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U.S. Constitution Title: Election Day 2010 Live Thread All the talking is done, today is the voting, tomorrow is the spinning. Discuss! ------- FWIW, I voted about 8 AM this morning, there was absolutely no line and I was in and out in 5 minutes. In 2008 I waited a good 20 minutes to vote. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Comments (1-42) not displayed.
My Prediction: 62 GOP gains in the House 8 GOP gains in the Senate Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #44. To: All (#43) PAUL WINS: The AP has called the Kentucky Senate race for Rand Paul. Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #45. To: All (#44) LUNTZ CALLS IT FOR REID: GOP polling guru Frank Luntz is predicting Republicans will win seven Senate seats and 50 House spots, based on exit polls he had seen. On a conference call with associates from K Street, Luntz also said he thinks Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will win reelection. http://www.politico.com/hp/wbarchive/whiteboard11022010.html Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #46. To: All (#44) The networks have called Sen Dan Coats (R) the winner of the Indiana Senate race; that is the first GOP pickup Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #47. To: Brian S (#45) Luntz also said he thinks Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will win reelection. Luntz is frequently wrong. His "focus groups" are stacked.
#48. To: go65 (#0) Leahy declared winner in VT. First blue spot on map (D).
#49. To: hondo68 (#47) Luntz is frequently wrong. His "focus groups" are stacked. Hoping you are right. I want Reid the hell out of the leadership, if not the Senate. Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #50. To: All (#49) GOP strong in IN2, IN8 and IN9 - could be the first seats to go to the GOP tonight in the race for the House Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #51. To: All (#50) # House results: VA5 Robert Hurt (R) leads Rep Tom Perriello (D) 56-42%; Rep Rick Boucher (D) trails 54-43 in VA 9 4 minutes ago via TweetDeck
4% in from Florida Senate - Rubio 43%, Crist 39%, Meek 16% 6 minutes ago via TweetDeck
38% in from KY6 and Rep Ben Chandler (D) leads Andy Barr (R) 52-47; Rep John Yarmuth (D) up 52-46% in KY3 9 minutes ago via TweetDeck
DEMS strong in Kentucky still, leading in both KY3 and KY6; Rand Paul (R) already declared Senate winner in KY Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #52. To: go65 (#0) I predict the Republicans will pick up 70 seats in the house. The Senate will be divided 51 49 either way.
#53. To: All (#51) In Florida, Republican Dan Webster is up big over Rep Alan Grayson (D) 63-29% with 6% of the vote in Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #54. To: Brian S (#53) Allen West(R) is up by 10% in FL.
#55. To: hondo68 (#54) Nate Silver:
O.K., here's a sign that tonight might not be an apocalypse for Democrats: the Kentucky Third District, where John Yarmuth, a Democrat, had been favored but the polling had been erratic, has been called for him. The other vulnerable Democrat in Kentucky, Ben Chandler, is also leading so far in Kentucky's Sixth District. Even though Rand Paul has won the Senate race in Kentucky, I'm not sure he didn't hurt the G.O.P. at the margins down ballot.
#56. To: All (#55) more exit polls:
Who's to blame for the economy? Bankers (34%), Bush (29%), Obama (24%). Of those who blame bankers, Republicans hold an 11 point advantage.
#57. To: All (#56) (Edited) Coons beats O'Donnell in Delaware
#58. To: All (#53) # IN8 and IN9 still trending for the GOP 1 minute ago via TweetDeck
INDIANA turnaround - Rep Joe Donnelly (D) has fought back to lead by 2,000 votes with 55% in from IN2 1 minute ago via TweetDeck
No Red Tide in Kentucky House races, as Dems hold KY3 (Rep Yarmuth); KY6 very close, as Rep Chandler leads 51-49 2 minutes ago via TweetDeck
GOP leading in VA2 (Nye), VA5 (Perriello), VA9 (Boucher), VA11 (Connolly) 3 minutes ago via TweetDeck
In FL24, Sandy Adams (R) has early lead over Rep Suzanne Kosmas (D); Alan Grayson down 57-37% in FL8 4 minutes ago via TweetDeck
GA2 gives early lead to Mike Keown(R) over Rep Sanford Bishop 55-44%; Rep Jim Marshall (D) trailing in GA early 4 minutes ago via TweetDeck
AP also declaring Chris Coons the winner in the Delaware Senate race 6 minutes ago via TweetDeck
Networks declaring Marco Rubio (R) the winner of the Florida Senate race 6 minutes ago via TweetDeck
22% in Florida Governor's race and Rick Scott (R) leads Alex SInk (D) 51-45% 10 minutes ago via TweetDeck
44% in from VA5 as Rep Tom Perriello (D-VA) is losing 54-43%; 27% in VA9 where Rep Rick Boucher (D) trails 52-45 10 minutes ago via TweetDeck
Bottom Line right now - GOP winning seats in Indiana, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina - good early signs for them Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #59. To: Brian S (#58) 538's model is up to a 57 seat gain - Boucher losing in Virginia is bad news for the Democrats, he has held that seat for something like 20 years. Mike Castle's seat in DE goes to the Democrats.
#60. To: All (#59) Per the exit polls, the partisan breakdown was 36% D, 36% R, and 28% I. Indies broke to the GOP 56- 39. So, all in line with the polling
#61. To: All (#60) Iott (the Nazi re-enactor) loses in Ohio, despite a recent appearance by John Boehner on his behalf.
#62. To: All (#61) Hearing too close to call in PA and IL.
#63. To: Brian S, skip intro (#62) OH-Gov -- Strickland (D) up 53, Kaisich 43 with 8% in. Wayyyy too early, but could Badeye's nightmare come true?
#64. To: All (#63) CBS calls it for Periello's opponent in VA-05. That's the first GOP pickup of the night. 39 more for control.
#65. To: All (#64) Democrat John Lynch retains the NH Governor's mansion
#66. To: All (#65) FL-24 goes to the GOP, GOP now +1 overall.
#67. To: All (#66) Boozman wins AR Senate, 2nd GOP pickup.
#68. To: All (#67) Manchin up 11 in WV with 10% in.
#69. To: All (#68) Blumenthal Bests McMahon For Conn. Senate Seat Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'! #70. To: Brian S (#69) (Edited) Machin wins WV Senate. Ayotte wins NH Senate
#71. To: All (#70) CNN exit poll in PA has Toomey up 51-49, within the margin of error.
#72. To: All (#71) As of now, GOP up 2 in the Senate, but control is almost out of reach. GOP up 5 in the House. 538 model shows 55-56 gain.
#73. To: go65 (#68) Manchin wins WV. So what's he going to do when he gets to the Senate since he had to win by throwing the Kenyan under the bus and he is a lame duck up for another election in 2 years? Do you think Obama will be inviting him on stage for teleprompter celebrations?
#74. To: no gnu taxes (#73) So what's he going to do when he gets to the Senate since he had to win by throwing the Kenyan under the bus and he is a lame duck up for another election in 2 years? well, he'll caucus with the Democrats, which is probably the most important thing to them right now.
#75. To: Brian S (#74) Freepers are lashing out at Karl Rove and arguing that Coons stole the election. Non-reality at its finest.
#76. To: go65 (#74) Do you think Obama will be inviting him on stage for teleprompter celebrations? he'll caucus with the Democrats, which is probably the most important thing to them right now. Will those Democrats be supporting the Kenyan with a 29% approval rating in WV?
#77. To: All (#75) models are showing a 55-57 seat gain for the GOP in the House, despite the hype, this is looking a lot more like 1994 then it is some sort of tidal wave for the GOP.
#78. To: no gnu taxes (#76) Will those Democrats be supporting the Kenyan with a 29% approval rating in WV? they supported him enough to give him a vote in the Senate tonight. Oh, and Manchin is up by over 10% right now.
#79. To: no gnu taxes (#76) Who's the Kenyan? “You know, the two wars that we’re in right now is exactly what we’re in.” - Sharron Angle, Tea Party Loon and future US Senator #80. To: Skip Intro (#79) it's very early, but Dems are up big in PA and IL senate races.
#81. To: All (#80) to close to call in the race for Feingold's Senate seat in WI.
#82. To: All (#81) Thune, Gillibrand, Schumer, all win easily. Martin O'Malley stays Gov. or MD
#83. To: go65 (#78) they supported him enough to give him a vote in the Senate tonight. Only after he threw Obama under the bus.
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