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Title: Here’s Who Will Lament — and Celebrate — the Plummeting U.S. Birth Rate
Source: Foreign Relations
URL Source: http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/07/03 ... s-abortion-immigration-europe/
Published: Jul 3, 2017
Author: Bethany Allen-Ebrahimian
Post Date: 2017-07-21 15:23:03 by Anthem
Keywords: Population, Control, Freaks
Views: 5897
Comments: 71

The birth rate among women in the United States just hit a historic low, leading some demographers to worry that population decline may lie in our future.

New data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reveal that in 2016, there were just 62 live births per 1,000 women of childbearing age. That’s a one percent decrease from 2015, and the lowest rate on record. Blame the millennials, say demographers — they’re not having kids. Some commentators have worried this may become a “national emergency” if the rate were to drop below population replacement levels.

What’s so bad about fewer babies? That depends on who you ask — and, often, their political leanings.

A population that fails to replace itself means a growing elderly population sustained by a shrinking workforce, creating social anxiety, economic troubles, and a general sense of cultural malaise.

William Frey, a population expert at the Brookings Institution in Washington, suspects that a still-recovering U.S. economy is to blame for the dip, rather than more permanent factors. “Every year I say when the economy is getting better then we’ll start having more children,” Frey told the Washington Post, “and I’m still expecting that to happen.”

Solutions to population woes are where partisan views begin to diverge. Conservatives are more likely to emphasize religious and traditional values as the best way to encourage families to have more children.

A May 2015 article in Breitbart, the alt-right news site, called falling fertility rates among millennial women “disturbing.” It connected lower birth rates to abortion, noting that 5.6 million pregnancies had been terminated between 2007 and 2011 — a common view in the pro-life movement but less widely accepted outside of it.

In some European countries, many of which have lower fertility rates than the United States, governments have launched public initiatives, such as Denmark’s “Do it for mom” campaign in 2015, which encouraged couples to have kids to please their parents.

Another way to ensure population replacement is through robust immigration. But that is another point where partisan concerns about fertility diverge — and where some of the real civilizational angst can set in.

Japan presents an extreme case. The nation’s population is already in net decline, with whole villages aging away. There’s one village where elderly residents make life-size dolls and place them in classrooms and playgrounds to remind them of what children are like, since there are no more children there anymore.

As the working population in Japan shrinks, there won’t be enough nurses to take care of the people who will soon be filling up nursing homes. Taiwan and Hong Kong also have some of the lowest fertility rates in the world, but they’ve implemented visa programs that allow foreign workers.

But Japan has kept its immigration laws watertight, preferring instead to pour billions of dollars into creating service robots for the country’s burgeoning nursing home industry. The Japanese government would literally rather have robots take care of its aging population than open the country to non-Japanese workers.

Tinges of a similar ethnocentrism can be found, with increasing fervor in the past few years, in more distant corners of the American and European right. Concerns about declining birth rates, rising immigration from non-Western countries, and the fall of the Judeo-Christian West resonate on both sides of the Atlantic.

Britain’s former chief rabbi, Lord Jonathan Sacks, has warned that the secularization of Europe was leading to its demographic, moral, and ultimately civilizational downfall. Sacks claimed in an interview with the Daily Telegraph in 2016 that there was no “historical example of a society that became secularised and maintained its birth rate over subsequent centuries.”

“That’s how great civilizations decline and fall,” he said.

These fears help explain why Trump’s base can support policies that would reduce overall immigration while simultaneously fearing a shrinking population. In May 2016 White House chief strategist and former Breitbart chief Stephen Bannon invited Italian conservative Benjamin Harnwell to his radio show to share a similar message.

“There’s not a single country, a single EU member state, that has a fertility rate at replacement level,” Harnwell claimed. Yet Muslim immigration threatened the continent as well, he said, since Europeans, who have lost touch with their Christian values, were unable to see the “innately aggressive” aspects of Islam.

News of the low birth rate is likely to delight at least one U.S. group — the small Virginia-based nonprofit Negative Population Growth. The group believes that endless population growth will destroy the environment and strain resources; it supports policies to lower the birthrate and reduce immigration to “traditional levels.”

Theirs isn’t a view that is currently widely held in the United States, but it harks back to fears of a “population bomb” that gripped the Western world in the 1970s, when the group was founded. In 1969, Paul Ehrlich, a popular public intellectual and biologist who frequently appeared on The Tonight Show with Johnny Carson, declared at a conference, “Our first move must be to convince all those we can that the planet Earth must be viewed as a spaceship of limited carrying capacity.” The United Nations declared 1974 “Population Year,” and more than a hundred countries gathered to discuss global population control measures. China’s draconian one-child policy was borne in part from this strain of thought.

“We must not simply stop population growth,” Negative Population Growth proclaims on its website. “We must turn it around.”


Poster Comment:

That is a crude birth rate of about 10.3 which is far below the projected CBR of 18.2 for 2015-2020.

From Wikipedia

World historical and projected crude birth rates (1950–2050)

  

Years

CBR

  

1950–1955

37.2

  

1955–1960

35.3

  

1960–1965

34.9

  

1965–1970

33.4

  

1970–1975

30.8

  

1975–1980

28.4

  

1980–1985

27.9

  

1985–1990

27.3

  

1990–1995

24.7

  

1995–2000

22.5

  

2000–2005

21.2

  

2005–2010

20.3

  

2010–2015

19.4

  

2015–2020

18.2

  

2020–2025

16.9

  

2025–2030

15.8

  

2030–2035

15

  

2035–2040

14.5

  

2040–2045

14

  

2045–2050

13.4

  
 
 

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#1. To: Anthem (#0) (Edited)

Solutions to population woes are where partisan views begin to diverge. Conservatives are more likely to emphasize religious and traditional values as the best way to encourage families to have more children.

How about the problem that American men and women can't tolerate each other for more than a couple nights indescriminate sex. Nobody sane would want to marry either of them. If the women get pregnant they get an abortion instead of having it interfere with their grandiose illusion of becoming CEOs somewhere.

Look at Playboy and Cosmo magazines to find the value systems that are the problem. Meanwhile we're subsidizing trash races to have hyper-aggressive feral out of wedlock children.

rlk  posted on  2017-07-21   16:49:37 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: rlk (#1)

In the 1950's divorce was hardly an economic option as women rarely had a bread winning salary, so there was usually no place for a woman wanting a divorce to go, or for that matter, a husband wanting a divorce could send her. So a husband and wife could have a horrible marriage but economically, they were pretty much forced to stay together. Whether that meant they worked out differences out of necessity or pretty much just tolerated each other the best they could until death do they part, they stayed together.

Today, it's much easier for a woman earn her own career salary so divorce is much more in reach.

And of course, even if a marriage is doing great, unlike 50 years ago women have the career option which can compete with the option to be a homemaker raising a family.

Compare that to the Islamic culture where women generally fulfill only one purpose in life. Long term cultural advantage goes to Muslims and families that generally have a lower class of living (read illegals).

Pinguinite  posted on  2017-07-21   17:27:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Anthem (#0)

Anthem, I think we could have a meaningful discussion of this.

My mind comes at this from three very different angles - a religious one, a secular/liberty-focused one, and a national security/cultural one.

Where I come out on it is that whining about things and saying what they "ought to be" from a moralistic and religious perspective is among the most useless things anybody ever does. God never intervenes in such matters, to save cultures from the consequences of their own choices. He's not going to this time either, because we're not really a "good" people by his definition.

So, if we want to keep going and not simply melt into Latin America (a prospect that does not, frankly, offend me all that much), then we actually have to fundamentally change some aspect of our society.

Changing the birth control/abortion culture would be the religious way to effect change. But we are ruled by Protestant Republicans, with secular Democrats right behind, so we will never - not ever - be changing course on birth control or abortion until the country has already become Latin America, and maybe not then.

The religious way will not work, because there are not nearly enough religious people who even understand the problem. It's a dead letter.

The other option is secular. France and Iceland are the only First World "Christian" countries in Europe or North America to be nearly at replacement rate for fertility. They do this by the sort of comprehensive economic support for families: housing, child care, education, health care, income support necessary for First World people to have enough children to sustain the population.

Of course, in France those numbers are tricky, just like in the United States. Truth is, France and the US show an overall fertility rate that is much higher than the WHITE fertility rate in either place. In the US, the white fertility rate is in the sewer, at European levels. France does not keep statistics based on ethnicity, considering all French to be "French" and France to be colorblind. It would be illegal and discriminatory for the French state to keep racial statistics on its people, so it doesn't.

That said, it's obvious from observation that it is Arabic (mostly from North Africa), as well as Black Africans and French Caribbean people (mostly Christian) who are the primary childbearers. White fertility is lower.

So even my preferred method doesn't appear to really work in countries where the benefits are generous.

For that reason, I actually think that the third answer - learning Spanish - is the most practical for Americans. We will not change our religious beliefs, and will not change our economic structures, and therefore will not change our reproductive practices. That means a relentless downward spiral of available workers, putting upward pressure on wages and political pressure for immigration.

In the end, because we won't change anything, we will change our language to Spanish. Whether that will change our religion to Catholic, and permanently change our fertility rates upward to resemble Latin America, or that, rather, Latin Catholics in a First World country will behave like Spaniards in Spain, secularize, and also stop having babies, remains to be seen.

For my part, I would like to see the culture come to its senses. But since I know from talking to my fellow Americans that it won't, I have adopted a shoulder shrug attitude towards the Hispanicization of America.

I have the two strategies to stop that, but nobody wants to do those things. Instead, they want to do what the Japanese are doing - close the doors. That works for a racist island like Japan, where there is an emperor and where the culture reigns supreme. But America is much more heavily dominated by economic interests, and is much more divided. No consensus for keeping the borders closed will ever hold.

So our future is to become Latin America. It would be best if we were to become Chile or Costa Rica, rather than Venezuela or the bad parts of Mexico.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-21   17:49:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Vicomte13 (#3)

The religious way will not work for you because you Dont have faith on god. You said that is n your screed. If I read your drivel I'm sure you will talk about abortion to end poverty and some more commie bullshit. Perhaps if you didn't pray to a dead woman who will never ever hear your prayers you would have more faith. Then you call the commie pope holy father blaspheming the one true god. Sick.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   17:56:33 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: A K A Stone (#4)

The religious way will not work for you because you Dont have faith on god. You said that is n your screed. If I read your drivel I'm sure you will talk about abortion to end poverty and some more commie bullshit. Perhaps if you didn't pray to a dead woman who will never ever hear your prayers you would have more faith. Then you call the commie pope holy father blaspheming the one true god. Sick.

Thus says the Protestant Christian, who idolizes a book and a piece of parchment, and doesn't actually FOLLOW either one.

I'm a minority in this country. We have never ruled, never run the show. The closest we got was JFK, and that lasted only a couple of years.

Your type has been running the country since the beginning. And you've made a real hash of it, all in all.

Your weakness was always your hate. You hate. You rage. You seethe. There's no love there. No compassion. Nothing that sounds remotely like Christ. And your actions follow your words.

Of course, therefore, you've run your country into the ground and are turning it into hell. You can't help yourselves.

Of course, therefore, you have your party: the Republicans. They lie to you all the time. I don't. But you hate me, of course: because you're a Protestant Republican, and that's pretty much all that Protestant Republicans do: rage, spew bile, hate, and turn everything they touch into what we've got.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-21   18:03:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Vicomte13 (#5) (Edited)

Are you to much of a Pusey to answer my question s.. Why do you pray to a dead woman wwhi isn't god. Why do you call the asshole holy father. You are a cult member that is why. You ridicule the word of God saying it is a piece of paper. You're. Being quite foish.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   18:13:37 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: Vicomte13 (#5)

I'm the hateful one because I proved you nave a thief philosophy. I should quote your rant where you said you wanted to murder everyone you hate.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   18:15:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: Vicomte13 (#5)

I Dont run the country dumb ass.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   18:16:33 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Anthem (#0)

The birth rate among women in the United States just hit a historic low, leading some demographers to worry that population decline may lie in our future.

Over taxed and over worked.

If you want to raise kids in a decent place you have to have both parents working which means everyone is working themselves into not wanting kids. Tax man taking 50% plus in taxes(hidden tax is as much as what you outright pay). Government working against the family in every way possible.

The only way to solve this issue is to take all the progressives and feed them to the sharks. People will do what their dna tells them if government gets out of the way.

Justified  posted on  2017-07-21   18:55:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: A K A Stone, Allahu Akbar Republicans (#8)

I Dont run the country dumb ass.

The Wahhabi Republicans that you voted for do!


The D&R terrorists hate us because we're free, to vote second party

"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Hondo68  posted on  2017-07-21   19:26:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: hondo68 (#10)

Thank god Trump is president. I also thank god that you are an irrelevant piss ant.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   19:51:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: A K A Stone (#6)

Are you to much of a Pusey to answer my question s.. Why do you pray to a dead woman wwhi isn't god. Why do you call the asshole holy father. You are a cult member that is why. You ridicule the word of God saying it is a piece of paper. You're. Being quite foish.

I don't consider not answering belligerent taunts to be "being a puaay". I have a long military and professional record that demonstrate I am anything but. There's no harm that I can see in answering you soberly. Are you drunk? You're writing as though you were. I would be really sorry for you if you wrote like sober.

Why do Catholics pray to Mary? Well, first off, because it works. The greatest font of visible, verifiable miraculous healing on earth is the Marian shrine at Lourdes, in France, where the Virgin appeared in 1835 to Bernadette Soubirous. Mary's appearance in Guadelupe, Mexico, quickly effected the mass conversion of the Meso-American Indians to the worship of her Son, Jesus. What Spanish missionaries could not achieve in decades of effort against the harsh Aztecs, Mary did with one appearance. God has used her as a powerful emissary, and just like we ask our friends to pray for us, when we say a Hail Mary, we ask Mary to pray for us to our God. She demonstrably has clout, and the Hail Mary has been demonstrated to be a particularly powerful prayer, because it is answered so often.

Mary is not dead. None of the saints are dead. You are very much mistaken in believing that she is. She isn't God. She is God's mother, and He loves her. He has sent her as his emissary many times - at Lourdes, at Fatima, at Guadelupe and elsewhere. She is full of grace, and we know she is the closest to God that any human being has ever come.

Why do you call the Pope an asshole? There were Popes in the past who were assholes - terrible people. But that was a long time ago, and the process for choosing the Pope has improved vastly since then. All of the Popes since I was born have been wonderful men. What has Francis ever done to you for you to call him an asshole? Not one thing.

Of course, you're a Protestant Republican, and therefore anybody who doesn't think exactly like you is an asshole...except of course your Republican Congressmen and other leaders. They clearly don't think like you, because they enact everything that you hate, but you still support them. This is because you are a blind and stubborn dupe.

The Catholic Church is the world's largest human organization, with 1.4 billion people in it. The supermajority of Christians are Catholic. Your religion is the little cult.

I did not ridicule the word of God saying it is a piece of paper. It was the Constitution I was calling the piece of paper. I called the Bible "a book" - one that you don't follow.

I don't know whether or not I am "foish". Not sure what that means. "Foolish", perhaps?

No, I'm being very straightforward and answering the angry, hateful, belittling, awkward, illiterate questions of a raging Protestant Republican.

I don't ask you questions back because you're a Protestant Republican. I already know what you think about everything. You guys' heads are screwed on with bolts, and you're very predictable.

Because your leaders lie to you every election and keep doing what you hate, you're always in a rage, and so you always blame people who didn't do anything to you, like me. I'm the scapegoat for your rage at the lying sacks of shit that screw you over every time. You beat on me because I listen, respond and understand you. Protestant Republicans more powerful than you would point and laugh while you drowned. I'd jump in and pull you out, so that you could call me a pussy and a cultist, because I don't share your blind political and religious ideas.

That's why it's so good to have these discussions. The character of the Protestant Republican and the character of the Roman Catholic are quite poetically framed by our dialogue.

Your fellow religionists - Protestant Republicans all - will occasionally jump in from the peanut gallery and curse me out. What they never do, and what you never do, is venture to give ideas for fixing anything. I think about it, and write it out. I write out different paths that could get us to different results. I discuss things philosophically and strategically. I try to persuade with appeals to logic, humanity and Christianity. I fail, of course, because I am talking to Protestant Republicans.

Still, circling back, to call me a "pussy" is particularly rich. There are very few who communicate with you who stick their neck out and propose solutions, who risk getting abused for the ideas and who - like clockwork - get abused, but nevertheless stand my ground. You have some military veterans here, including me. US military veterans with long service are generally not pussies.

But if, in your Protestant and betrayed Republican rage, you want to tear apart a Catholic who dares to propose ideas, to engage with you people, well - don't hold back. It provides a beautiful, permanent written record of what Roman Catholic Independence versus Protestant Republicanism really MEANS in America.

You have a good night now. Hope you don't have too bad a hangover in the morning.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-21   19:52:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: Vicomte13 (#12)

If my writing is bad it is because I am on vacation using a piece of crap phone I can barely see. My fingers are to big for the keyboard and it is a pain in the ass. So I'm keeping my responses short and not going into everything.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   19:58:42 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: A K A Stone (#7)

'm the hateful one because I proved you nave a thief philosophy. I should quote your rant where you said you wanted to murder everyone you hate.

Oh, but I DO want to murder everybody I hate! When I get worked up into a rage like you do, I do so without alcohol so my spelling and grammar remain legible. I'm a problem solver and a strategist, and the obvious solution to the people I hate is the final one: remove them from the world, with great prejudice.

Of course, I recognize that this is wrong, evil in fact, and once I have calmed down I do my best to return to my God, which requires me to step down from the hatred and try to see it their way. Even when I can't do that, I recognize that the judgments over life and death belong to God, not me.

So yes, you have called me out on being a sinner. Specifically, my overpowering sin is wrath - bloodyminded wrath. When under its emprise, I want to see my enemies DEAD. This isn't too terribly surprising from a Viking and Celtic brain, but the Catholic heart ultimately prevails and cooler reason comes, the rage deserts the sea, and I feel abashed for the degree of bloodyminded murderousness that is my urge.

I'm a sinner.

I write sometimes in that red rage, just as you seem to write sometimes when you're drunk. It's perfectly legitimate for you to quote me in those phases, to demonstrate that the heart of this Catholic cultist is some sort of admixture of blood-handed crusader and merciless inquisitioner. That's true, and I have to govern it.

I'll certainly own to being a bad person in that regard. But a coward? If I were, it would be a good thing, because fear would hold me back from doing harm. As it stands, though, it isn't cowardice that holds me back, but reason and the desire to not walk out on God.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-21   20:01:15 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: Vicomte13 (#12)

How can someone who drinks like three times a year have a hangover? I can't even remember the last time I drank let alone got drunk.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   20:02:00 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: A K A Stone (#13)

If my writing is bad it is because I am on vacation using a piece of crap phone I can barely see. My fingers are to big for the keyboard and it is a pain in the ass. So I'm keeping my responses short and not going into everything.

You could make it easier on yourself and just type what you think of me like BorisY:

Poop follower. Asshole pussy cultist dead woman fool liar Marxist thief murderous idiot.

Enjoy your vacation. Hope that beating on me makes your day brighter.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-21   20:03:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: A K A Stone (#15)

How can someone who drinks like three times a year have a hangover? I can't even remember the last time I drank let alone got drunk.

Ok. So you're not a mean drunk. You're just mean - a mean Protestant Republican...but I repeat myself!

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-21   20:04:39 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: Vicomte13 (#14)

You enrage me too. When you do things contrary to scripture then claim it is from God. That is why I am hard on you.

If you had the same views and didn't claim the catholic church is something it isn't I would go easier on you.

I basically attack positions of yours that I have scripture to contradict your beliefs. But you reject the simple truth found in the Bible, and go with something catholics teach that isnt in the word.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-21   20:12:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: A K A Stone (#18)

Your claims that I do things contrary to Scripture are tiresome and ridiculous. You do not know Scripture a tenth as well as I do, and the things you insist upon are badly mangled misunderstandings.

But Protestants can't talk to Catholics without being assholes.

The Bible is not the extent of God's revelation, you know. He didn't stop performing miracles and giving revelations in the first century. The Holy Spirit has been active since, and there are many things that clarify Jesus' love and will.

You ignore God.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-21   22:24:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: Vicomte13, A K A Stone (#3) (Edited)

My mind comes at this from three very different angles - a religious one, a secular/liberty-focused one, and a national security/cultural one.

You have taken the subject to be about immigration. I don't mind discussing that, however I first want to note that I believe that we are in the grip of a determined population reduction agenda -- from foundations like Gates' (et al - all of the big ones have a population program, sometimes disguised), to the abortion policy that just can't be shut down by Republicans, to the "cultural Marxism" (Gramscian subversion) used against the nuclear family structure.

The effect is, and has been, a lot of profoundly confused and mentally impaired people running around with no anchor to the society they live in; no common understanding; a bunch of uncouth savages fighting over access to whatever resources are readily available to satisfy their need for immediate gratification, often of irrational whimsy like trans-whateverism. Such detachment from reality and social commitments that used to be engendered by family responsibilities leaves us in a social morass that will not be able to defend itself from tyrannical predations because there is no social cohesion, no sense of commonality. At one time many people looked at slavery and were moved by seeing slaves try to hold their families together, just like them. Now that commonality is lost and not being replaced by anything rational.

Even our economic life reflects the lack of cohesion. It is easier to lie, cheat, and steal from people who are nothing but meat -- another competitor at the trough with whom there is not even a language in common. So the lack of births is the semaphore signaling a social fragmentation that is so atomized that "Balkanization" doesn't do it justice.

In the past I had not opposed immigration from the south, mostly out of naiveté (I did oppose H1-B indentured servitude because I saw its immediate economic effects first hand). I believed that the propositions that this nation was founded on were what they came seeking to adopt for themselves, as friends of mine from Eastern Europe, Turkey, and Iran did -- enthusiastically! (If anything they were more conservative both in terms of political freedom and social/family issues). In the last 10 years I have had experiences that showed me the contours of the cultural clash between the old Germanic US and the Hispanic/Aztec/Mayan mix that were/are coming in such numbers that they are not assimilating, instead organizing to lobby for preservation of their cultural identity (e.g. Spanish documents and labels). I have seen a lot of dishonesty in their behavior towards me personally. They are not my countrymen. They don't even know what the founding propositions are, an ignorance shared by many North Americans now.

Language sharing is the easy part. Respect for honesty, quality ethic*, and property rights are among the cultural behaviors that made European-American culture so successful, yet are lacking south of the border. That is not something that can be overcome by learning a language. What makes it worse is the cultural destruction that the Gramsci and Frankfurt School Jews have been pursuing for the last ~100 years have left us with a far weaker culture than we had when waves of immigrants came ashore from Southern and Eastern Europe to work in the booming late 19th century US and found that Americans knew the proposition:

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. — That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..."
Many men were alive who had fought in a terrible internecine war that on one side sought to abolish the government, and on the other to fight for the proposition of equality and liberty for all. Today, at best, we have a handful of people who were active in the Civil Rights movement, a small minority who are historically literate, and the vast majority ignorant of the propositions of the founders. Many people today are openly hostile to Natural Law and the individual rights recognized by it. How are immigrants going adapt to a culture that no longer exists?

*(migrants from south of the border work hard enough, but their quality discipline is as bad or worse than the ignorant white Confederate flag waving southerner who bellows "git 'er done!")

History has shown that it requires extraordinary pressure to amalgamate different cultures, or a long period of prosperity and an abatement of immigration. I'm hoping for the latter, on only the basis of Faith, Charity, and Hope. The former is likely to be a disaster of biblical proportions.

In closing I will mention I agree that we are obligated to take care of those who need help. In a post that Stone made to you regarding charity he mentioned that it should be at the local level, in fact from hand to hand. I agree with Stone on this, with the acknowledgement that it will have to be organized. There is no reason why local government should not work with charitable private organizations (NGOs - uhggly phrase) by serving as promoter -- using the "one stop shopping" convenience and megaphone of officialdom to organize and facilitate fund-raising efforts, and to honor those who give with public recognition. Yes, that last bit is not Christian, but it is effective among some people who give only to enhance their image.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-22   0:48:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: Vicomte13 (#3)

The other option is secular. France and Iceland are the only First World "Christian" countries in Europe or North America to be nearly at replacement rate for fertility. They do this by the sort of comprehensive economic support for families: housing, child care, education, health care, income support necessary for First World people to have enough children to sustain the population.

Leaving France aside; smaller more homogeneous polities like Iceland, Finland, or Norway can organize social welfare by government much more successfully partly because they are smaller so the bureaucracy is smaller, but mostly because of the commonality of their identity. People who live in what amounts to an extended clan are more willing to care for their "brothers and sisters" than completely strange people who look and behave differently.

In large mixed polities social welfare at a large scale is more damaging than helpful. At some point there needs to be the face to face human check to see that the help is needed and effective.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-22   1:16:20 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: Anthem (#0)

The whole article is Bull Bush. Non-white women are still having litters,and we let every 3rd world family that wants to come to America and have 12 children come in at will,and start giving them retirement checks the day they get here.

The only people not having huge families are white people,and in some cities they are already becoming minorities.

In the entire history of the world,the only nations that had to build walls to keep their own citizens from leaving were those with leftist governments.

sneakypete  posted on  2017-07-22   7:08:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#23. To: rlk (#1)

Look at Playboy and Cosmo magazines to find the value systems that are the problem. Meanwhile we're subsidizing trash races to have hyper-aggressive feral out of wedlock children.

There is no arguing with the truth.

It may not be PC or pretty,but it is still the truth.

In the entire history of the world,the only nations that had to build walls to keep their own citizens from leaving were those with leftist governments.

sneakypete  posted on  2017-07-22   7:09:36 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: Vicomte13 (#5)

I'm a minority in this country. We have never ruled, never run the show. The closest we got was JFK, and that lasted only a couple of years.

Sometimes we just got lucky.

In the entire history of the world,the only nations that had to build walls to keep their own citizens from leaving were those with leftist governments.

sneakypete  posted on  2017-07-22   7:13:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#25. To: Anthem (#21)

In large mixed polities social welfare at a large scale is more damaging than helpful. At some point there needs to be the face to face human check to see that the help is needed and effective.

That will never happen until we pass a law making it illegal for people on welfare to vote,and we all know that is not going to happen.

In the entire history of the world,the only nations that had to build walls to keep their own citizens from leaving were those with leftist governments.

sneakypete  posted on  2017-07-22   7:18:29 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#26. To: Anthem (#21) (Edited)

We cannot leave France aside. It is geographically the largest country in Europe outside of Russia, and it has a large and very diverse population: a welter of different white ethnicities brought together by the commonality of an overlaying "French" ethnicity (like the US melting pot, but older), and very large black and Muslim ethnic minorities. Of all of the European nations, France is by far the most demographically like the United States.

It also has political instincts the most similar to America. Sure, the English speak English, and we've kept some facets of their common law, but the French had a political revolution to overthrow their monarchy in the same era that we had ours - their Revolution started a mere 5 years after the end of ours, and their republicanism and ours fed off many of the same philosophical roots (and their revolution was fought by and led by many of the same French soldiers who had fought in ours).

France's example cannot be discarded, because France is the most "like us" demographically in Europe, and it has the same republican instincts.

Importantly, France is not an ethnic state. Germany is. Holland is small, and it is. England is. Scotland is. Ireland is. Spain and Italy are. Scandinavia is - as you've pointed out.

France is actually a geographic region where six separate ethnic groups have their "edge of expansion". The French Center and West is Celtic. The Southeast and Corsica is Italian. The Southwest is Basque. The East is German. The Northeast is Flemish (Dutch), and the North is Scandinavian (Viking Norman). Each of these ethnicities except for the Basques has its own clearly defined ethnic nation-state outside of France, and the people in each of these regions recognize that their root stock came from those other ethnicities (just like Americans recognize they're all "from somewhere else").

The Normans know they are Viking in origin. The Alsatians know they're German. The Center know they're Gauls and the West knows they're Breton. Provence knows that its Gallo- Roman/Italian. And the Basques know they're Basque. But none of them identifies primarily with the ethnicity and language from which they come. Rather, all of these ethnicities have turned towards the old royal center, and are French by culture - by choice. "French" is a superimposed, additional cultural norm, just like American, though an older, royal model. The Kings have all departed, but the cultural center created by the throne and crown remains.

So, France is the country that transcended ethnic tribalism. No other country in Europe ever did to that extent. America has done this on a continental scale, thanks to immigration. But both France and America share this multi-cultural, complicated, diverse history, and history of politics, as opposed to blood, forming the basis of the culture itself.

That is why France is absolutely THE best European country to use as a model for the United States. It is the most LIKE the US, and it always has been. It's the most ethnically diverse, with the most regionalism. It's the most naturally republican nation. It has the same flavor for militarism and pride. It's large. It has a people who have not bent the knee (or the mind) to a king for a long, long time, and it has been a republic with an overlaying super-wealthy class forever.

It's also large - a Texas-sized country, not a postage stamp.

It has an overseas presence and operates aircraft carriers and nuclear submarines and has ICBMs - France is the third most powerful country in the world, after the USA and Russia. The French have more nuclear weapons than anybody but those two.

These similarities are not superficial. England is a very class-based society. France is much more republican.

We can't set France aside, because France is the most "like us". France has an incredibly diverse economy, like us. So when we look at the way programs work in France, in particular, we are looking at the thing in Europe that is "most similar" to the USA. I have compared my father-in-law's Social Security to American Social Security and Medicare - it's very similar stuff, practically the same in terms of benefits.

So no, we can't leave France aside. In fact, France is the most American of all European nations in many ways, and we should set the rest of the smaller, ethnically-based countries aside and look at the nuclear, maritime, diverse republic in Europe that is most like us for the best European example of us. And that's France, by a country mile, by a provincial league.

And when we do that, we see a social welfare model designed for a diverse country, like ours, that performs better at delivering social welfare at a lower cost than our social welfare model does. That's why looking at France, in particular, is so valuable.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-22   11:52:39 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#27. To: Anthem (#20)

My mind comes at this from three very different angles - a religious one, a secular/liberty-focused one, and a national security/cultural one. You have taken the subject to be about immigration. I don't mind discussing that, however I first want to note that I believe that we are in the grip of a determined population reduction agenda -- from foundations like Gates' (et al - all of the big ones have a population program, sometimes disguised), to the abortion policy that just can't be shut down by Republicans, to the "cultural Marxism" (Gramscian subversion) used against the nuclear family structure.

The effect is, and has been, a lot of profoundly confused and mentally impaired people running around with no anchor to the society they live in; no common understanding; a bunch of uncouth savages fighting over access to whatever resources are readily available to satisfy their need for immediate gratification, often of irrational whimsy like trans-whateverism. Such detachment from reality and social commitments that used to be engendered by family responsibilities leaves us in a social morass that will not be able to defend itself from tyrannical predations because there is no social cohesion, no sense of commonality. At one time many people looked at slavery and were moved by seeing slaves try to hold their families together, just like them. Now that commonality is lost and not being replaced by anything rational.

Even our economic life reflects the lack of cohesion. It is easier to lie, cheat, and steal from people who are nothing but meat -- another competitor at the trough with whom there is not even a language in common. So the lack of births is the semaphore signaling a social fragmentation that is so atomized that "Balkanization" doesn't do it justice.

In the past I had not opposed immigration from the south, mostly out of naiveté (I did oppose H1-B indentured servitude because I saw its immediate economic effects first hand). I believed that the propositions that this nation was founded on were what they came seeking to adopt for themselves, as friends of mine from Eastern Europe, Turkey, and Iran did -- enthusiastically! (If anything they were more conservative both in terms of political freedom and social/family issues). In the last 10 years I have had experiences that showed me the contours of the cultural clash between the old Germanic US and the Hispanic/Aztec/Mayan mix that were/are coming in such numbers that they are not assimilating, instead organizing to lobby for preservation of their cultural identity (e.g. Spanish documents and labels). I have seen a lot of dishonesty in their behavior towards me personally. They are not my countrymen. They don't even know what the founding propositions are, an ignorance shared by many North Americans now.

Language sharing is the easy part. Respect for honesty, quality ethic*, and property rights are among the cultural behaviors that made European-American culture so successful, yet are lacking south of the border. That is not something that can be overcome by learning a language. What makes it worse is the cultural destruction that the Gramsci and Frankfurt School Jews have been pursuing for the last ~100 years have left us with a far weaker culture than we had when waves of immigrants came ashore from Southern and Eastern Europe to work in the booming late 19th century US and found that Americans knew the proposition:

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. — That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..." Many men were alive who had fought in a terrible internecine war that on one side sought to abolish the government, and on the other to fight for the proposition of equality and liberty for all. Today, at best, we have a handful of people who were active in the Civil Rights movement, a small minority who are historically literate, and the vast majority ignorant of the propositions of the founders. Many people today are openly hostile to Natural Law and the individual rights recognized by it. How are immigrants going adapt to a culture that no longer exists? *(migrants from south of the border work hard enough, but their quality discipline is as bad or worse than the ignorant white Confederate flag waving southerner who bellows "git 'er done!")

History has shown that it requires extraordinary pressure to amalgamate different cultures, or a long period of prosperity and an abatement of immigration. I'm hoping for the latter, on only the basis of Faith, Charity, and Hope. The former is likely to be a disaster of biblical proportions.

In closing I will mention I agree that we are obligated to take care of those who need help. In a post that Stone made to you regarding charity he mentioned that it should be at the local level, in fact from hand to hand. I agree with Stone on this, with the acknowledgement that it will have to be organized. There is no reason why local government should not work with charitable private organizations (NGOs - uhggly phrase) by serving as promoter -- using the "one stop shopping" convenience and megaphone of officialdom to organize and facilitate fund-raising efforts, and to honor those who give with public recognition. Yes, that last bit is not Christian, but it is effective among some people who give only to enhance their image.

For some reason I missed your longer discussion when I looked through the thread yesterday, only seeing the short "tag" about leaving France aside and commenting on that. I didn't see the longer piece, above.

I am headed out on a road trip today, so I cannot write right now, but I'll be thinking about what you said as I drive. You make many good and interesting points. I can agree with much of it, including the pragmatism of it.

We're farthest apart on the ethnic aspects of it, but ethnic affinities (Germanic versus Latin, for example) do not lend themselves to logical analysis: people prefer what they prefer, and there isn't much one can say about it. Which is "better", England or France? Germany or Italy? Poland or Germany? Spain or Scotland? One can quantify differences and assign "better" based on what one thinks is most appealing, and one can follow the pre-1914 model of ascribing these differences to fundamental national character. But one can just as easily ascribe the differences to the differences in weather between regions. I know that two world wars were fought over the prospect that certain cultures were superior to others. Not being a fan of racialist theory, my response to it is to note that the victor in both of those world wars was the most ethnically mixed nations: the United States in both wars, the USA and the USSR in the second war. And I note that the much self-vaunted German and Japanese military virtues ended in catastrophic defeat and mass death for the populations that believed it about themselves. It is fair to say that, when talking with me, any attempt to vaunt any particular ethnic culture as superior to the rest will result in a merry-go-round of ridicule in reply. I am not particularly impressed by ANY ethnic culture. I have a great many in my own background and I enjoy them all on the positive side - I see the good in them - until one vaunts itself, THEN I take the mickey out of them because I know all of their flaws. I would say that, on balance, the most successful cultural model in Europe is the French, and that that is precisely because France ISN'T an ethnic monoculture but an amalgam of different ethnic regions. The German region of France contributes its part and is delightful, but it is improved by being connected at the head to the Celtic, Italian and Basque parts. Go east into pure Germany, and the culture becomes much coarser, the food and drink and pretty much everything else becomes less interesting, and the people less convivial. This is a commonly felt view - there's a reason Paris is the leading destination of tourists all over the world (including Germany), rather than Dusseldorf or Leipzig.

Vienna, at the heart of the old multi-cultural Austro-Hungarian Empire, was likewise enriched by the combination of cultures, and was the better model of civilization in its long day than the purely German Reich that eroded it.

But, as I say, these ethnic things are matters of taste and don't lend themselves to intellectual discussion.

What DOES lend itself, and what I will discuss in my next, is the really different way that Catholicism (and Catholics) looks at what Christianity is, versus Protestantism and Protestants.

You and I seem to be closer on pragmatics than we are to Stone, and yet it is clear that you think that his view of what Christianity "is" is closer to yours than mine is.

Christianity DOES lend itself to discussion, because there are intellectual, and written roots of the divergent views. I get frustrated because it seems to me that the Protestants don't even COMPREHEND the Catholic view. I understand where the Protestants are coming from, but I don't think it stands up to intellectual analysis of Scripture or tradition. The disconnect there is interesting. Where I stand on these things IS Catholic, but the Protestant voices do not recognize it as even being Christian. THIS difference is susceptible to education, and that's what I am going to think about today.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-23   8:21:39 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#28. To: Vicomte13 (#27) (Edited)

I have long believed the aphorism, "if you let the dogs out of the kennel, it's the mongrels who will survive". I live in a neighborhood, at the edge of the deep south, that is so inbred that there are four Mike's and four Angela's in a population of less than fifty. So, don't read too much anti-immigration into my comments. There are reasons for Europe's past success which are trumpeted by the racialists, but nevertheless have some truth to them from a cultural analysis perspective.

Likewise, I agreed with Stone on one comment. Lighten up on the "I am an island" verse. Sheesh.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-23   12:19:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#29. To: Anthem, Vicomte13 (#21)

Smaller more homogeneous polities like Iceland, Finland, or Norway can organize social welfare by government much more successfully partly because they are smaller so the bureaucracy is smaller, but mostly because of the commonality of their identity.

But ONLY to a point. The sound you hear suddenly a Camel's Back breaking (yes, pun intended.)

THE actual reason socialism was working (to a point) in those smaller nations, was a result of the Baby-Boomers remaining in the work-force. That is n longer the case in *those* nations, thus socialist societies within even those relatively tiny, homologous nations is impossible the maintain beyond NOW.

As to the identity -- yes, well THAT is changing as well, isn't it? Muslims do NOT want to work, will NOT work, this a tinderbox is about to explode. Muslims are of the opinion that these God-less, European Socialists are their (near) future slaves.

People who live in what amounts to an extended clan are more willing to care for their "brothers and sisters" than completely strange people who look and behave differently.

True.

That said, ONLY to a point are the clan willing to compensate for healthy, lazy parasites -- even IF they are their brothers and sisters.

The Western European socialist model will not nor can survive economically, ideologically, nor every other which-way as they've invited rapidly breeding self-entitled Muslim barbarian-parasites who believe their host-nations are "Allah's Gift" to *them*.

Btw -- WHY must populations levels necessarily be "sustained" in an age "robotics"? I believe this notion is nothing but globalist-propaganda that hope will justify the invasion of fake Muslim "refugees".

THIS entire charade is about nothing but enslavement of the native European middle class as well as creating a neo-Royalty class.

Liberator  posted on  2017-07-23   12:21:03 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#30. To: Vicomte13 (#27) (Edited)

Christianity DOES lend itself to discussion, because there are intellectual, and written roots of the divergent views.

I get frustrated because it seems to me that the Protestants don't even COMPREHEND the Catholic view.

YES, WE DO INDEED "comprehend the Catholic view." And THAT my friend is *your* problem, not ours.

The Vatican is an evil, counterfeit *commercial* enterprise. Always have been. They have been controlling ancient and not-so-ancient history itself, hiding it, and both Evil and Truth within the bowels of the Vatican.

There have been precious few Popes who've taken the spreading of the Gospel seriously. The current "Pope" is an anarchist, a liar -- which is tantamount to working for the devil himself.

This is not to indict all RCCs at all. many are good, decent, moral/ethical God-fearing people. But tell me -- just how do Catholics justify remaining "Catholic"? WHAT are THE tenets that are held so near and dear to your heart that affect your Eternal Reward? OR....IS mortal power here on earth part of the attraction?

Liberator  posted on  2017-07-23   12:28:32 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#31. To: Liberator (#29)

Muslims do NOT want to work, will NOT work, this a tinderbox is about to explode. Muslims are of the opinion that these God-less, European Socialists are their (near) future slaves.

This amounts to a mindless rant against Muslims. I have known many Muslims -- Turks, Persians, and east Africans, most of whom were good hearted people. The only exception in my experience were the Semites -- Arabs from UAE and SA -- that I dealt with in the late '70s and early '90s.

they've invited rapidly breeding self-entitled Muslim barbarian-parasites who believe their host-nations are "Allah's Gift" to *them*.

Today the Muslims are a pissed off population, and I wouldn't want them around me because of that. I don't forget that it was the Jews who pissed them off by destroying their countries and driving them into Europe and trying to get them here. If we put a stop to the Zionist terrorism and constant manipulation of Christian and Muslim, then they could go back home and we could live in peace.

Which is not the topic of this thread.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-23   19:23:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#32. To: Liberator (#30)

The Vatican is an evil, counterfeit *commercial* enterprise. Always have been. They have been controlling ancient and not-so-ancient history itself, hiding it, and both Evil and Truth within the bowels of the Vatican.

More Jewish propaganda. They have been successful in their efforts to manipulate the Protestant and Evangelical churches. Divide and conquer.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-23   19:28:06 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#33. To: Anthem (#32)

Your comment is propaganda.

A K A Stone  posted on  2017-07-23   19:30:14 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#34. To: A K A Stone (#33) (Edited)

Your comment is propaganda.

Edit: Actually, yes it is. I am promoting awareness of the behavior of the Jews. I can make the case for it.

(original post below)

No, I am not promoting the Catholic Church (I am not a Catholic). What I'm combating is unproven and unprovable aspersions cast on it.

If there were a reasoned discussion about it, then I would acknowledge well made points. I've not seen any reasonable comments that could form the basis for a discussion.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-23   19:42:35 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#35. To: Liberator (#30)

WHAT are THE tenets that are held so near and dear to your heart

This will take awhile to unpack.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-23   20:22:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#36. To: All (#35)

And in the end, it's not worth the bother. I've never in my life ever seen anybody convinced by a religious argument. Haters' gonna hate. The better course is to spare the time and use it on something else.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-23   23:14:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#37. To: Anthem (#34)

If there were a reasoned discussion about it, then

Since that's never going to happen, may as well use your time for something more fruitful.

Elsewhere there's an article about the death of the Church of England. Of course it's dying!

Elsewhere still, there's an article about the PM of Hungary decrying the Islamicization of Europe. Of course it's Islamicizing! Nature abhors a vacuum, and in Europe now there is a yawning vacuum of faith. Enter: Islam.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-07-23   23:17:20 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#38. To: Vicomte13 (#36) (Edited)

And in the end, it's not worth the bother. I've never in my life ever seen anybody convinced by a religious argument.

I once held many of the views of the Catholic Church that are (crudely) expressed here. It was argument with FRiends whose intellect I respected that got me started in the direction of learning more about it. Eventually I even had an epiphany about the Trinity.

Faith, Hope, Charity.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-23   23:40:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#39. To: rlk (#1)

If we have less children being born to fill jobs the wages rise. As the wages rise, one person in the family can once again feed, clothe and house the family on his pay. When that begins to happen, females will once again choose to be a housewife and have more children.

I know this is a radical idea, but women actually LOVE to be at home with their children, and would also LOVE to work part time or not at all if they could only afford it. Since 54% of all college graduates are now women, this would also affect enrollment rates in University pushing them downward, making tuition less expensive.

Exercising rights is only radical to two people, Tyrants and Slaves. Which are YOU? Our ignorance has driven us into slavery and we do not recognize it.

jeremiad  posted on  2017-07-23   23:58:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#40. To: jeremiad (#39)

I know this is a radical idea, but women actually LOVE to be at home with their children...

I know that. It is an integral constituent of their sex drive. But don't tell that to the Playboy philosophers or the members of the Woman's lib movement or they will try to chop off your head.

rlk  posted on  2017-07-24   0:57:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  



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