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Title: Republicans To Win House: Reuters/Ipsos Poll
Source:
REUTERS
URL Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE69451X20101013
Published: Oct 13, 2010
Author: REUTERS
Post Date: 2010-10-13 13:25:49 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 7146
Comments: 11
House Republican leader John Boehner holds a copy of ''A Pledge to America'' while outlining ''A New Governing Agenda'' for the 111th Congress at the Tart Lumber Company in Sterling, Virginia, September 23, 2010. Surrounding him are (L-R): House Republican Whip Eric Cantor, House Republican Conference Vice Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers, House Republican Chief Deputy Whip Kevin McCarthy and House Republican Conference Chair Mike Pense. Credit: Reuters/Larry Downing WASHINGTON | WASHINGTON (Reuters) - American voters unhappy at high unemployment are poised to oust President Barack Obama's Democrats from control of the U.S. House of Representatives in November 2 elections, a new Reuters-Ipsos poll found on Wednesday. The national poll found that Americans by a margin of 48 percent to 44 percent plan to vote for Republicans over Democratic candidates, an edge that is likely to allow Republicans to pick up dozens of seats in the House and make big gains in the U.S. Senate. Ipsos pollster Cliff Young said the poll numbers show Republicans would win around 227 seats in the House to 208 for the Democrats. In the Senate, the poll suggests Democrats would retain control by 52 to 48 seats, a smaller advantage than they have now, Young said. A split Congress could mean political gridlock in 2011 as the United States struggles to overcome high unemployment, the gaping budget deficit and a fierce debate over tax cuts. Much will depend on whether Obama and Republicans can work together. In a punctuation mark to a tough political year for the Democrats, Obama's approval ratings dropped to 43 percent from 47 percent last month, with 53 percent disapproving of the way he is handling his job, according to the poll. Those were the worst approval numbers for Obama in an Ipsos poll since Obama took office in January 2009. It appeared that much of this drop came from Obama's own Democrats. The poll found Democrats' ratings of Obama have dropped from 78 percent approval last month to 70 percent this month. All 435 House seats and 37 of the 100-member Senate are up for grabs in the elections, the outcome of which is likely to help determine the course of the second half of Obama's four-year term. "Looking forward, voters expect the new Congress to deal basically with jobs. A new Republican House would have to have answers to those demands," said Young. There was little change since last month in terms of the most important problems facing Americans -- 49 percent said it is the U.S. economy and the 9.6 percent jobless rate. Americans believe the focus of the next Congress should be on jobs. Among those surveyed, 65 percent said creating jobs should be a "crucial" focus and 97 percent said it is important. Besides jobs, Americans would like to see Congress focused on the soaring budget deficit, healthcare, taxes and energy. Of least importance on this list, although still deemed fairly important, were the environment and the war in Afghanistan. Ipsos Public Affairs contacted 1,038 U.S. adults between October 7 and October 11. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for all respondents, 3.7 percentage points among likely voters.
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#3. To: Brian S (#0)
In the Senate, the poll suggests Democrats would retain control by 52 to 48 seats, a smaller advantage than they have now, Young said. Perfect outcome. That is EXACTLY how I want it to stay. The Dems will be toast in 2012 if it works out this way.
The Republicans were not toast two years ago, and the Democrats similarly won't be toast this time. I'm not mortified, excited, angry, or worried. We will now see the result in a couple weeks and then see how the outcome effects the next presidential election cycle. I mean, I was young enough in 1972 I though all was lost when George Stanley McGovern lost to Richard M Nixon; but I have a wee bit too much savoir faire about how the system works to lose any sleep this election year. What will happen will happen, and people will adjust to the new political landscape, and the battle will go on.
I mean, I was young enough in 1972 I though all was lost when George Stanley McGovern lost to Richard M Nixon; but I have a wee bit too much savoir faire about how the system works to lose any sleep this election year. What will happen will happen, and people will adjust to the new political landscape, and the battle will go on. Well said - and there are a lot of parallels between the GOP turning hard right after 2008 and the Democrats turning hard left after 1968. We'll see in 2012 if the GOP suffers a similar fate as McGovern in 1972.
Well said - Go, you are so emotionally invested in this election you can't hide it. It will be great being here at LF to see you get your just rewards. Don't go away that night.
As I've told Badeye I expect the Republicans to take at least the House. The Senate appears to be shifting back to the Democrats though, for the first time Sestak is ahead in PA polling. And as I've told Badeye, once the GOP takes the House I expect the mother of all civil wars between the "mainstream" Republicans and the fanatical Tea Party types. And, like Badeye, I expect things to get worse next year.
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Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/LatestIpsos pollster Cliff Young said the poll numbers show Republicans would win around 227 seats in the House to 208 for the Democrats.
#4. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#3)
#5. To: Ferret Mike (#4)
I'm not mortified, excited, angry, or worried. We will now see the result in a couple weeks and then see how the outcome effects the next presidential election cycle.
#6. To: go65 (#5)
What will happen will happen, and people will adjust to the new political landscape, and the battle will go on.
#8. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#6)
Go, you are so emotionally invested in this election you can't hide it.
Replies to Comment # 8.
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