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Economy
See other Economy Articles

Title: U.S. Payrolls Rose 117,000 in July; Jobless Rate Fell to 9.1%
Source: Bloomberg News
URL Source: http://www.bloomberg.com
Published: Aug 5, 2011
Author: Bob Willis
Post Date: 2011-08-05 08:33:13 by war
Keywords: None
Views: 5101
Comments: 10

Aug. 5 (Bloomberg) -- Employers added more jobs than forecast in July, the jobless rate fell and wages climbed, easing concern the U.S. economy is grinding to a halt.

Payrolls rose by 117,000 workers after a 46,000 increase in June that was more than originally estimated, Labor Department data showed today in Washington. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey called for a July gain of 85,000. The jobless rate dropped to 9.1 percent as more Americans left the labor force, while average hourly earnings climbed 0.4 percent.

Job gains may need to accelerate further to bolster consumer spending, which rose last quarter at the slowest pace in two years. Weaker growth puts more pressure on Federal Reserve policy makers meeting next week to try to steer the world’s largest economy away from another recession at a time when inflation is also accelerating and stocks are slumping.

“The labor market, despite some gains, remains in a rather fragile state,” Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, said before the report. Rupkey projected payrolls would increase by 130,000.

“Businesses remain cautious and it will take a number of years before the unemployment rate gets back to pre-recession levels. The anxiety level is high and risks of a slowdown are everywhere.”

Estimates of the 88 economists surveyed by Bloomberg for overall payrolls ranged from no change to a 150,000 increase.

The unemployment rate was forecast to hold at 9.2 percent, according to the survey median. Estimates ranged from 9.1 percent to 9.4 percent.

Labor Force

The jobless rate declined as 193,000 people left the labor force and the number of unemployed dropped by 156,000. The share of the eligible population holding a job declined to 58.1 percent, the lowest since July 1983.

Private hiring, which excludes government agencies, climbed 154,000 last month after a 80,000 gain. It was projected to rise by 113,000, the survey showed.

Factory payrolls jumped by 24,000 in July after an 11,000 gain in the previous month. Half the increase was in the auto industry, which had fewer seasonal layoffs than typical for July.

Employment at service-providers increased 75,000 in July, the most in three months. Construction employment rose by 8,000 workers, the biggest gain since February.

Government payrolls decreased by 37,000 in July, the ninth straight drop. Employment at state governments dropped 23,000 last month, almost entirely due to a partial shutdown of the Minnesota government.

Minnesota Shutdown

About 23,000 Minnesota state workers were temporarily laid off during a three-week shutdown that ended July 21 after the Republican-controlled legislature passed a budget as part of a broad agreement that included more spending while preventing a tax increase.

Average hourly earnings climbed 10 cents to $23.13, today’s report showed. The average work week for all workers held at 34.3 hours.

The so-called underemployment rate -- which includes part- time workers who’d prefer a full-time position and people who want work but have given up looking -- decreased to 16.1 percent from 16.2 percent.

The economy grew at a less-than-forecast 1.3 percent pace in the second quarter following revised growth of 0.4 percent in the first three months of the year that was less than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed last week. Consumer spending grew 0.1 percent, the smallest gain since the second quarter of 2009, the final months of the recession.

Spending Slows

The two-year-old recovery’s staying power may be diminishing as consumers and the government pare spending, say five of the nine economists on the academic panel that dates recessions.

Payroll increases of around 125,000 a month are needed to keep the unemployment rate steady, while about 200,000 a month would bring it down a percentage point over a year, according to Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.

In his semi-annual testimony to Congress last month, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the “economy still needs a good deal of support.”

“The most recent data attest to the continuing weakness of the labor market,” Bernanke said on July 13. “Wages are very stagnant and that’s affecting consumer spending and consumer confidence. There is also ongoing uncertainty about the durability of the recovery.”

Europe Risk

Some companies are firing workers to keep costs down as the economy slows and uncertainty builds over the debt ceiling, European default risk and regulatory and tax costs.

Cisco Systems Inc., the largest networking-equipment maker, plans to eliminate about 6,500 jobs, or 9 percent of its full- time global workforce, to help trim $1 billion in annual costs and step up profit growth.

The job cuts will come from across the company and aren’t concentrated in a single unit, said Karen Tillman, a company spokeswoman, in an interview July 18. The company said affected workers in the U.S. and Canada would be notified this week.

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#1. To: Barry H. Obama (#0)

Woohoo! Happy days are here again! Thank you Dear Leader for bringing AmeriKKKa's Obamanomic chickens home to roost!

Happy Quanzaa  posted on  2011-08-05   8:38:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: war (#0)

BLS Site down.

No way to drill into numbers.

I assume they're blatant lies until I do so.

Merck terminates 13 000.

McD's says come on over!!!!!

LMFAO

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:37:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: All (#2)

If you're not laughing like you've just hit the crack pipe

and taken a stomach shot of Demarol...

you're Not....repeat Not allowed anywhere near a TV Camera now....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:39:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: war (#0)

OK, The BLS Site is up and here are the Drilled Down Stats....

*

Most likely, there is no fuel left inside the RPVs at Fukushima I Nuke Plant. Even if there is, it is not fuel any more but "corium" - fuel, control rods, instruments, whatever inside the RPV, melted together. TEPCO has already admitted that there are holes in the RPV, and holes in the Containment Vessels. There is no zirconium left because there is no cladding left. In fact, nowhere in the report does the company say anything about melted fuel, broken reactors, water in the basements, or extremely high radiation at certain locations in the plant.

But the report goes on to describe the elaborate backup pump system and power system as if what they are dealing with is normal (i.e. without cracks or holes at the bottom) reactors with intact fuel rods inside the RPVs with control rods safely deployed in a clean nuclear power plant, and all they need to worry is how they can continue the cooling; or as if the salt-encrusted molten mess of everything that was inside the RPV behaves just the same as normal fuel rods in a normal reactor."

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:46:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: All (#4)

BUWAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Replace 'humans' with 'fuel' cause that's how the Top 50 000 see you....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:48:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: All (#5)

Another look:

Now, how did we get to 9.1% and 117,000 jobs being added.

First statistical sleight is to reduce the workforce number by 193,000. See Line 2 of Table A here.

Wiothout this sleight, the unemployment rate would have gone the wrong way.

when you scan down to line 4 (Table A) again, you see the absolute number of people working was down a further 38,000 for the month. Kind went missing in action (MIA) in the headlines, didn't it?

Now, over on Table 15, the U-6 measure of broader unemployed plus under employed dropped a tab, also, but how much of that is because of the missing 38,000 jobs which was masked by the workforce shrinkage is a math problem for later.

The CES Birth/Death Model showed a decrease of 18,000 jobs, including 10,000 more manufacturing jobs lost and 15,000 in trader, transportation, and utilities.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:48:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: Godwinson, All (#6)

Oh, these computer issues...my but how they gave precious time for the initial hit (Employment rate drop 0.1 - Hooray!!!) to get traction. Yup, sure glad I'm not conspiratorially mind, yessir.

Otherwise, I'd be pissed and short on opening strength in a few minutes.

8D LULZ

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:53:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: All (#7)

That did NOT take long.

S&P RED 7.75

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:54:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: All (#8)

Re: DOOM Investing

Post Fri Aug 05, 2011 9:09 am by mcgowanjm S&P RED 8.75%

Watching Oil now....

Top of the Hour will be interesting.

Watching MSNBC/CNN especially.... :? 8-)

3 min....

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   9:58:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: All (#9)

Still Spinning.

Data good, but being ignored.

Just bull shit...;}

PRICELINE the STAR of the DAY!!!

YEAH. Discount Online's gonna save the USSA!!!!!

plllueeaase...

PCLN and AAPL and GOOG and AMZN = PPT Melt Up of NASDAQ on HFT/Algo's....

looking for flash Crash on each and all of the above now...

mcgowanjm  posted on  2011-08-05   10:05:00 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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