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Title: Left Panics over Peer-Reviewed Climate Paper’s Threat to Global Warming Alarmism
Source: Breitbart
URL Source: http://www.breitbart.com/big-journa ... at-to-global-warming-alarmism/
Published: Feb 24, 2015
Author: William Bigelow
Post Date: 2015-02-24 09:46:15 by cranky
Keywords: None
Views: 13232
Comments: 46

You’ve heard it said that the science is settled. And it’s true. It is settled–settled beyond the possibility of any dispute. A fundamental, inescapable, indubitable bedrock scientific principle is that lousy theories make lousy predictions.

Climate forecasts are lousy, therefore it is settled science that they must necessarily be based on lousy theories. And lousy theories should not be trusted.

Put it this way. Climate forecasts, of the type relied upon by the IPCC and over governmental entities, stink. They are no good. They have been promising ever increasing temperatures for decades, but the observations have been more or less steady. This must mean–it is inescapable–that something is very badly wrong with the theory behind the models. What?

There are many guesses. One is that something called “climate sensitivity,” a measure of the overall reaction of the atmosphere to carbon dioxide, is set too high in the models. So Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates, and I created a model to investigate this. Although our model is crude and captures only the barest characteristics of the atmosphere, it matches reality better than its luxuriously funded, more complex cousins.

The funding is important. Nobody asked or paid us to create our model. We asked nobody for anything, and nobody offered us anything. We did the work on our own time and submitted a peer-reviewed paper to the Science Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. It’s title is “Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model.

The paper was quickly noticed, receiving at this writing well over 10,000 downloads. Anybody who understood the settled science that bad theories make bad forecasts knew that this paper was a key challenge to the climatological community to show that our guess of why climate models stink is wrong, or to prove there were other, better explanations for the decades-long failure to produce skillful forecasts.

After the paper made international news, strange things began to happen. My site was hacked. A pest named David Appell issued a FOIA request to Legates’s employer, the University of Delaware, to release all of Legates’s emails. But since we received no funding for our paper, which of course implies no state funding from Delaware, the university turned Appell down.

The cult-like Greenpeace had better luck with Soon’s employer, the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, who were very obliging.

They turned over all of Soon’s emails. And then Greenpeace sent them to a set of sympathetic mainstream reporters.

Why did Greenpeace do this? Because they suspected we were lying about receiving funding. They were hoping that if they could prove Soon was paid then Soon should have declared to Science Bulletin a conflict of interest, and because he didn’t (none of us did), then he should retract the paper.

Greenpeace went away disappointed. We were telling the truth. Soon, like most research scientists, has in the past accepted money from sources other than our beneficent government (and what makes government money pure?). Greenpeace, for instance, often issues these kinds of grants. But there was no money for this paper, as we said.

But Greenpeace still needed to sidetrack discussion—anything to distract from the news that climate models are broken–hence their cozying up to “science reporters.”

These reporters, all of whom are paid by corporate interests, emailed asking about the “alleged conflict.” I explained to them that we received no funding and thus had no conflict of interest. But they never heard me. It was as if they didn’t want to. I offered to discuss the science behind our paper, but none took me up on this.

I posted a running log of these emails at my site, and they make for fascinating reading of how narrow-minded and willfully ignorant the mainstream press can be.

Justin Gillis of the New York Times was particularly reprehensible. In an email sent before publishing a hit piece on Sunday, Gillis accused Soon of an “ethical breach.” He issued veiled threats by saying that Soon ought to talk to him, because Soon’s employer “may be preparing to take adverse personnel action against” him.

I told Gillis there was no conflict. And I asked Gillis to explain his ties with Greenpeace and other environmental organizations.

Surprisingly, he refused to answer. Well, he did block me on Twitter.

Greenpeace denies the settled science that bad forecasts mean incorrect theories. Don’t let them change the subject. This is not about some false accusation of conflict of interest. This is about bad science passing for good because it’s politically expedient. (1 image)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 44.

#4. To: cranky (#0)

Science is essentially useless.

It is the vector by which AIDS spread.

It gave thalidomide babies their flippers.

It has given us global warming.

It promises us that marijuana is harmless.

It told us that eggs were killing us, so people took statin drugs, which are killing them.

It told us that lobotomies were the way to handle mental patients. Then it suggested shock therapy. Now it has a huge number of kids wired on drugs.

It tells us that GMOs are safe.

It told us nothing could most faster than light. Then it told us that the universe expands faster than light.

Endless crap piled upon crap, grand theories rising and falling in a lifetime.

Science is highly unreliably and must never be the basis for any major decision.

Vicomte13  posted on  2015-02-25   17:20:31 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Vicomte13, Deckard, tpaine (#4) (Edited)

It promises us that marijuana is harmless.

Easy, you will bring the LF DRUG LORDS down upon you to spam you with their pro drug propaganda. You might even be outcast as a constitutional traitor.

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   17:42:17 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: GrandIsland, Y'ALL (#6) (Edited)

Vicomte13,--- It promises us that marijuana is harmless.

Easy, you will bring the LF DRUG LORDS down upon you to spam you with their pro drug propaganda. You might even be outcast as a constitutional traitor. -- grandilusion

Funny man. - But not a comic..

Marijuana is not harmless. Nothing smokeable is, as I learned by having throat cancer at 53, from 40 years of tobacco cigarettes.

And marijuana prohibition is not harmless. No unconstitutional prohibition ever is, as if made evident by the wars on booze, guns, and drugs.

Now poor GrandIsland is not very good at debate, and his support and defense of these unconstitutional 'wars' is in direct opposition to his oath as a police officer to support and defend the constitution. --- IMHO.

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-25   18:16:13 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: tpaine (#7) (Edited)

Now poor GrandIsland is not very good at debate, and his support and defense of these unconstitutional 'wars' is in direct opposition to his oath as a police officer to support and defend the constitution. --- IMHO.

What's to debate?

It's not good for you

Freedoms and liberties outweigh the bad.

I feel everyone should be free to suck up as much of the bad as they like. I just don't wanna pay for any of the bad that comes with it. Don't tax me to fund it, don't raise my insurance premium to cover it, don't ask me to administer medical help, feed you, pay for addiction services... nothing. If you overdose... just die, please... and thank you.

Discussion complete

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   18:56:38 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: GrandIsland (#11)

Discussion complete.

If that's the way you want to leave it, hanging on your own petard, fine with me. ;-)

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-25   19:19:45 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: tpaine (#13)

Well what's wrong with leaving it that way?

You feel weed should be legal. SO DO I.

I feel I shouldn't have to pay the downside of any addiction or substance use. You disagree?

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   19:24:49 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: GrandIsland (#15)

Now poor GrandIsland is not very good at debate, and his support and defense of these unconstitutional 'wars' is in direct opposition to his oath as a police officer to support and defend the constitution. --- IMHO.

What's to debate? --- Discussion complete.

Fine with me..

Well what's wrong with leaving it that way?

If you're happy with my comments, I'm happy..

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-25   19:34:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: tpaine (#16) (Edited)

Btw, just pick an average home in LA that is for sale around 250,000. Look at the TOTAL property taxes. Then look at a 250,000 home near Phoenix Arizona. Look at the TOTAL taxes.

You'll find the taxes are HALF as much as kookifornia. That means you pay extra just for your tyrannical fuckin. You must enjoy your restrictive gun laws. You WILLINGLY PAY dearly for them.

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   19:56:06 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: GrandIsland (#19)

Btw, just pick an average home in LA that is for sale around 250,000. Look at the TOTAL property taxes. Then look at a 250,000 home near Phoenix Arizona. Look at the TOTAL taxes.

You'll find the taxes are HALF as much as kookifornia.

Prove it. -- Post some specifics.

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-25   20:12:53 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: tpaine (#21) (Edited)

To: GrandIsland Btw, just pick an average home in LA that is for sale around 250,000. Look at the TOTAL property taxes. Then look at a 250,000 home near Phoenix Arizona. Look at the TOTAL taxes. You'll find the taxes are HALF as much as kookifornia and 3 times more than Alabama. And Alabama has better gun laws that your nazi preference of state.

Prove it. -- Post some specifics.

17495 W Woodrow Ln, Surprise, AZ 85388 4 beds 2.5 baths 1,902 sqft

FOR SALE $174,900

YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025

------------------------------------------------------------

5605 Summer Wood Ct, Bakersfield, CA 93313 3 beds 2 baths 1,152 sqft FOR SALE $174,800

YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $2,279

Don't ever ask me to research your ignorance again. You didn't think I've studied tax rates before retirement? If we both lived in each of these houses... you'd pay double what I pay for California to bend you over. Trust me when I say, NY and Kookifornia are easily, on average TWICE as expensive for property and school taxes than Arizona.

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   20:44:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#25. To: GrandIsland (#24) (Edited)

Prove it. -- Post some specifics.

17495 W Woodrow Ln, Surprise, AZ 85388 4 beds 2.5 baths 1,902 sqft

FOR SALE $174,900

YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025

Correct. That's the taxes BEFORE the sale, --- after selling, the property is 're-assessed'. - -What would they be AFTER the sale? ---- I'd bet you don't know..

------------------------------------------------------------

5605 Summer Wood Ct, Bakersfield, CA 93313 3 beds 2 baths 1,152 sqft FOR SALE $174,800

YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $2,279

And after the house sells , the property assessor is limited to tax at approximately 1% of value, by a CA law, commonly known as prop 13. --- Thus the tax would be approx. $1750, if it sold for asking.

Don't ever ask me to research your ignorance again. You didn't think I've studied tax rates before retirement? If we both lived in each of these houses... you'd pay double what I pay for California to bend you over. Trust me when I say, NY and Kookifornia are easily, on average TWICE as expensive for property and school taxes than Arizona.

Sorry, but you've made a fool of yourself once again..

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-25   21:05:13 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#27. To: tpaine (#25)

Sorry, but you've made a fool of yourself once again..

Made a fool of you... for proving you wrong.

How the F*** did you not think that kookifornia wouldn't be so high?

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   21:19:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#28. To: GrandIsland (#27)

You posted: ---

YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025.

Correct. That's the (Arizona) taxes BEFORE the sale, --- after selling, the property is 're-assessed'. --- What would they be the year AFTER the sale? ---- I'd bet you don't know..

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-25   21:25:21 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#29. To: tpaine (#28) (Edited)

Look, Einstein, I posted the SAME figures from the same realtor listings for each house... HERE IS FACT, The kookifornia house PAID TWICE AS MUCH PROPERTY TAXES as the Arizona house did in 2014 for a house listed at the same price.

Take your spin elsewhere. Your inability to say you are wrong is pathetic.

Fact, generally, a kookifornian will pay twice as much taxes as an Arizona resident. That extra tax money is a gift to kookifornia for their statist laws.

Admit it, you aren't serious about your constitution. You willingly pay more taxes to get constitutionally fucked.

You enjoy statism. You MUST, you pay extra for it. lol

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   21:38:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#32. To: GrandIsland (#29)

YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025.

Correct. That's the (Arizona) taxes BEFORE the sale, --- after selling, the property is 're-assessed'. --- What would they be the year AFTER the sale? ---- I'd bet you don't know..

Look, Einstein, I posted the SAME figures from the same realtor listings for each house... HERE IS FACT, The kookifornia house PAID TWICE AS MUCH as the Arizona house did in 2014 for a house listed at the same price, IN PROPERTY TAXES.

The 2014 taxes mean little, because the property's are 're-assessed' for value after the sale, and the new taxes are based on that sale value.

Take your spin elsewhere.

It's not spin, it's the facts about how property is assessed and taxed in California. -- I built houses and my wife sold them, and many others, for years. We were both licensed , and knew our business.

Your inability to say you are wrong is pathetic.

Your inability to refute my comments is noted.

Fact, generally, a kookifornian will pay twice as much taxes as an Arizona resident. That extra tax money is a gift to kookifornia for their statist laws. Admit it, you aren't serious about your constitution. You willingly pay more to get fucked.

Fact, -- you have yet to establish that; -- "generally, a kookifornian will pay twice as much taxes as an Arizona resident". --- Let us know when you find out what the taxes would be on that Arizona house, after it sells.

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-25   22:04:07 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#34. To: tpaine (#32) (Edited)

And I've noticed none of your constitutional scholar posting buddies will risk sounding wrong and come to your defense. This was cut and dry. You pay twice as much for your statist love. lol

I left everyone related to me to not fund statism. EVERYTHING! I lived in a shithole apartment since 2008, so I wouldn't fund the statist machine until I retired. I lived in such a shithole, that I lived over a bar, in s one bedroom outdated shithole, with paneling on the walls, the ceiling leaked when it rained... and my shower water pressure was nonexistent. The rent was 300.00 a month and that included heat. I made sure that my rent was less than just property taxes were had I bought a house. I suffered so I could leave that state the second I retired... and I did.

Someday you will be as serious towards your rights as I am.

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-25   22:21:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#40. To: GrandIsland (#34)

Someday you will be as serious towards your rights as I am.

And living in a shithole apt somehow proves that?

Thanks for posting that shithole essay on your recent lifestyle. It's no wonder you're the bitter, rather nasty poster you are. -- Maybe a pity party is in order?

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-26   10:48:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#43. To: tpaine (#40)

And living in a shithole apt somehow proves that?

That I made sacrifices to avoid funding a nazi machine in NY. Something you refuse to do.

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-26   12:17:56 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#44. To: GrandIsland (#43)

Thanks for posting that shithole essay on your recent lifestyle. It's no wonder you're the bitter, rather nasty poster you are.

Someday you will be as serious towards your rights as I am.

And living in a shithole apt somehow proves that?

That I made sacrifices to avoid funding a nazi machine in NY. Something you refuse to do.

-- Maybe a pity party is in order?

Inner city welfare muts feel the same way as you. They feel repressed in Ferguson... but hate to leave the welfare lifestyle. They must be patriots like you. lol --- Someday you'll make sacrifices instead of feeling you're the most important person you know. Freedom and liberty isn't free. --- If you can't help yourself, don't expect me to help you. Keep funding the kookifornia tyrannical machine. It's like pissing your pants and complaining you smell.
I have no idea why you think I need your help for anything.. In fact I pity you, for your self professed 'shithole' lifestyle.

tpaine  posted on  2015-02-26   13:58:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 44.

#45. To: tpaine (#44)

I have no idea why you think I need your help for anything..

You seem to get gratification if you could get my blessing for you to break any Kookifornia law you feel is injust. That's the "help" you seek. Don't deny it. Admitting is your first step towards recovery.

You need to put your big boy pants on and decide yourself, what laws you will obey.

One suggestion tho, stop funding the machine that chains you. That's the only blessing I can give you.

GrandIsland  posted on  2015-02-26 15:01:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 44.

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