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Title: Election Day 2010 Live Thread
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Published: Nov 2, 2010
Author: Me
Post Date: 2010-11-02 09:21:50 by go65
Keywords: None
Views: 143124
Comments: 162
All the talking is done, today is the voting, tomorrow is the spinning.
Discuss!
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FWIW, I voted about 8 AM this morning, there was absolutely no line and I was in and out in 5 minutes. In 2008 I waited a good 20 minutes to vote.
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REMINDER: Please bring a video camera/cell phone camera when you go to vote so you can document these problems on video tape.
Today I noticed something I hadn't noticed in the past at the polling stations. They had yellow signs up that said no cell phones were authorized in the room, except for those working the polls.
They didn't have these signs up at the entrance to the building so I suspect there was lax enforcement - I'll guess most voters were in and out in 15 minutes or less.
I'm still asking myself why no cell phones in 2010 in the polls????
#34. To: mcgowanjm (#24)
1. Saudi Arabia – 262 billion barrels 2. Iran – 133 billion barrels 3. Iraq – 112 billion barrels 4. Kuwait – 97 billion barrelsThe war on terror is a cover for access to the hundreds of billions of barrels of oil in the Middle East."
That makes the most obvious sense.
#35. To: Fred Mertz (#33)
i noticed two things
- a campaigner for our Republican challenger for the house offering candy at 8:15 AM to a little girl walking with her mom to the entrance. The mom looked at him with an "are you freaking crazy" look.
- no "I voted" stickers this year due to county budget cuts.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#36. To: Badeye (#30)
Pollster's final prediction - 48 house seat gain for the GOP and an 86% chance that the Democrats retain the Senate (they have it at 48-46 with 4 undecided).
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#37. To: go65 (#36)
Pollster's final prediction - 48 house seat gain for the GOP and an 86% chance that the Democrats retain the Senate (they have it at 48-46 with 4 undecided).
My Prediction:
70 plus House Seats go GOP.
10 Senate Seats go GOP.
See you after its over. Enjoy watching our country find its voice at last.
Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.
#38. To: Badeye (#37) (Edited)
i've now gotten 4 calls and one knock on my door from our Dem. Rep's campaign today. They visited our home 3 other times in the last week.
Meanwhile, we got one door hanging in the same time from the Republican challenger, and this is a district that flipped to the Democrats in 2008 after 14 years of GOP control.
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EDIT - just got call #5 from the Democrats campaign.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#39. To: All (#38) (Edited)
Election night spin bingo card:
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#40. To: All (#39)
first round of calls based on exit polling:
Arkansas: Boozman (R) defeats Lincoln (D)
Ohio: Portman (R) defeats Fisher (D)
North Dakota: Hoeven (R) defeats Potter (D)
Wisconsin: Johnson (R) defeats Feingold (D)
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#41. To: go65 (#39)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Barrack Hussein Obama
President of the United States of America said that some Americans ; "They can come for the ride, but they gotta sit in back."
#42. To: go65 (#40) (Edited)
www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/House/2010
Pence, Burton, and Rogers declared winners of House seats in Indiana and Kentucky by Politico. All Republicans.
Rand Paul up by 10% with .4% of the vote in.
#43. To: Badeye, ALL (#37)
My Prediction:70 plus House Seats go GOP.
10 Senate Seats go GOP.
See you after its over. Enjoy watching our country find its voice at last.
62 GOP gains in the House
8 GOP gains in the Senate
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#44. To: All (#43)
PAUL WINS: The AP has called the Kentucky Senate race for Rand Paul.
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#45. To: All (#44)
LUNTZ CALLS IT FOR REID: GOP polling guru Frank Luntz is predicting Republicans will win seven Senate seats and 50 House spots, based on exit polls he had seen. On a conference call with associates from K Street, Luntz also said he thinks Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will win reelection.
http://www.politico.com/hp/wbarchive/whiteboard11022010.html
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#46. To: All (#44)
The networks have called Sen Dan Coats (R) the winner of the Indiana Senate race; that is the first GOP pickup
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#47. To: Brian S (#45)
Luntz also said he thinks Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will win reelection.
Luntz is frequently wrong. His "focus groups" are stacked.
#48. To: go65 (#0)
Leahy declared winner in VT. First blue spot on map (D).
#49. To: hondo68 (#47)
Luntz is frequently wrong. His "focus groups" are stacked.
Hoping you are right. I want Reid the hell out of the leadership, if not the Senate.
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#50. To: All (#49)
GOP strong in IN2, IN8 and IN9 - could be the first seats to go to the GOP tonight in the race for the House
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#51. To: All (#50)
# House results: VA5 Robert Hurt (R) leads Rep Tom Perriello (D) 56-42%; Rep Rick Boucher (D) trails 54-43 in VA 9 4 minutes ago via TweetDeck
4% in from Florida Senate - Rubio 43%, Crist 39%, Meek 16% 6 minutes ago via TweetDeck
38% in from KY6 and Rep Ben Chandler (D) leads Andy Barr (R) 52-47; Rep John Yarmuth (D) up 52-46% in KY3 9 minutes ago via TweetDeck
DEMS strong in Kentucky still, leading in both KY3 and KY6; Rand Paul (R) already declared Senate winner in KY
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#52. To: go65 (#0)
I predict the Republicans will pick up 70 seats in the house. The Senate will be divided 51 49 either way.
#53. To: All (#51)
In Florida, Republican Dan Webster is up big over Rep Alan Grayson (D) 63-29% with 6% of the vote in
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#54. To: Brian S (#53)
Allen West(R) is up by 10% in FL.
#55. To: hondo68 (#54)
Nate Silver:
O.K., here's a sign that tonight might not be an apocalypse for Democrats: the Kentucky Third District, where John Yarmuth, a Democrat, had been favored but the polling had been erratic, has been called for him. The other vulnerable Democrat in Kentucky, Ben Chandler, is also leading so far in Kentucky's Sixth District. Even though Rand Paul has won the Senate race in Kentucky, I'm not sure he didn't hurt the G.O.P. at the margins down ballot.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#56. To: All (#55)
more exit polls:
Who's to blame for the economy? Bankers (34%), Bush (29%), Obama (24%). Of those who blame bankers, Republicans hold an 11 point advantage.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#57. To: All (#56) (Edited)
Coons beats O'Donnell in Delaware
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#58. To: All (#53)
# IN8 and IN9 still trending for the GOP 1 minute ago via TweetDeck
INDIANA turnaround - Rep Joe Donnelly (D) has fought back to lead by 2,000 votes with 55% in from IN2 1 minute ago via TweetDeck
No Red Tide in Kentucky House races, as Dems hold KY3 (Rep Yarmuth); KY6 very close, as Rep Chandler leads 51-49 2 minutes ago via TweetDeck
GOP leading in VA2 (Nye), VA5 (Perriello), VA9 (Boucher), VA11 (Connolly) 3 minutes ago via TweetDeck
In FL24, Sandy Adams (R) has early lead over Rep Suzanne Kosmas (D); Alan Grayson down 57-37% in FL8 4 minutes ago via TweetDeck
GA2 gives early lead to Mike Keown(R) over Rep Sanford Bishop 55-44%; Rep Jim Marshall (D) trailing in GA early 4 minutes ago via TweetDeck
AP also declaring Chris Coons the winner in the Delaware Senate race 6 minutes ago via TweetDeck
Networks declaring Marco Rubio (R) the winner of the Florida Senate race 6 minutes ago via TweetDeck
22% in Florida Governor's race and Rick Scott (R) leads Alex SInk (D) 51-45% 10 minutes ago via TweetDeck
44% in from VA5 as Rep Tom Perriello (D-VA) is losing 54-43%; 27% in VA9 where Rep Rick Boucher (D) trails 52-45 10 minutes ago via TweetDeck
Bottom Line right now - GOP winning seats in Indiana, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina - good early signs for them
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#59. To: Brian S (#58)
538's model is up to a 57 seat gain - Boucher losing in Virginia is bad news for the Democrats, he has held that seat for something like 20 years.
Mike Castle's seat in DE goes to the Democrats.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#60. To: All (#59)
Per the exit polls, the partisan breakdown was 36% D, 36% R, and 28% I. Indies broke to the GOP 56- 39. So, all in line with the polling
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#61. To: All (#60)
Iott (the Nazi re-enactor) loses in Ohio, despite a recent appearance by John Boehner on his behalf.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#62. To: All (#61)
Hearing too close to call in PA and IL.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#63. To: Brian S, skip intro (#62)
OH-Gov -- Strickland (D) up 53, Kaisich 43 with 8% in.
Wayyyy too early, but could Badeye's nightmare come true?
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#64. To: All (#63)
CBS calls it for Periello's opponent in VA-05. That's the first GOP pickup of the night.
39 more for control.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#65. To: All (#64)
Democrat John Lynch retains the NH Governor's mansion
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#66. To: All (#65)
FL-24 goes to the GOP, GOP now +1 overall.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#67. To: All (#66)
Boozman wins AR Senate, 2nd GOP pickup.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#68. To: All (#67)
Manchin up 11 in WV with 10% in.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#69. To: All (#68)
Blumenthal Bests McMahon For Conn. Senate Seat
Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!
#70. To: Brian S (#69) (Edited)
Machin wins WV Senate.
Ayotte wins NH Senate
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#71. To: All (#70)
CNN exit poll in PA has Toomey up 51-49, within the margin of error.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
#72. To: All (#71)
As of now, GOP up 2 in the Senate, but control is almost out of reach.
GOP up 5 in the House. 538 model shows 55-56 gain.
On January 3, 2011 the GOP assumes responsibility for deficit spending.
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