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What Happens Inside Gaza’s Secret Tunnels? | Unpacked Hamas Torture Bodycam Footage: "These Monsters Filmed it All" | IDF Warfighter Doron Keidar, Ep. 225 EXPOSED: The Dark Truth About the Hostages in Gaza New Task Force Ready To Expose Dark Secrets Egypt Amasses Forces on Israel’s Southern Border | World War 3 About to Start? "Trump wants to dismantle the Education Department. Here’s how it would work" test "Federal Workers Concerned That Returning To Office Will Interfere With Them Not Working" "Yes, the Democrats Have a Governing Problem – They Blame America First, Then Govern Accordingly" "Trump and His New Frenemies, Abroad and at Home" "The Left’s Sin Is of Omission and Lost Opportunity" Status: Not Logged In; Sign In politics and politicians See other politics and politicians Articles Title: Two new polls show Ted Cruz in top tier of 2016 GOP field Source: HotAir URL Source: http://hotair.com/archives/2015/04/ ... in-top-tier-of-2016-gop-field/ Published: Apr 2, 2015 Author: Allahpundit Post Date: 2015-04-02 13:37:54 by Tooconservative Keywords: Cruz, Walker, Huckabee Views: 1958 Comments: 25 Some high-five material for Cruz fans from WaPo and PPP. A little post-announcement bounce here or something more? In the contest for the Republican nomination, Bush tops the field with 20 percent of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents saying they would support him if their primary or caucus were held today. He is followed by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 13 percent and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker at 12 percent. Five other Republicans receive at least 6 percent support, with an additional six candidates at either 2 or 1 percent. Bush, Cruz and Walker are the only three to register noticeable gains since the last Post-ABC survey on the GOP race in December. He was tied for third place at eight percent in WaPo’s December poll, so maybe this is just a bounce. Or, per PPP, maybe not: PPP’s newest Republican national poll finds that Ted Cruz has the big momentum following the official announcement of his candidacy last week. His support has increased from 5% to 16% in just over a month, enough to make him one of three candidates in the top tier of GOP contenders, along with Scott Walker and Jeb Bush. Walker continues to lead the field with 20%, although that’s down from his 25% standing a month ago. Bush continues to poll at 17%, followed by Cruz at 16%, Ben Carson and Rand Paul at 10%, Marco Rubio and Mike Huckabee at 6%, Chris Christie at 4%, and Rick Perry at 3%. Cruz has really caught fire with voters identifying themselves as ‘very conservative’ since his announcement. After polling at only 11% with them a month ago, he now leads the GOP field with 33% to 25% for Walker and 12% for Carson with no one else in double digits. Last month Walker led with that group and almost all of the decline in his overall support over the last month has come within it as those folks have moved toward Cruz. Cruz’s name recognition with Republican voters has increased from 61% to 82% since his announcement. The key detail: Not only is Cruz eating up some of Walker’s conservative support, he’s also (predictably) now eating up some of Ben Carson’s and Mike Huckabee’s. Carson dropped from 18 percent in PPP’s last poll to 10 percent this month while Huckabee’s dipped from 10 percent to six percent. That’s exactly what Cruz needs to give him legs in the primaries. The more social conservatives decide they prefer the polished, full-spectrum conservative to the novice Carson or the squishier Huck, the likelier it is that Cruz will consolidate values voters. That would make him a legit threat in Iowa and South Carolina. And yeah, granted, Cruz has a unique poll advantage at the moment in that he’s the only candidate to have officially declared that he’s running; Carson, Huckabee, Walker, and Paul will all receive bounces of their own when they announce, carving off pieces of Cruz’s support — in theory. In practice, I’m not sure that’s true: It’s easy to see why Christian conservatives would migrate from Carson to Cruz, who checks all the same values boxes and is far better versed on policy. It’s not easy to see why they’d shift the opposite way, even after Carson formally jumps in. I think Cruz and Huck and will consume most of Carson’s support over the rest of the year, with social cons left divided between the two of them. You would think that’d be an easy match-up for Cruz given how many tea partiers love him and disdain Huckabee, but I don’t know. Huck will be positioning himself as a full-spectrum conservative for the primaries too, with little daylight between him and Cruz on most foreign and domestic policy questions. Once that happens, it may come down to a choice between their respective personal styles for many social cons, which would be a bad omen for Cruz given how personally popular Huckabee is among Republicans. (His favorable rating is routinely among the best of all GOP candidates.) Cruz’s campaign strategy over the next six months will be to convince voters that Rand Paul is far too squishy on foreign policy to be trusted while Huckabee is far too squishy on domestic policy. That’s his best shot at becoming a consensus social-con choice. There’s an X factor too that might help keep Cruz in the top tier even after everyone else has jumped into the pool. The brighter the spotlight shines on religious liberty after the RFRA wars in Indiana and Arkansas, the greater the opportunity for Cruz — and Huckabee — to impress conservatives by speaking out loudly and often as Christian champions of freedom of conscience. Dave Weigel joked on Twitter yesterday that he’s putting 20 bucks on Huckabee to be the first GOP candidate to show up in Walkerton, Indiana and buy a slice from Memories Pizza, but there’s political truth behind that gag. Huck and Cruz will spend the next nine months competing to be the most stalwart defender of values in the primary. The more the news involves conflicts over values, the more center-right voters may come to appreciate their message. And maybe not just center-right voters either. Oh, by the way: According to PPP, Chris Christie’s favorable rating among GOP primary voters right now is … 24/57. Hillary’s probably isn’t much worse. Poster Comment: Cruz vs. Walker vs. Huckabee vs. Carson. I thought the writer got pretty close to the truth here: the Religious Right will have to find one candidate to back or find themselves powerless. And their leaders know it. Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread   Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest #1. To: TooConservative (#0) In the contest for the Republican nomination, Bush tops the field with 20 percent of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents saying they would support him if their primary or caucus were held today. He is followed by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 13 percent and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker at 12 percent. Five other Republicans receive at least 6 percent support, with an additional six candidates at either 2 or 1 percent. Bush, Cruz and Walker are the only three to register noticeable gains since the last Post-ABC survey on the GOP race in December. I think Rand Paul may turn out to be the "Bill Clinton" of the primary season. NOT his politics, but his wait and let the bigger wolves eat each other first. "For the Lord is our Judge, The Lord is our Lawgiver, The Lord is our King; He will save us" (Isaiah 33:22) redleghunter  posted on  2015-04-02   13:48:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #2. To: redleghunter (#1) (Edited) I think Rand Paul may turn out to be the "Bill Clinton" of the primary season. NOT his politics, but his wait and let the bigger wolves eat each other first. Maybe so. No doubt he's reviewed how his dad was savaged by the rest of the GOP pack in 2008 and 2012. Ron kinda made himself a target by going Full Libertarian at times so he was sorta asking for it. Not that it looked so nice for the rest of the GOP candidates to browbeat a frail elderly man. But Rand won't be so sympathetic a figure as his dad was either. But this is a Cruz thread. I did like how AP discussed the Tea vote and how it breaks, who is gaining and losing in that segment of the activist base and most dogged primary voters. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-02   14:19:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #3. To: TooConservative, redleghunter (#2) Cruz and Huckabee are Southern Baptists. Carson is a 7th Day Adventist. Walker is a non-denominational Christian. Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-02   17:27:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #4. To: Vicomte13 (#3) Carson is a 7th Day Adventist. Walker is a non-denominational Christian. Carson's dad was a 7th Day preacher. Not sure if Carson still belongs. Walker's dad is a retired Baptist preacher but Walker attends some generic evangelical church. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-02   21:39:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #5. To: TooConservative (#4) Walker attends some generic evangelical church. "Generic evangelical"? Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-02   21:43:16 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #6. To: Vicomte13 (#5) "Generic evangelical"? Would you prefer "crypto-evangelical"? A lot of no-brand evangelical churches would have been your run-of-the-mill Baptist churches or charismatic churches a generation ago. Now, many avoid the labeling just to try to get people through the door. A lot of evangelical churches should be called same-as-Baptist or same-as-charismatic. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-02   21:50:09 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #7. To: TooConservative (#6) There's a charismatic branch of Catholicism. When I had my visions I was pointed in their direction. I appreciate the enthusiasm, but honestly, I'm a smells-and-bells choir-and-stained-glass sort of guy. Truth: I sing in the choir so that I'll go. Also because they don't pass the collection plate in the choir loft. I sing. That's my bit. Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-03   0:37:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #8. To: Vicomte13 (#7) Also because they don't pass the collection plate in the choir loft. Shrewd. Some Baptists know the same dodge. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-03   1:00:04 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #9. To: redleghunter (#1) but his wait and let the bigger wolves eat each other first. I don't know, red. He seems to have done a pretty good job of chewing off his own leg. http://www.tedcruz.org out damned spot  posted on  2015-04-03   3:59:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #10. To: TooConservative, Vicomte13 (#6) A lot of evangelical churches should be called same-as-Baptist or same-as-charismatic. Or named fundamentalist....in the good way, not the pejorative. Based on the 5 Fundamentals. Some ended up migrating to Baptist churches and some towards Evangelical. The Charismatics are mostly Pentecostal. "“Do not be afraid, for I know that you seek Jesus who was crucified. 6 He is not here; for He is risen, as He said." (Matthew 28:5,6) redleghunter  posted on  2015-04-03   10:45:22 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #11. To: Vicomte13, TooConservative (#7) There's a charismatic branch of Catholicism. When I had my visions I was pointed in their direction. I appreciate the enthusiasm, but honestly, I'm a smells-and-bells choir-and-stained-glass sort of guy. It seems most Parish priests will 'off load' anyone not fitting the normal parishioner to the charismatics. Had a friend who was charismatic Catholic. His bishop for some reason "punted" the church social workers to the charismatics. Probably did not know what to do with both categories:) The socialist Catholics tried to turn the folks who were there for more Bible study, singing, and speaking in tongues into Marxist foot soldiers. He and others had to go to another parish. The straw that broke that camel's back was the socialist types wanted to go to every rally and protest there is BUT Pro-Life rallies, marches etc. That about did it for my buddy. Then again I know several people who are still in vibrant Catholic charismatic churches. "“Do not be afraid, for I know that you seek Jesus who was crucified. 6 He is not here; for He is risen, as He said." (Matthew 28:5,6) redleghunter  posted on  2015-04-03   10:54:33 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #12. To: TooConservative, Vicomte13 (#8) Also because they don't pass the collection plate in the choir loft. Shrewd. Some Baptists know the same dodge. Certainly shows the focus. I moved a bit in the Army and most churches I attended did pass a plate around. But the three Evangelical churches I went to had a 'drop box' at the door. Everyone put in what their heart led them to put in. The flip side is those megachurches. One of my NCOs told me once he joined one of those churches, he was inprocessed like he was entering the Army. He went from station to station filling out forms and one was a 'Direct Deposit' 'gift' sign up form. If he filled it out his weekly or monthly donation would be taken out from his pay electronically. Of course the 'suggested rate' was 10% or more. How most churches are run these days it is no longer an organism but an organi$ation. "“Do not be afraid, for I know that you seek Jesus who was crucified. 6 He is not here; for He is risen, as He said." (Matthew 28:5,6) redleghunter  posted on  2015-04-03   11:01:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #13. To: redleghunter (#12) How most churches are run these days it is no longer an organism but an organi$ation. It is appalling. They've become brand-name franchises. I mostly blame Rick Warren and his church-growth philosophy. You might also recall how he "sanitized" Obama during the joint appearance with Obama and McStain back in 2008. Another reason to dislike and distrust him. And a lot of other brand-name preachers and their megachurches. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-03   11:47:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #14. To: TooConservative (#13) It is appalling. They've become brand-name franchises. I mostly blame Rick Warren and his church-growth philosophy. You might also recall how he "sanitized" Obama during the joint appearance with Obama and McStain back in 2008. Another reason to dislike and distrust him. And a lot of other brand-name preachers and their megachurches Many will say to me on that day, 'Lord, Lord, did we not prophesy in your name and in your name drive out demons and in your name perform many miracles?' Then I will tell them plainly, 'I never knew you. Away from me, you evildoers!' ~Matt. 7:22-23 Rufus T Firefly  posted on  2015-04-03   12:00:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #15. To: TooConservative (#13) I figure my singing IS my gift. There's the extra time before the mass, and the weeknight practices. I have no excess to speak of anyway. My wife sits in the pews and puts something in the pot every week. Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-03   12:30:39 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #16. To: Vicomte13 (#15) Like you should even care so much about my opinion anyway... Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-03   12:40:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #17. To: TooConservative (#16) Like you should even care so much about my opinion anyway... Well, I think there's a basic understanding of right and wrong in people. I think it's installed in us before we're born. So, people's opinions about things that seem wrong to them are worth listening to. I often tell myself that, in truth, it would be better if I just stopped posting on the Internet completely. It takes a lot of time that could be improved. It never accomplishes anything, in my experience. It makes me think of people standing outside of buildings smoking cigarettes. It's not good for them. It's expensive. It's a waste of time. It's just an addiction, and pure negative. The Internet gets that way. I know that if I put up a blog, it would be an empty and barren place. I've seen friends do this, put up sites, and then have nobody come. it's humiliating. On chat boards, there are people to engage with. But ultimately, really, this is cigarette smoking for the mind. A time sump. I should stop this. Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-03   12:46:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #18. To: Vicomte13 (#17) It never accomplishes anything, Yes it does. You teach people. I don't agree with everything you say. But I can honestly say I have learned some stuff from your posts. I consider you a good fella. A K A Stone  posted on  2015-04-03   12:59:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #19. To: Vicomte13 (#17) But ultimately, really, this is cigarette smoking for the mind. A time sump. I think you overestimate how much can be accomplished but underappreciate the actual influence of your posts. But, no, you aren't going to change the world by posting on anon message boards. It's a little too 20th century. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-03   13:13:20 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #20. To: TooConservative (#19) I think you overestimate how much can be accomplished ... It's a little too 20th century. This is the part that frustrates me. People should hearken to the truth, change when they hear it, and go forth to do the right thing, together. (Too First Century?) Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-03   19:46:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #21. To: Vicomte13 (#20) People should hearken to the truth, change when they hear it, and go forth to do the right thing, together. (Too First Century?) The majority don't generally choose to do the right thing. They do the convenient thing, the easy thing, the familiar thing. That was true in the first century as well. Those early churches were always embattled and oppressed minorities. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-04   7:52:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #22. To: TooConservative (#21) Yeh. Truth is, the world doesn't WANT to be saved. Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-04   8:58:28 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #23. To: Vicomte13 (#22) Scripture warns us this will always be true. It's true in secular contexts as well. Human beings, what are you gonna do... Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-04   9:00:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #24. To: TooConservative (#23) Human beings, what are you gonna do... Me? Teach the truth. Get ignored and ridiculed. Get frustrated, pissed and resigned, by turns. Walk away. Then recapture the desire to "see what people are saying", and start conversing, and pretty soon, be back at the head of the cycle. Vicomte13  posted on  2015-04-04   13:21:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   #25. To: Vicomte13 (#24) Maybe you expect a little too much from an anonymous chat board. Tooconservative  posted on  2015-04-04   14:17:31 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply   Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest

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