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Business
See other Business Articles

Title: Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment at 10.1% in September
Source: Gallup
URL Source: http://www.gallup.com/poll/143426/G ... ds-Unemployment-September.aspx
Published: Oct 7, 2010
Author: Gallp
Post Date: 2010-10-07 13:41:09 by Rudgear
Keywords: business, economy, obama
Views: 9816
Comments: 19

Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment at 10.1% in September Underemployment, at 18.8%, is up from 18.6% at the end of August by Dennis Jacobe, Chief Economist

PRINCETON, NJ -- Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, increased to 10.1% in September -- up sharply from 9.3% in August and 8.9% in July. Much of this increase came during the second half of the month -- the unemployment rate was 9.4% in mid-September -- and therefore is unlikely to be picked up in the government's unemployment report on Friday.

Gallup's U.S. Unemployment Rate, 30-Day Averages, January-September 2010

Certain groups continue to fare worse than the national average. For example, 15.8% of Americans aged 18 to 29 and 13.9% of those with no college education were unemployed in September.

The increase in the unemployment rate component of Gallup's underemployment measure is partially offset by fewer part-time workers, 8.7%, now wanting full-time work, down from 9.3% in August and 9.5% at the end of July.

Percentage of Americans Working Part Time and Wanting Full-Time Work, 30-Day Averages, January-September 2010

As a result, underemployment shows a more modest increase to 18.8% in September from 18.6% in August, though it is up from 18.4% in July. Underemployment peaked at 20.4% in April and has yet to fall below 18.3% this year.

Friday's Unemployment Rate Report Likely to Understate

The government's final unemployment report before the midterm elections is based on job market conditions around mid-September. Gallup's modeling of the unemployment rate is consistent with Tuesday's ADP report of a decline of 39,000 private-sector jobs, and indicates that the government's national unemployment rate in September will be in the 9.6% to 9.8% range. This is based on Gallup's mid-September measurements and the continuing decline Gallup is seeing in the U.S. workforce during 2010.

However, Gallup's monitoring of job market conditions suggests that there was a sharp increase in the unemployment rate during the last couple of weeks of September. It could be that the anticipated slowdown of the overall economy has potential employers even more cautious about hiring. Some of the increase could also be seasonal or temporary.

Further, Gallup's underemployment measure suggests that the percentage of workers employed part time but looking for full-time work is declining as the unemployment rate increases. To some degree, this may reflect a reduced company demand for new part-time employees. For example, employers may be converting some existing part-time workers to full time when they are needed as replacements, but may not in turn be hiring replacement part-time workers. Another explanation may relate to the shrinkage of the workforce, as some employees who have taken part-time work in hopes of getting full-time jobs get discouraged and drop out of the workforce completely -- going back to school to enhance their education, for example, instead of doing part-time work. It is even possible that some workers may find unemployment insurance a better alternative than part-time work with little prospect of going full time.

Regardless, the sharp increase in the unemployment rate during late September does not bode well for the economy during the fourth quarter, or for holiday sales. In this regard, it is essential that the Federal Reserve and other policymakers not be misled by Friday's jobs numbers. The jobs picture could be deteriorating more rapidly than the government's job release suggests.

Gallup.com reports results from these indexes in daily, weekly, and monthly averages and in Gallup.com stories. Complete trend data are always available to view and export in the following charts: (3 images)

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#1. To: All (#0)

You Democrats wanted an inexperienced media fiction for president just as long as the skin color was right.

Maybe actual experience isn't such a bad thing, regardless of color.

Well, [war's] got to do something for attention, his multiple personalities aren't speaking to him any more, and his imaginary friends keep finding excuses not to come over. (Murron)

Rudgear  posted on  2010-10-07   13:44:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Rudgear (#0)

...and therefore is unlikely to be picked up in the government's unemployment report on Friday

The survey for U/E rate is done the week of the 12 of any month.

war  posted on  2010-10-07   13:47:13 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: war (#2)

Complain to Gallup.

Well, [war's] got to do something for attention, his multiple personalities aren't speaking to him any more, and his imaginary friends keep finding excuses not to come over. (Murron)

Rudgear  posted on  2010-10-07   14:04:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Rudgear (#3) (Edited)

I wasn't complaining.

Do you have a comment about the topic?

war  posted on  2010-10-07   14:24:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Rudgear (#0)

And they wonder why 'We the People' are about to fire Pelosi and Reid, huh?

Sheesh.

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-07   15:32:20 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Badeye (#5)

And they wonder why 'We the People' are about to fire Pelosi and Reid, huh?

What we wonder is why you want to hire McConnell and Boehner.

"things will get worse next year"


Reality check - Obama is more popular than the tea party

go65  posted on  2010-10-07   15:42:12 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: war (#4)

What could be more on topic than my observation enough people bought into a media fiction of 'Hope and Change' because enough liberal guilt buttons were pressed by one candidate to override commonsense and end up putting an empty suit into the highest office in the land when that country was facing an already worsening financial outlook?

And now we are living the just deserts of mind-boggling stupidity and foolishness.

Germane enough? No? Didn't think so.

Well, [war's] got to do something for attention, his multiple personalities aren't speaking to him any more, and his imaginary friends keep finding excuses not to come over. (Murron)

Rudgear  posted on  2010-10-07   15:44:02 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: go65 (#6)

What we wonder is why you want to hire McConnell and Boehner.

Congressman Grayson! You know I have no use for McConnell, and if I had my way he wouldn't be in office, let alone become SML - which isn't certain.

I see you still take things out of context, Congressman Grayson! Like my accurate economic forecast that 'things will get worse'. The fact I made that statement over 18 months ago (see any database in any forum I post at Congressman), long before anyone believed the GOP would retake the House, let alone the Senate, doesn't stop the likes of you! Why, you can take ANYTHING out of context!

Thats why you are referred to as the 'craziest son of bitch in the House'!

(laughing)

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-07   16:31:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Badeye (#8)

Congressman Grayson! You know I have no use for McConnell, and if I had my way he wouldn't be in office, let alone become SML - which isn't certain.

You can have your way, send a check to Harry Reid.


Reality check - Obama is more popular than the tea party

go65  posted on  2010-10-07   16:38:02 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: Badeye (#8)

I see you still take things out of context, Congressman Grayson! Like my accurate economic forecast that 'things will get worse'. The fact I made that statement over 18 months ago (see any database in any forum I post at Congressman), long before anyone believed the GOP would retake the House, let alone the Senate, doesn't stop the likes of you! Why, you can take ANYTHING out of context!

You just recently stood by that comment when you stated that you took your money out of the stock market and claimed that the Democrats had screwed things up so bad it didn't matter who was in control next year, so please don't try and wiggle your way out of your RECENT statements. They are in the archive if you wish to dig them up as a reminder of what you have posted.

So as I've said to you for weeks now, I agree with you, if the GOP takes the Congress, as it appears likely, things will get worse.

I don't see why you are upset that someone is actually agreeing with you.


Reality check - Obama is more popular than the tea party

go65  posted on  2010-10-07   16:40:37 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: All (#10)

Just a reminder:

2011 as far as making changes legislatively to avoid the coming implosion, is a lost cause no matter who does what.

Badeye posted on 2010-09-28 14:30:38 ET Reply Trace Private Reply

That wasn't 18 months ago, it was last week.

Once again, you are caught making stuff up.


Reality check - Obama is more popular than the tea party

go65  posted on  2010-10-07   16:45:37 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: go65 (#11)

Just a reminder:

2011 as far as making changes legislatively to avoid the coming implosion, is a lost cause no matter who does what.

Badeye posted on 2010-09-28 14:30:38 ET Reply Trace Private Reply That wasn't 18 months ago, it was last week.

Once again, you are caught making stuff up.

I've been saying the same thing for 18 months. Its not my fault you can't review a database further back than 7 days ago.

Sheesh. 1st Rule of Holes. Learn it, live it.

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-07   16:58:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: go65 (#10)

I see you still take things out of context, Congressman Grayson! Like my accurate economic forecast that 'things will get worse'. The fact I made that statement over 18 months ago (see any database in any forum I post at Congressman), long before anyone believed the GOP would retake the House, let alone the Senate, doesn't stop the likes of you! Why, you can take ANYTHING out of context!

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-07   16:58:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: Badeye (#13)

2011 as far as making changes legislatively to avoid the coming implosion, is a lost cause no matter who does what.

"things will get worse next year"

On that we agree.


Reality check - Obama is more popular than the tea party

go65  posted on  2010-10-07   16:59:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: go65 (#9)

Congressman Grayson! You know I have no use for McConnell, and if I had my way he wouldn't be in office, let alone become SML - which isn't certain.

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-07   17:00:49 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: go65 (#10)

see you still take things out of context, Congressman Grayson! Like my accurate economic forecast that 'things will get worse'. The fact I made that statement over 18 months ago (see any database in any forum I post at Congressman), long before anyone believed the GOP would retake the House, let alone the Senate, doesn't stop the likes of you! Why, you can take ANYTHING out of context!

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-07   17:01:48 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: go65 (#14)

2011 as far as making changes legislatively to avoid the coming implosion, is a lost cause no matter who does what.

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-07   17:02:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: Badeye (#17)

Funny how some people who otherwise wouldn't get involved in a pissing contest will reconsider and jump in feet first. Odd that, no?

Well, [war's] got to do something for attention, his multiple personalities aren't speaking to him any more, and his imaginary friends keep finding excuses not to come over. (Murron)

Rudgear  posted on  2010-10-07   17:18:31 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: Rudgear (#18)

Used to think so, but after a decade of these forums its no longer surprising.

Obama's first all-by-his-lonesome budget, btw, calls for a $1.17 trillion deficit.

Badeye  posted on  2010-10-08   10:27:58 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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