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Obama Wars Title: GOP in the Lead in Final Lap of Midterm Elections GOP in the Lead in Final Lap of Midterm Elections Published October 19, 2010 | The Wall Street Journal A vigorous post-Labor Day Democratic offensive has failed to diminish the resurgent Republicans' lead among likely voters, leaving the GOP poised for major gains in congressional elections two weeks away, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. Among likely voters, Republicans hold a 50 percent to 43 percent edge, up from a three-percentage-point lead a month ago. In the broader category of registered voters, 46 percent favor a Democratic-controlled Congress, compared with 44 percent who want Republican control. But in the 92 House districts considered most competitive, the GOP's lead among registered voters is 14 points, underscoring the Democrats' challenge in maintaining their hold on the House. The poll of 1,000 registered voters was taken Oct. 14-18. "It's hard to say Democrats are facing anything less than a category four hurricane," said Peter Hart, the Democratic pollster who conducts the Journal poll with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. "And it's unlikely the Democratic House will be left standing." The heightened energy among Republican-leaning voters has been a feature of public opinion for months, with many voters anxious about the economy and unhappy with the Democratic-led Congress. Some Democrats say the numbers may overstate the GOP's potential gains. Democratic leaders accept that the "enthusiasm gap" between the parties is real, but are trying to counter it with tens of millions of dollars aimed at getting out the vote, said Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster working on a number of House races. "Generic Republicans in these broad polls are more popular than individual Republicans,'' Lake said, citing policy positions of some GOP candidates, such as modifying Social Security by adding private accounts, which she said are unpopular. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 3. Among likely voters, Republicans hold a 50 percent to 43 percent edge, up from a three-percentage-point lead a month ago. Demonstrating perhaps once again when Owe-bama opens his mouth and spews bullshit rhetoric and flat out lies (Chamber of Commerce, Boehner, Rove, Fox News, et al) it HURTS DEMOCRATS CHANCES. JMHO.
#2. To: Badeye (#1) It's hard to know for sure, but from the individual polling I have seen, The GOP should easily pick up the 40 seats needed to take the House and may pick up as many as 70 or more. Personally, I think they will fall a seat or two short of taking the Senate, but that isn't altogether a bad thing. I'm just hoping that if the Dims do hold the Senate, they'll have to be electing a new Majority Leader.
#3. To: no gnu taxes (#2) From what I'm seeing, unless something unbelievably dramatic happens, the GOP gains 70 plus seats in the House, and wins the Senate. I believe all these 'within the margin of error' races will break for the GOP come election day. We'll see. I've never seen the nation this pissed off at Washington DC in my lifetime. Never.
Replies to Comment # 3. From what I'm seeing, unless something unbelievably dramatic happens, the GOP gains 70 plus seats in the House, and wins the Senate. It's all going to depend on all these toss up races. Who knows what will happen. After all, the Dims were able to go from being a 10 seat minority in the Senate to a 20 seat majority in 4 years by winning every single toss up race in those 2 elections (probably with a lot of help from voter fraud, especially in Minnesota). Nobody really saw that happening.
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