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Title: National Poll: Donald Trump Remains Frontrunner, Would Lose Big Head-To Head With Ted Cruz
Source: Breitbart
URL Source: http://www.breitbart.com/big-govern ... in-head-to-head-with-ted-cruz/
Published: Mar 8, 2016
Author: Jordan Schachte
Post Date: 2016-03-08 15:15:15 by cranky
Keywords: None
Views: 957
Comments: 23

An ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Donald Trump leading the race to become the Republican nominee for President of the United States. However, if the field were to consolidate, the billionaire businessman would no longer be favored in a head-to-head situation, according to the survey.

The real estate mogul leads with 34 percent support nationally, followed by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) with 25 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) at 18 percent, and John Kasich rounding out the field with 13 percent, the poll results say.

“Trump’s support has essentially remained unchanged for months,” the report released with the poll said.

Both Cruz and Rubio defeat Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head scenario.

Cruz easily defeats Trump head-to-head 54-41 percent. non-Cruz or Trump supporters prefer Cruz to Trump 72-17 percent.

Among “very conservative voters,” Cruz takes down Trump 60-34 percent. Among white evangelicals, Cruz handles Trump 64-31 percent.

Rubio also defeats Trump, but by smaller margins, 51-45 percent. Non-Rubio or Trump voters favor Rubio 69-23 percent. He, like Cruz, is favored by approximately 60% of women in a head-to-head with Trump.

Only 51 percent of those surveyed felt that they would be satisfied with Trump’s nomination, and 52 percent said they view him favorably. Cruz has the highest net favorability rating at 65 percent.

The poll also surveyed Democrat voters. It found that Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) nationally, 49-42 percent.

By a 69-29 percent divide, American view the current political system as “dysfunctional,” according to the survey. Yet, only 21 percent are angry at the government.

The ABC/WaPo poll sampled 1,000 adults nationwide.(1 image)

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#1. To: cranky (#0)

Trump is winning.

Wait until the people decide some winnter-take-all states such as CA (172), FL (99), NY (95), NJ (51), OH (63), PA (71), IL (69).

Unless something very surprising happens, Rubio will be gone and Cruz will be barely visible in the rear view mirror. First or second loser may get a participation trophy, but that is about it.

nolu chan  posted on  2016-03-08   15:40:03 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: nolu chan (#1)

Wait until the people decide some winnter-take-all states such as CA (172), FL (99), NY (95), NJ (51), OH (63), PA (71), IL (69).

Almost all the anti-Trumps are looking to Fl and Oh to change the primary landscape.

Fl looks set to go Trump but Kasich is still leading in the Ohio polls, I think.

But I wouldn't be surprised if Trump takes Oh.

There are three kinds of people in the world: those that can add and those that can't

cranky  posted on  2016-03-08   15:49:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: cranky (#0)

"Rubio also defeats Trump, but by smaller margins, 51-45 percent."

Wait a minute. Head-to-head. Just Trump and Rubio. And Rubio wins?

"Among “very conservative voters,” Cruz takes down Trump 60-34 percent."

Please define “very conservative voters”. I have no idea what that means. I consider myself very conservative, and Trump's my man.

misterwhite  posted on  2016-03-08   15:51:34 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: misterwhite (#3)

Please define “very conservative voters”.

My guess is each respondent described him or her self.

There are three kinds of people in the world: those that can add and those that can't

cranky  posted on  2016-03-08   15:59:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: cranky (#0)

cruz just hired a bush for his campaign, he just another TOOL

calcon  posted on  2016-03-08   17:03:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: calcon (#5)

cruz just hired a bush for his campaign

I don't think I'd trust anyone in the Bush family with any of my money.

There are three kinds of people in the world: those that can add and those that can't

cranky  posted on  2016-03-08   17:25:22 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: cranky (#0)

This idea has yet to be tested, you just can't transfer voters because they didn't vote for Dump, what isn't at play yet is who he would choose as a VP candidate and that could be decisive

paraclete  posted on  2016-03-08   17:28:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: paraclete (#7)

This idea has yet to be tested, you just can't transfer voters because they didn't vote for Dump, what isn't at play yet is who he would choose as a VP candidate and that could be decisive

What seems to be a theme among the anti-Trumps is that Trump has plateaued and as candidates drop out, Cruz picks up support while Trump stays the same.

There are three kinds of people in the world: those that can add and those that can't

cranky  posted on  2016-03-08   17:41:06 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: cranky, Hillary Rodham Trump (#8) (Edited)

as candidates drop out, Cruz picks up support while Trump stays the same

Progressive globalist Rubio and Kasich supporters are most likely to go to the NYC libtard Trump or his soulmate Hillary Rodham.

Clinton/Trump 2016, New World Disorder


The D&R terrorists hate us because we're free, to vote second party
"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Hondo68  posted on  2016-03-08   17:54:25 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: hondo68 (#9)

Progressive globalist Rubio and Kasich supporters are most likely to go to the NYC libtard Trump or his soulmate Hillary Rodham.

As far as delegates go, I think most of both Rubio's and Kasich's would go to Cruz.

In the general election, I'd expect Kasich followers to stay at home or vote for Hildebeest rather than vote for Trump.

There are three kinds of people in the world: those that can add and those that can't

cranky  posted on  2016-03-08   18:30:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: cranky (#8)

What seems to be a theme among the anti-Trumps is that Trump has plateaued and as candidates drop out, Cruz picks up support while Trump stays the same.

I think that idea is weak on current results, you see it is based on percentages and thus far all you could say is the bleed is shared equally. The idea that more are against him than for him doesn't fly because it hasn't been tested in a two horse race, you don't know the preferences of the other voters or even if they would turn out

paraclete  posted on  2016-03-08   18:58:39 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: paraclete (#11)

I think that idea is weak on current results, you see it is based on percentages and thus far all you could say is the bleed is shared equally. The idea that more are against him than for him doesn't fly because it hasn't been tested in a two horse race, you don't know the preferences of the other voters or even if they would turn out

What makes you think that ? Trump peaked at 35% -40% no matter how many candidates are in the contest . The big factor so far has been open and closed primaries. In contests where Dems are allowed to vote in Republican primaries Trump has done well. In primaries where only Republicans can vote Cruz has done better .

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count .html

"If you do not take an interest in the affairs of your government, then you are doomed to live under the rule of fools." Plato

tomder55  posted on  2016-03-08   19:45:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: nolu chan (#1)

Illinois votes next week. I can't wait.

In Illinois, Trump is at 32 percent, followed by Cruz with 22 percent, Rubio with 21 percent and Kasich with 18 percent.

Mark Kirk, the anti-second amendment, sanctuary city supporting, and funder of Planned Parenthood is facing a primary challenge. Hopefully we can throw him out.

misterwhite  posted on  2016-03-08   20:51:18 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: tomder55 (#12)

Tom the idea that more are against Dump than with him applies even more so to the other candidates it applies also to the peak. If democrats are voting for Dump it indicates they don't like Hilliary or consider their race a foregone conclusion. what is seen here is consistancy which he may be able to translate into victory

paraclete  posted on  2016-03-08   22:07:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: cranky (#2)

Fl looks set to go Trump but Kasich is still leading in the Ohio polls, I think.

But I wouldn't be surprised if Trump takes Oh.

RCP indicates PPP shows Trump leads Kasich 38-35 (+3) in Ohio, and Quinnipiac shows Trump leads Kasich 31-26 (+5). It is very close, but Trump continues to hold a slight lead.

Cruz shows as 15/21 and Rubio is 13/5.

Rubio may well be gone after two single digit results tonight. Getting whomped in FL would be an embarrassment. If Rubio leaves, that would help Kasich.

nolu chan  posted on  2016-03-08   23:20:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: tomder55 (#12)

What makes you think that ? Trump peaked at 35% -40% no matter how many candidates are in the contest . The big factor so far has been open and closed primaries. In contests where Dems are allowed to vote in Republican primaries Trump has done well. In primaries where only Republicans can vote Cruz has done better .

Truth be told you didn't tell the truth.

Trump has received more then 40 percent in multiple states.

Cruz has not done better then Trump except in 4 states. Those 4 states aren't the only states that doesn't have cross over voting.

You should be honest. Or better informed.

A K A Stone  posted on  2016-03-09   6:58:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: tomder55 (#12)

What makes you think that ? Trump peaked at 35% -40% no matter how many candidates are in the contest . The big factor so far has been open and closed primaries. In contests where Dems are allowed to vote in Republican primaries Trump has done well. In primaries where only Republicans can vote Cruz has done better .

Why does Trump have more delegates then Romney or McCain at this point?

A K A Stone  posted on  2016-03-09   7:01:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: A K A Stone (#17)

Why does Trump have more delegates then Romney or McCain at this point?

You are talking about the 2016 election? Romney and Mccain are not contesting the nomination at this point

paraclete  posted on  2016-03-09   7:53:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: nolu chan (#15) (Edited)

Getting whomped in FL would be an embarrassment.

I've read it could be a career-ender, at least to elected office.

Presumably, appointed positions would still be available.

There are three kinds of people in the world: those that can add and those that can't

cranky  posted on  2016-03-09   8:20:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: A K A Stone (#16)

Cruz has not done better then Trump except in 4 states. Those 4 states aren't the only states that doesn't have cross over voting.

You should be honest. Or better informed.

I am honest and informed . I was talking about closed primaries. Before yesterday Cruz won closed primaries/caucus in Iowa ,Alaska ,Oklahoma and Kansas .

Trump won Nevada.

Yesterday he did better picking up the closed primary states of Kentucky and Lousiana . Cruz picked up Idaho .

So in closed contests Cruz as a 5-3 advantage.

The reason I mentioned it was because there are closed contest states with a lot of delegates before the season is over .

"If you do not take an interest in the affairs of your government, then you are doomed to live under the rule of fools." Plato

tomder55  posted on  2016-03-09   11:34:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: tomder55 (#20) (Edited)

So in closed contests Cruz as a 5-3 advantage.

The real question here Tom is whether the will of the people will win through, or whether the faceless men will decide the outcome in smoke filled back rooms. Donald Dump is a popular candidate but not a party man, not a team player. What you have been telling us is real republicans want Cruz, but the people seem to have decided they don't want this election to be hijacked as it has been in the past. Do you think they have twigged to the fact that democracy isn't the will of the people afterall?

paraclete  posted on  2016-03-09   18:00:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: paraclete (#21)

The real question here Tom is whether the will of the people will win through, or whether the faceless men will decide the outcome in smoke filled back rooms. Donald Dump is a popular candidate but not a party man, not a team player. What you have been telling us is real republicans want Cruz, but the people seem to have decided they don't want this election to be hijacked as it has been in the past. Do you think they have twigged to the fact that democracy isn't the will of the people afterall?

This isn't about the will of the people. This is who the party picks as a nominee. I think open primaries corrupt the process. Why would either party allow their nominee to be selected by people registered to the other party ? It's insane ! .

I haven't been telling you who real Republicans want . I have been telling you who this conservative prefers from the remaining candidates .

Trump is a populist demagogue who has memorized a few slogans . When his positions are challenged he resorts to elementary school insults. He is a lot of things and takes a lot of contradictory positions . What I know from years of watching his act here in NY is that he is not conservative.

"If you do not take an interest in the affairs of your government, then you are doomed to live under the rule of fools." Plato

tomder55  posted on  2016-03-09   19:31:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#23. To: tomder55 (#22)

This isn't about the will of the people. This is who the party picks as a nominee.

Then why isn't voting confined to registered members of the Party?

You see Tom this process has the venier of democracy, but in the background the party has decided that a particular candidate should not be selected. There may be good reasons for that, personally, I think he is dangerous because he is likely to govern by fiat, and he is a crony of the Clintons. What will be interesting will be if he manages to get 51% of the votes, he would actually make a good VP for Hilliary

paraclete  posted on  2016-03-09   21:04:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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