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Latest Articles: politics and politicians
Romney, Change? "From the People Who Brought You Economic Collapse and Iraq"
Post Date: 2012-11-04 17:08:14 by Brian S
0 Comments
Romney has hired the George W. Bush team of economic and foreign policy advisers. The Romney campaign has now decided to adopt the mantle of "change." This hands the Obama campaign another opportunity to let the sun shine on the truth. It certainly is "change", but one usually associates "change" with something new, not with re-instituting disastrously failed policies. (Einstein did not call that change; he called it insanity). If Romney and the Republicans take over, not only will Medicare's guarantee be gone -- forever -- but we will experience the same financial, housing and general economic collapse as we did under George W Bush. Because the truth ...
In Defense of Nate Silver, Election Pollsters, and Statistical Predictions
Post Date: 2012-11-04 15:17:12 by Brian S
0 Comments
Nate Silver analyzes poll data on the influential FiveThiryEight blog at the New York Times. He crunches polls and other data in an electoral statistical model, and he claims that his work is guided by math, not left or right politics. Yet he’s become a whipping boy as election day approaches. His crime? Publishing the results of statistical models that predict President Obama has a 73.6 percent chance of defeating the Republican challenger, Mitt Romney. “The pollsters tell us what’s happening now,” conservative columnist David Brooks told Politico, trashing Silver. “When they start projecting, they’re getting into silly land.” In the same ...
Breaking: Romney Paid Zero Taxes From 1996 To 2009
Post Date: 2012-11-04 15:08:05 by Brian S
4 Comments
Harry Reid was right. Bloomberg finally cracked the story... Using a tax shelter called a CRUT (charitable remainder unitrust) that was held by the Church of Latter Day Saints (Mormons), Mitt Romney was able to pay zero taxes (legally) every single year from 1996 to 2009. Why did he stop in 2009? Because he would make public his 2010 tax return, that is why. This tax loophole was killed by Congress in 1997. However those including Romney that were already using it were allowed to continue it. The way it works, is that Romney makes a "charitable" contribution to the Church of Latter Day Saints and it goes into a ...
Ed Gillespie, Romney Adviser, Admits Obama's FEMA Doing A Good Job Responding To Sandy
Post Date: 2012-11-04 12:25:12 by Brian S
0 Comments
WASHINGTON -- Ed Gillespie, a senior adviser to Mitt Romney's campaign, admitted on Sunday that the Obama administration is effectively responding to Hurricane Sandy, despite a torrent of criticisms from conservatives over the effort and Romney's own desire to change the way the Federal Emergency Management Agency operates. In the past week, conservatives have begun piling on President Barack Obama for his response to the superstorm, attempting to argue that he has fallen short and should not be out campaigning in the final days before the election. Perhaps the most pointed attack has come from former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who said President Barack Obama should ...
Miami-Dade To Allow Voters To Request And Cast Absentee Ballots In Person Sunday
Post Date: 2012-11-04 12:21:25 by Brian S
2 Comments
In a work-around to an early-voting crackdown law, the Miami-Dade elections headquarters will open Sunday afternoon to allow voters to request and cast absentee ballots in person. The elections department announced the change Sunday morning, after the Florida Democratic Party filed a lawsuit in the wee hours seeking to somehow extend voting in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties before Election Day. A spokeswoman said the department made the decision Saturday night after seeing such long early voting lines — the last voter wasn’t checked in until 1 a.m. Voters in line at 7 p.m. Saturday were allowed to vote. A loophole in a state law that eliminated early voting the ...
New Jersey Gives Voters Email, Fax Options
Post Date: 2012-11-04 10:40:45 by sneakypete
4 Comments
Voters in New Jersey now have two more ways to send in their ballots in an already unusual election season complicated by superstorm Sandy: via fax and email. The Christie administration said Saturday that the additional options are aimed at giving displaced residents and emergency workers another way to vote and that the ballots would be cast provisionally. Administration officials urged people who could to vote early or through the normal process. The administration said people could cast those ballots in two steps. First, they should email or fax an application for a mail-in ballot through their county clerk's office. Once that application is approved, voters can email or fax the ...
NATE SILVER: Obama’s Odds Of Winning Have Now Hit 85% (Intrade 63%)
Post Date: 2012-11-04 10:04:46 by Hondo68
12 Comments
With two days to go, Obama's odds of winning re-election have reached their highest level ever, according to New York Times polling guru Nate Silver. Betting markets Intrade and Betfair also show the President maintaining a solid lead, though with much less conviction. These assessments come despite the continued release of some polls that look good for Romney. The difference between the national polls and the betting markets, some polling experts say, is that the national polls focus on the popular vote, whereas Silver's odds focus on state-by-state polls aimed at determining the winner of the electoral college and, with it, the Presidency. Nate Silver's model also averages ...
Election Predictions [Full Thread]
Post Date: 2012-11-03 19:26:29 by jwpegler
65 Comments
We are three days away from one of the two most consequential elections in my lifetime (along with 1980). So, it's time to go out on a limb and make my predictions for what is likely going to happen. Presidency Mitt Romney will be elected the next President of the United States. No President since Franklin Roosevelt has won reelection with the unemployment rate above 7.2%. No President ever has won reelection with a smaller share of the vote than he got when originally elected to the Presidency... and no one anywhere argues that Obama will get more than the 52.9% of the vote he got in 2008. The country has been in a sour mood for about four years now. Obama will pay the price, just ...
Tea Party's Richard Mourdock Trails In Indiana Senate Race, Poll Shows
Post Date: 2012-11-03 11:49:21 by Brian S
0 Comments
The GOP's Richard Mourdock appears to have done grave damage to his Senate candidacy in Indiana by his comment that "even when life begins in that horrible situation of rape, that is something that God intended to happen." Almost nine in 10 Hoosiers heard about the statement, according to a poll released Friday by Howey/DePauw, an Indiana group that boasts both a Republican and a Democratic pollster. And since Mr. Mourdock uttered it on Oct. 23, his Democratic opponent has blown open a massive 11-point lead, the poll shows. When the group last surveyed voters in September, it found Rep. Joe Donnelly (D) with a statistically insignificant lead of two percentage points. (Its ...
Poll: Obama up 6 in Ohio, 2 in Fla.
Post Date: 2012-11-03 11:38:06 by Brian S
6 Comments
The Wall Street Journal, NBC News and Marist College produce the umpteenth poll of the week showing Barack Obama with a steady edge in Ohio and a very close race in Florida: The surveys found the two battling neck-and-neck in Florida, with Mr. Obama drawing 49% support among likely voters to Mr. Romney's 47%. Mr. Obama held a firmer lead in Ohio—51% to 45%, unchanged from mid-October—where the relatively more buoyant economy and the federal bailout of the auto industry appear to have solidified his support among a wide swath of voters. In both states, Mr. Obama got high marks from all sides for his management of recovery efforts after the storm Sandy hit the East Coast. That ...
Dick Morris: Sudden Danger Signs In Polling As Election Day Nears
Post Date: 2012-11-03 00:19:46 by Brian S
1 Comments
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992. With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48. That is troublesome. And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied.We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan. Nobody really knows ...
Norquist Losing Clout With Republicans Refusing to Pledge
Post Date: 2012-11-02 11:23:04 by Brian S
1 Comments
There are 279 members of Congress who’ve pledged in writing to march in lockstep with the group Americans for Tax Reform and vote against tax increases. If the analysts are right, that number probably will fall next year, making life tougher for the anti-tax gadfly Democrats love to hate: Grover Norquist, president of the group behind the pledge. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report and Rothenberg Political Report project that Republicans could lose as many as 10 seats, and at least eight of the Republicans viewed as shoo- ins for the freshman class haven’t signed the pledge. “You’re pledging to an ideology of someone who’s not in government -- he’s a ...
The Economist Backs Obama, 'The Devil We Know'
Post Date: 2012-11-01 17:10:26 by Brian S
0 Comments
LONDON — The Economist, the respected weekly current affairs magazine, on Thursday said it was backing US President Barack Obama for re-election, although with less enthusiasm than four years ago. The London-based publication said in its leader that while the United States faced a tougher decision and a more negative campaign than in 2008, Obama's Republican rival Mitt Romney "does not fit the bill". "This choice turns on two questions: how good a president has Mr Obama been, especially on the main issues of the economy and foreign policy? And can America really trust the ever-changing Mitt Romney to do a better job?" it said. "On that basis, the ...
Scarborough: Romney Running Out Of Time
Post Date: 2012-11-01 14:05:19 by Brian S
2 Comments
New polls released by the New York Times and Quinnipiac today suggest that Mitt Romney is running out of time in his fight to win the White House. With President Obama maintaining his five-point lead in Ohio in today's poll, Romney must run the table on the six remaining swing states or expand the electoral map. Considering how rough the internals look in this morning's Ohio survey, Boston must know that winning the White House now depends on their candidate stealing Michigan, Minnesota or Pennsylvania out of the Obama column next Tuesday. Their play in those three Midwest states now appears to be more out of weakness than strength, though a new survey does put Romney within 3 ...
Obama, Christie, In Apparent Bromance As Romney Struggles On The Sidelines
Post Date: 2012-10-31 23:12:46 by Brian S
1 Comments
WASHINGTON - Barack Obama and his erstwhile foe, New Jersey's Republican governor, surveyed superstorm Sandy's destruction on Wednesday as polls suggest the president has a slim but steady lead over Mitt Romney in key swing states mere days before next week's election. Obama and Chris Christie made an odd political couple given the governor is one of Romney's top surrogates and has been harshly critical of the president - until, that is, Sandy decimated his beloved Jersey shore. Christie has since heaped praise on Obama for his handling of the crisis. "It's really important to have the president of the United States acknowledge all the suffering that's going ...
dick Morris: Here Comes The Landslide (OK, I feel better now)
Post Date: 2012-10-31 17:49:33 by Brian S
0 Comments
Voters have figured out that President Obama has no message, no agenda and not even much of an explanation for what he has done over the past four years. His campaign is based entirely on persuading people that Mitt Romney is a uniquely bad man, entirely dedicated to the rich, ignorant of the problems of the average person. As long as he could run his negative ads, the campaign at least kept voters away from the Romney bandwagon. But once we all met Mitt Romney for three 90-minute debates, we got to know him — and to like him. He was not the monster Obama depicted, but a reasonable person for whom we could vote. As we stripped away Obama’s yearlong campaign of vilification, all ...
GoDaddy Suspends GOP Ad Firm's Websites For Anti-Obama Texts
Post Date: 2012-10-31 14:28:30 by Brian S
3 Comments
Virginia-based GOP advertising firm ccAdvertising was behind a flood of anti-Obama text messages sent Tuesday night, according to Web domain records. By Wednesday morning, GoDaddy, a domain registrar, had suspended the firm's websites for spam and abuse. ccAdvertising did not respond to a request for comment. It is unclear how many people received the unsolicited messages, but many people in the Washington, D.C., metro area took to Twitter and other social media sites on Tuesday night to complain about the unusual campaign tactic. The texts covered a variety of topics, including abortion rights, Medicare and taxes. "The average American pays at least $2,000 more in taxes than ...
Gallup Finds Majority Believe Obama Will Win (54-34-11)
Post Date: 2012-10-31 14:26:07 by Brian S
4 Comments
A majority believe President Obama will defeat Mitt Romney and secure a second term in the White House, a Gallup poll found Wednesday. According to the survey, 54 percent said they thought Obama would win, 34 percent believe Romney will win, and 11 percent had no opinion. Those numbers have been fairly stable throughout the cycle, with Obama peaking in late August at 58 to 36 over Romney. The numbers contrast with Gallup’s results of who likely voters will support in the election. In its most recent poll, 51 percent of likely voters said they would support Romney compared to 46 percent who said they would support Obama. When broken down by party, Democrats are more confident in ...
Obama Visits Storm Victims While Romney Campaigns
Post Date: 2012-10-31 10:59:26 by Brian S
0 Comments
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Barack Obama, locked in a fierce re-election bid, is emphasizing his incumbent's role for a third straight day, skipping battleground states to visit victims of Hurricane Sandy in New Jersey, a state he's confident of winning. The president's actions have forced his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, to walk a careful line and make tough choices. The former Massachusetts governor must show respect for the superstorm's casualties all along the Eastern Seaboard. But Romney can ill afford to waste a minute of campaign time, with the contest virtually deadlocked in several key states and the election six days away. After tamping down his ...
In Ohio, 7 Days Till Votes Are Counted, Democrats Maintain An Edge in Both Contests for President and United States Senator
Post Date: 2012-10-30 21:07:40 by Brian S
1 Comments
It's Barack Obama 48%, Mitt Romney 45% in SurveyUSA's penultimate tracking poll of the state of Ohio, unchanged from last week, and barely changed over the past month. 4 times in October SurveyUSA has polled Ohio for WCMH-TV in Columbus, and 4 times Barack Obama has led, though always inside of any survey's margin of possible error. Obama has never polled below 45%, Romney has never polled above 45%. As evidence of how important each Buckeye vote is, half of Ohio voters tell SurveyUSA they have been contacted by both campaigns for President. Another 18% have been contacted by just the Romney campaign, and another 15% have been contacted by just the Obama campaign. That leaves ...
Romney Camp Going Off The Fact Checking Rails In Ohio
Post Date: 2012-10-30 20:56:40 by Brian S
7 Comments
In the final days of the 2012 race, Mitt Romney’s campaign is really making good on its pollster’s August promise to ignore fact checkers. To close the deal in the Ohio, Team Romney is blitzing the state with a series of wildly deceptive statements and ads suggesting that Chrysler is moving local jobs to China. The latest is an unannounced radio spot, audio of which was posted by the Greg Sargent on Tuesday. The spot asks whether Obama rescued the auto industry for “Ohio — or China?” “Now comes word that Chrysler plans to start making Jeeps in — you guessed it — China,” the ad’s narrator says. “What happened to the promises made to ...
GM Calls Latest Romney Auto Ad 'Politics At Its Cynical Worst'
Post Date: 2012-10-30 20:54:59 by Brian S
2 Comments
Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has broadened his attack on President Barack Obama’s auto industry restructuring, implying that General Motors used the aid to hire more workers in China than in the U.S. “Barack Obama says he saved the auto industry. But for who? Ohio or China?” says the narrator in a radio spot running in Ohio. “Under President Obama, GM cut 15,000 American jobs, but they are planning to double the number of cars built in China, which means 15,000 more jobs for China. And now comes word that Chrysler plans to start making Jeeps in, you guessed it, China.” GM quickly defended its performance. “We've clearly entered some ...
The Winner of the Election: George W. Bush (HuffPo lefties abandon HMS O'bounty)
Post Date: 2012-10-30 17:05:49 by Hondo68
1 Comments
I'm calling the election. The winner will be George W. Bush. Whether Obama serves a second term or hands the reins to Romney, we will face another four years of Bush's policies. The war on terrorism defined Bush's tenure. Obama has embraced virtually every significant aspect of Bush's national security strategy. The current administration has signed off on warrantless wiretapping and has claimed the authority to start wars even in the face of explicit congressional opposition. The White House has hid behind a shroud of extreme secrecy, invoking the Espionage Act against whistleblowers and stonewalling torture investigation by revising the Freedom of Information Act through ...
Gallup Suspends Daily Tracking Poll For 2nd Day
Post Date: 2012-10-30 16:07:00 by Brian S
2 Comments
Gallup will not conduct its daily tracking survey for the second night in a row as a result of superstorm Sandy, the polling firm announced Tuesday. “Gallup will not conduct daily tracking surveys for a second night, Tuesday, Oct. 30, due to the ongoing effects of superstorm Sandy and will continue to reassess the situation on a day-to-day basis,” read a statement from the organization. “Gallup will provide an update on Wednesday about plans from that point forward.” Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport issued a statement on Monday saying that the firm’s ability to conduct polling over the next several days will depend, in part, on the outcome of Sandy. ...
President Obama Cancels Third Campaigning Day To Oversee Storm Response
Post Date: 2012-10-30 13:29:24 by Brian S
0 Comments
(Reuters) - President Barack Obama will stay in Washington on Wednesday to oversee the response to Hurricane Sandy, canceling another day of campaigning roughly a week before Election Day, the White House said on Tuesday. Obama will be in Washington to "monitor the response to Hurricane Sandy and ensure that all available federal resources continue to be provided to support ongoing state and local recovery efforts," White House spokesman Jay Carney said in a statement. "As a result, the president will not participate in the campaign events that had been scheduled in Ohio tomorrow." Obama had already skipped political events on Monday and Tuesday to be in Washington ...
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