There has been a lot of speculation lately on whether Donald Trump is really going to run for President. Trump claims that he is serious. The media is skeptical. The Donald has been staking out a lot of interesting positions regarding government spending and debt, poor "free trade" agreements, tax and regulatory policies, the cost of our foreign adventures, etc.
He is now even out in front of the Obama Birth Certificate controversy. Trump will be almost completely immune to the usual criticism on this because the media won't be able to paint him as some racist, uneducated rube from the backwoods. Trump produced his birth certificate, so why can't Obama produce his? Trump could actually make this work politically. If so, it will be very interesting how he can turn a negative into a positive.
I personally like the whole idea of having a business person as President. We've really never had this before. Most U.S. Presidents have been Governors and/or Military Generals.
Perot tried, but he ran as an independent. The U.S. electoral system is not conducive to a multi-party system. Perot got 19% of the popular vote and ZERO electoral votes.
If Trump wins the GOP nomination, he can absolutely win the election. The question is whether or not he can win the GOP nomination.
At this point, he is certainly staking out winning positions with the type of people who vote in Republican primaries.
It's still very early. So, I will wait and see. But right now, I am encouraged.