56 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#61. To: TooConservative (#60)

If it didn't work in '64 in the wake of the Cuban missile crisis and the assassination of an American president by a Soviet sympathizer, it won't work now.

Yeah really man. Because the public was so ready to replace that VP of an assassinated President. Cruz is more like Reagan then Goldwater. Wasn't goldwater in favor of special rights for faggots? Goldwater wasn't that great. In fact wasn't the piece of shit Goldwater in favor of mass baby exterminations.

I don't think Goldwater would make the cut to get on Gods team.

Cruz is smarter then Goldwater. Higher morals too.

Would you ever vote for a Jeb Bush? I wouldn't.

A K A Stone  posted on  2015-04-07   7:36:34 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#67. To: A K A Stone, for sale or rent (#61)

Cruz is smarter then Goldwater. Higher morals too.

Goldwater was born in a US Territory (Arizona), Cruz was born in Canada. Raffie Ted the traitor, recently renounced his Canadian citizenship. If he's not loyal to his native Canuck homeland, why would he care about the US either?

No morals whatsoever. For sale to the highest bidder... Goldman Sachs, CFR, Soros, Raul Casto, Nelson Mandela, Acorn, whomever.

Hondo68  posted on  2015-04-07   10:53:53 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#69. To: hondo68 (#67)

I especially like the Mountie outfit.

Maybe the Horde could work up a Dudley Do-Right parody. Like some Tedly Do-Right cartoons.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-07   12:35:22 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 69.

#70. To: TooConservative (#69)

Cruz was born to an American citizen parent. He is a natural born citizen. Doesn't matter where he was born. The sole question is whether or not he was born a citizen. He was, and he's over 35, so he's eligible.

I'd have to think hard before I decided whether or not I could vote for him, but his citizenship is not on the list of things about which I am concerned.

The whole: "Put Israel before your own personal experiences, you Arab Christians" thing is probably a show-stopper.

Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-07 12:42:24 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 69.

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