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U.S. Constitution Title: Election Day 2010 Live Thread All the talking is done, today is the voting, tomorrow is the spinning. Discuss! ------- FWIW, I voted about 8 AM this morning, there was absolutely no line and I was in and out in 5 minutes. In 2008 I waited a good 20 minutes to vote. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 146. Here are excerpts from a few predictions by the major election analysts that were published in Campaigns & Elections two weeks before the 1994 midterms: www.thedailybeast.com/bel...east/a-midterm-flashback/
#29. To: Badeye (#28) (Edited) The reason I bring this up is that the current pundit predictions, although a rough estimate, are almost as uniform as they were then in predicting GOP gains of 50-60 seats. New York Times election guru Nate Silver has a detailed piece today explaining the unusual amount of uncertainty in this election and it truly is a must-read. As many of the analysts themselves acknowledge, just because the consensus number is about 55 seats, doesn't mean that much larger or smaller gains aren't possible for Republicans. There could still be some major factor in the races that the pollsters have so far failed to detect. Agreed. SIlver published two separate pieces showing why Republican gains could be much larger or much smaller than predicted.
#30. To: go65 (#29) Silver hedge his bet. Not impressed at all by THAT. Coons is panicking in Delaware, says the two biggest Dem strongholds are having anemic turnout. If the historical record of the pollsters holds up...it exceeds what I predicted. We'll see.
#36. To: Badeye (#30) Pollster's final prediction - 48 house seat gain for the GOP and an 86% chance that the Democrats retain the Senate (they have it at 48-46 with 4 undecided).
#37. To: go65 (#36) Pollster's final prediction - 48 house seat gain for the GOP and an 86% chance that the Democrats retain the Senate (they have it at 48-46 with 4 undecided). My Prediction: 70 plus House Seats go GOP. 10 Senate Seats go GOP. See you after its over. Enjoy watching our country find its voice at last.
#38. To: Badeye (#37) (Edited) i've now gotten 4 calls and one knock on my door from our Dem. Rep's campaign today. They visited our home 3 other times in the last week. Meanwhile, we got one door hanging in the same time from the Republican challenger, and this is a district that flipped to the Democrats in 2008 after 14 years of GOP control. --- EDIT - just got call #5 from the Democrats campaign.
#146. To: go65 (#38) Better you than me lol
Replies to Comment # 146. Better you than me lol we have a close one here - about 500 votes separate the incumbent Democrat from his Republican challenger. This is a rematch of 2008 when the Democrat won by about 5k votes. Before that, the district was in GOP hands for 14 years.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 146. Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest |
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