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Title: Why Iran Believes ISIS is a U.S. Creation
Source: Time (yeah, it still exists in dental offices)
URL Source: http://time.com/3720081/isis-iran-us-creation/
Published: Feb 26, 2015
Author: Kay Armin Serjoie
Post Date: 2015-03-01 08:09:05 by Tooconservative
Keywords: None
Views: 19129
Comments: 91

"We believe that the West has been influential in the creation of ISIS"

Iran has taken a lead role in defending the regime of Syrian President Bashar Assad and strengthening the Baghdad government in the war against the Islamic State of Iraq and Greater Syria (ISIS). But that doesn’t mean Iran views the United States as an ally in that war, even if they share a common enemy in ISIS.

Abdullah Ganji, the managing-director of Javan newspaper, which is believed to closely reflect the views of the government and the powerful Iranian Revolutionary Guards, says that U.S. support for ISIS is in fact a way of ensuring Israel’s security and disrupting the Muslim world in the cause of advancing Western interests.

“We believe that the West has been influential in the creation of ISIS for a number of reasons. First to engage Muslims against each other, to waste their energy and in this way Israel’s security would be guaranteed or at least enhanced,” says Ganji. “Secondly, an ugly, violent and homicidal face of Islam is presented to the world. And third, to create an inconvenience for Iran.”

Iran’s relations with the U.S. have been strained since the 1979 Islamic Revolution ousted the U.S.-backed Shah of Iran and negotiations are currently underway between Iran and Western nations, including the U.S., to ensure the Islamic Republic does not produce nuclear weapons.

Ganji went on to say that much of ISIS — its propaganda, structure and weapons — were all the work of the West. “A group that claims to be an Islamic one and has no sensitivity towards occupied Muslim lands in Palestine but is bent on killing Muslims as its first priority, it’s not a movement with roots in Islamic history. Not only many of its weapons but its methods of operation, its propaganda methods and many of its internal structures are Western, that’s why we are distrustful of the roots of ISIS,” he says.

“As the Supreme Leader [Ayatollah Khamenei] also said, [the coalition forces] have on a number of times even made weapon drops for ISIS. How is it that they have laser-guided precision munitions and bombs but drop weapons for the wrong people? And not only once but at least a number of times,” he says, referring to incidents when weapons dropped from U.S. aircraft landed in ISIS-controlled areas rather than the intended Kurdish-controlled areas.

“Iran cannot cooperate with the United States against ISIS because it doesn’t trust America, it doesn’t believe in their honesty in combatting ISIS. Iran can’t trust the U.S. to begin something and to continue to the end. It acts patronizingly and will change its path whenever it feels it is justified. We are also worried that the U.S. is using ISIS as a pretext to return its troops into Iraq,” Ganji says. “I believe that the U.S. prefers a weak ISIS that cannot be a major threat but will still cause inconvenience for Iran, Iraq and Syria and generally what they themselves called the Shiite crescent.”


Poster Comment:

I've read other reports that, across the Mideast, it is the majority view that ISIS is an American creation. Here, the Iranians make those accusations their official position.

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#1. To: TooConservative (#0)

The USA stirs up trouble, everywhere. There is no good reason for the USA to be militariy or politically involved half-way around the world meddling in the affairs of others.

Pridie.Nones  posted on  2015-03-01   8:29:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Pridie.Nones (#1)

There is no good reason for the USA to be militariy or politically involved half-way around the world meddling in the affairs of others.

I wouldn't go that far. We have always had foreign interests to protect going back to the early decades of the Republic.

But that is no excuse to turn the Mideast in a shootout at the OK Corral. The neocons often talk about it in terms of being like the Wild West, like they can just go in and shoot things up and it will all turn out so well ("greeted as liberators", Arab Spring, etc.). They actually discuss it among themselves in these terms. Appalling. And it is an obvious subtext in the warmongering rhetoric we hear from a number of these GOP candidates as they try to win favor (and hundreds of millions) in the Sheldon Adelson Primary.

I posted this in response to another poster who was discussing why Shi'a Iran hadn't gotten involved in driving Sunni ISIS from Shi'a Iraq, despite Iran's proximity to Iraq.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   9:56:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: TooConservative, Pridie.Nones (#2)

I've read other reports that, across the Mideast, it is the majority view that ISIS is an American creation.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/1670089.stm

Al-Qaeda's origins and links

BBC News
Last Updated: Tuesday, 20 July, 2004, 18:34 GMT 19:34 UK

Al-Qaeda, meaning "the base", was created in 1989 as Soviet forces withdrew from Afghanistan and Osama Bin Laden and his colleagues began looking for new jihads.

The organisation grew out of the network of Arab volunteers who had gone to Afghanistan in the 1980s to fight under the banner of Islam against Soviet Communism.

During the anti-Soviet jihad Bin Laden and his fighters received American and Saudi funding. Some analysts believe Bin Laden himself had security training from the CIA.

[snip]

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/oct/02/isis-al-qaida-obama-administration-argument-same-strikes-break

Obama maintains Al-Qaida and Isis are 'one and the same' despite evidence of schism

Counter-terrorism veterans question Obama administration rationale for strikes based on argument that rupture between groups is irrelevant

Spencer Ackerman in New York
The Guardian
Thursday 2 October 2014 15.57 EDT

The Obama administration is publicly conflating the Islamic State (Isis) and al-Qaida, taking a legally convenient position for its new war that dismisses a major public split between the two jihadist organizations.

While several US officials contend the rupture between Isis and al-Qaida is irrelevant – Secretary of State John Kerry has mocked it as a “publicity stunt” – the administration line undercuts its previous distinctions between al-Qaida’s core leadership, various affiliates and unrelated terrorist groups.

Amongst counter-terrorism veterans, the conflation is considered tendentious – and, to some, reminiscent of the Bush administration’s exaggerated linkages between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaida, part of the language that tried to sell the 2003 Iraq invasion.

While Isis began life as al-Qaida in Iraq, al-Qaida’s leadership ultimately renounced all ties and condemned the group in February 2014. It is believed to be the first time al-Qaida has declared itself “not responsible” for a former affiliate.

[snip]

nolu chan  posted on  2015-03-01   11:18:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: nolu chan, redleghunter, Pericles, Deckard, Vicomte13 (#3)

During the anti-Soviet jihad Bin Laden and his fighters received American and Saudi funding. Some analysts believe Bin Laden himself had security training from the CIA.

I take this as a given. While we can always claim our former allies have suddenly betrayed us, the international arena is full of various players, many with bad intent, with whom an American president may ally himself and which later comes back to bite us in the ass.

Noriega was an asset as was Saddam who conducted his war against Iran at our instigation and with considerable direct support, like serving as his AWACs and air control support staff (leading to the tragic shootdown of the Iranian airliner and loss of 300 lives for which we paid reparations but have refused to this day to apologize for).

So while it is easy to get conspiratorial over former allies gone bad (from our present perspective), the truth is that history is actually full of temporary alliances of convenience since we all know that old saying that "the enemy of my enemy is my friend". But after you and your ally dispatch that enemy and the reason for your alliance ends, you may very well find your former ally has become your new enemy because he is filling the power vacuum left by displacing your common enemy.

In this way, the enemy of your enemy can become your new enemy as he fills that political/strategic vacuum that results from the success of your joint operation against a common enemy.

Geez, that's as boring as some War College paper and as dry as a Rand Corporation document from the Cold War. But it is still true. We are as subject to these ironic twists as any Great Power has ever been. We are not exempt from history's many ironies. And it does still sound like a lame excuse.

It really is part and parcel of being a Great Power and especially for any sprawling intercontinental empire.

Obama maintains Al-Qaida and Isis are 'one and the same' despite evidence of schism

He utters similarly bizarre remarks all the time. What is really worrisome are the indicators that he actually does believe this, not that he's just lying to the American public again to cover his ass over some shameful and incompetent conduct of foreign policy, like his recent climate change agreement with China or his new awful deal with Cuba.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   11:37:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: TooConservative (#0)

Jimmy Carter invented the democratic muslims, and also long gas lines and alternate day rationing.

The dreaded fireside chats

Yes, you could listen to Carter on the radio, while waiting in the gas line. A real bummer.


The D&R terrorists hate us because we're free, to vote second party

"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Hondo68  posted on  2015-03-01   12:05:55 ET  (2 images) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: hondo68 (#5)

Yes, you could listen to Carter on the radio, while waiting in the gas line. A real bummer.

I'll probably have nightmares tonight about being attacked by killer rabbits wearing cardigan sweaters.

Thanks a lot, you prick.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   12:14:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: TooConservative (#2)

We have always had foreign interests to protect going back to the early decades of the Republic.

There is no republic.

Since WW2 (actually since the creation of the CIA) America has been entrenched in foreign intrigue on a massive scale. We shall never know the true measure of performance or the value thereof but we can guestimate it; the world is as dangerous as ever, indicating not just a waste of US tax dollars but complete failure of operations.

The American People deserve better than this military/political voyeurism and yet they vote for the same ol' shit, year after year.

Pridie.Nones  posted on  2015-03-01   12:40:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: Pridie.Nones, TooConservative, Hondo68, Stoner (#1)

The USA stirs up trouble, everywhere. There is no good reason for the USA to be militariy or politically involved half-way around the world meddling in the affairs of others.

The National-Security State’s ISIS Racket

“Truth is treason in the empire of lies.” - Ron Paul
Americans who have no experience with, or knowledge of, tyranny believe that only terrorists will experience the unchecked power of the state. They will believe this until it happens to them, or their children, or their friends.
Paul Craig Roberts

Deckard  posted on  2015-03-01   12:48:50 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: TooConservative (#4)

We are not exempt from history's many ironies

Are you denying the Doctrine of Exceptionalism?

A Pole  posted on  2015-03-01   12:51:15 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: TooConservative, tomder55 (#2)

I posted this in response to another poster who was discussing why Shi'a Iran hadn't gotten involved in driving Sunni ISIS from Shi'a Iraq, despite Iran's proximity to Iraq.

I explained it on the other thread.

1. The Persians know how far they can push their Arab Shia allies.

2. Persians wait for Arabs to finish killing each other. No matter Islamic affiliations.

Iran also had (probably still has) dealings with Sunni terror and insurgent groups. 2007-2009 when Maliki showed some independence from Tehran we started seeing EFP IED attacks on Iraqi security forces in Sunni areas. Interesting that the devices used were Iranian made.

It's a lot more untidy over there than many want to admit.

Iran wants uninterrupted rat lines to Hezbollah. The rise of ISIL challenges their freedom of maneuver and interior lines. Of course they will blame the US.

"Now godliness with contentment is great gain. For we brought nothing into this world, and it is certain we can carry nothing out." (1 Timothy 6:6-7)

redleghunter  posted on  2015-03-01   13:14:56 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: TooConservative, All (#0)

Abdullah Ganji, the managing-director of Javan newspaper, which is believed to closely reflect the views of the government and the powerful Iranian Revolutionary Guards, says that U.S. support for ISIS is in fact a way of ensuring Israel’s security and disrupting the Muslim world in the cause of advancing Western interests.

“We believe that the West has been influential in the creation of ISIS for a number of reasons. First to engage Muslims against each other, to waste their energy and in this way Israel’s security would be guaranteed or at least enhanced,” says Ganji. “Secondly, an ugly, violent and homicidal face of Islam is presented to the world. And third, to create an inconvenience for Iran.”

Tres Orwellian.

Perhaps this is why Obama is guaranteeing that Iran will develop nukes?

потому что Бог хочет это тот путь

SOSO  posted on  2015-03-01   13:47:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: A Pole (#9)

Are you denying the Doctrine of Exceptionalism?

Always have.

A famous fake quote attributed to various Brit pols was "Britain has no permanent allies, only permanent interests".

This is a shortened misquote of a speech by a lesser-known pol of the 19th century British empire, Henry Temple, Third Viscount Palmerston. Palmerston was the closest thing to a Churchill type in Britain through much of the nineteen century:

  • I hold with respect to alliances, that England is a Power sufficiently strong, sufficiently powerful, to steer her own course, and not to tie herself as an unnecessary appendage to the policy of any other Government. I hold that the real policy of England—apart from questions which involve her own particular interests, political or commercial—is to be the champion of justice and right; pursuing that course with moderation and prudence, not becoming the Quixote of the world, but giving the weight of her moral sanction and support wherever she thinks that justice is, and wherever she thinks that wrong has been done...I say that it is a narrow policy to suppose that this country or that is to be marked out as the eternal ally or the perpetual enemy of England. We have no eternal allies, and we have no perpetual enemies. Our interests are eternal and perpetual, and those interests it is our duty to follow...And if I might be allowed to express in one sentence the principle which I think ought to guide an English Minister, I would adopt the expression of Canning, and say that with every British Minister the interests of England ought to be the shibboleth of his policy.
    • Speech to the House of Commons (1 March 1848).

Wise words. But his attitude toward certain rebellious current and former colonies should curb our admiration for him:

  • It is in the highest degree likely that the North will not be able to subdue the south, and it is no doubt certain that if the Southern union is established as an independent state it would afford a valuable and extensive market for British manufactures but the operations of the war have as yet been too indecisive to warrant an acknowledgement of the southern union.
    • Letter to Sir Austen Henry Layard (20 October 1861), quoted in Jasper Ridley, Lord Palmerston (London: Constable, 1970), p. 552.
  • Great Britain is in a better state than at any former time to inflict a severe blow upon and to read a lesson to the United States which will not soon be forgotten.
    • Letter to Queen Victoria (5 December 1861), quoted in Jasper Ridley, Lord Palmerston (London: Constable, 1970), p. 554.
  • It is difficult not to come to the conclusion that the rabid hatred of England which animates the exiled Irishmen who direct almost all the Northern newspapers, will so excite the masses as to make it impossible for Lincoln and Seward to grant our demands; and we must therefore look forward to war as the probable result.
    • Letter to John Russell (6 December 1861), quoted in Jasper Ridley, Lord Palmerston (London: Constable, 1970), p. 554.
  • As to the American [Civil] War it has manifestly ceased to have any attainable object as far as the Northerns are concerned, except to get rid of some more thousand troublesome Irish and Germans. It must be owned, however, that the Anglo-Saxon race on both sides have shown courage and endurance highly honourable to their stock.

Cold-blooded bastige.     : )

I like Lord Acton much more.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   14:00:53 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: redleghunter (#10)

It's a lot more untidy over there than many want to admit.

Unfortunately, from the perspective of the average Iraqi, it's been a long slide downhill in security and prosperity and confidence that your neighbors, regardless of sect, aren't just going to murder you suddenly.

Saddam was brutal but he kept the peace in Iraq for a long time. Maybe people are starting to better understand why he was so utterly ruthless with the woodchippers.

Tell me, if you captured some of these known ISIS killers of other Muslims and Christians and Westerners as well as Vandals of the rare artifacts and antiquities of ancient empires and their cults (which have been gone for many centuries), would you be tempted to do the same as Saddam did if there was a handy nearby woodchipper? I know I would. Let them pass over to Paradise and their 72 virgins in 7200 separate bloody pieces. And even that is too good for these scum.

The Mideast is a very brutal place. Sometimes you can't have a civil society with any human rights if you don't have an ultra-hardass running the country, willing to be every bit as brutal as his government's internal enemies.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   14:08:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: TooConservative (#12)

...that if the Southern union is established as an independent state it would afford a valuable and extensive market for British manufactures...

The Southern cotton which made its way to Northern looms would have become in import had the South broken loose, subject to tariffs. There is no way the South could have taken Northern markets for granted if she was no longer in the Union, and in the long run she would have lost protected access to the greatest market on Earth, for free trade where she had a commodity to sell in competition with other producers.

She would have been like the nations who's prosperity rises and fall on the price of commodities, such as the West African producers of peanuts. Northern industry may have even financed the expansion of cotton cultivation to other regions such as Brazil and Egypt to supply the needs of the remaining United States. The tariff system may have also encouraged the production of flax and hemp instead of cotton.

The South would have ended up trading away two birds in the hand for one in the bush. And a United States looking to settle scores with Britain may have cast its eyes north.

nativist nationalist  posted on  2015-03-01   14:23:55 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: TooConservative (#13)

Saddam was brutal but he kept the peace in Iraq for a long time. Maybe people are starting to better understand why he was so utterly ruthless with the woodchippers.

Since we are quoting British statesmen:

“Men are qualified for civil liberty in exact proportion to their disposition to put moral chains on their own appetites—in proportion as their love to justice is above their rapacity;—in proportion as their soundness and sobriety of understanding is above their vanity and presumption;—in proportion as they are more disposed to listen to the counsels of the wise and good, in preference to the flattery of knaves. Society cannot exist unless a controlling power upon will and appetite be placed somewhere, and the less of it there is within, the more there is without. It is ordained in the eternal constitution of things that men of intemperate minds cannot be free. Their passions forge their fetters.”

(Edmund Burke, A Letter From Mr. Burke To A Member Of The National Assembly, 1791.)

As we can see, people in these places are incapable of placing moral chains upon their appetites. Therefore there are guys like Saddam and Assad who must impose the chains.

nativist nationalist  posted on  2015-03-01   14:28:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: nativist nationalist, TooConservative, All (#15)

As we can see, people in these places are incapable of placing moral chains upon their appetites. Therefore there are guys like Saddam and Assad who must impose the chains.

Ah, the Might Makes Right argument. Let's all sing now, boys and girls: Here we go around the merry go round, the merry go round the merry go round.........

потому что Бог хочет это тот путь

SOSO  posted on  2015-03-01   14:43:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: nativist nationalist (#14)

The Southern cotton which made its way to Northern looms would have become in import had the South broken loose, subject to tariffs. There is no way the South could have taken Northern markets for granted if she was no longer in the Union, and in the long run she would have lost protected access to the greatest market on Earth, for free trade where she had a commodity to sell in competition with other producers.

All good points.

I was mostly trying to show that these adages we all quote and which inform our most fundamental ideas about history and foreign policy often have a checkered and even garbled history. And that even when we admire the thinker who originated them, all such persons are inevitably products of their own era and culture and political/economic system and their opinions proceed from those first assumptions.

He was a fiery old bastard and very smart, very ruthless. Worth noting at any rate.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   16:51:11 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: SOSO (#16)

Let's all sing now, boys and girls: Here we go around the merry go round, the merry go round the merry go round...

Even so, I notice that Egypt seems much more content with their new general/president.

Al-Sisi is the new Mubarak. And it looks like another long-term marriage to me. Unless the hotheads manage to just shoot him. No doubt, they'll try and he knows what happened to Sadat.

Isn't that the lone happy outcome from any of these miserable Arab Spring debacles our president and our secretaries of state and our precious neocon pundits and major publications sang the virtues of so thoroughly before those countries went down in flames to Islamic fundamentalists?

Seriously, Bush and Obama do deserve to be prosecuted at the Hague. I'd toss in Hitlery to boot but Lurch Kerry isn't guilty enough to join them in the docket. He's just stupid and insufferably arrogant, not a war criminal.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   16:55:04 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: nativist nationalist (#15)

As we can see, people in these places are incapable of placing moral chains upon their appetites. Therefore there are guys like Saddam and Assad who must impose the chains.

It is a good example of why Christianity always urged lawfulness to its subjects. In the Roman empire and under oppressive governments such as those found in the modern Mideast, it proved essential to their survival.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   16:57:06 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: SOSO (#11)

Tres Orwellian.

Maybe. These people recall the Crusades with the kind of resentments and suspicion that you would think they had occurred a generation ago.

It's a region where they don't just hold grudges, they nurse them lovingly. Much the same is true of large swaths of eastern Europe and Russia.

Sometimes remembering too much the tragedies of the past lead to new tragedies in a cycle of violence.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   16:59:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: TooConservative (#20)

These people recall the Crusades with the kind of resentments and suspicion that you would think they had occurred a generation ago.

Sometimes remembering too much the tragedies of the past lead to new tragedies in a cycle of violence.

Once again, let's all sing now, boys and girls: Here we go around the merry go round, the merry go round the merry go round.........

This insane cycle never ends. So if it comes down to them or us, I choose us. If sanity cannot prevail among Mussie fanatics then I what us to use our might to make right. Let God sought them out.

потому что Бог хочет это тот путь

SOSO  posted on  2015-03-01   17:05:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: TooConservative (#18)

Isn't that the lone happy outcome from any of these miserable Arab Spring debacles our president and our secretaries of state and our precious neocon pundits and major publications sang the virtues of so thoroughly before those countries went down in flames to Islamic fundamentalists?

There is no doubt in my mind that the only reasonably viable solution to the current ISIS version Islamic stir-up short of an all out modern version of an East-West Holy War is a decisive Civil War within Islam in which those on the side of modernity triumph. Unfortunately there is not much doubt in my mind that the preferred victor in that Civil War would not be much more tolerate of other religions and would still pursue Islamic dominance over the world.

So the $64,000 question is, what to do about nationalistic Islamic fundamentalism? There seems little basis for peaceful coexistence.

потому что Бог хочет это тот путь

SOSO  posted on  2015-03-01   17:15:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#23. To: nativist nationalist (#15)

Since we are quoting British statesmen:

Yeah, but I had a great tangential quote on Anglo-Saxon racial supremacy. As well as a true expression of Brit attitudes toward Germans and especially Irish persons.    : )

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   17:30:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: TooConservative, GarySpFc (#13)

Tell me, if you captured some of these known ISIS killers of other Muslims and Christians and Westerners as well as Vandals of the rare artifacts and antiquities of ancient empires and their cults (which have been gone for many centuries), would you be tempted to do the same as Saddam did if there was a handy nearby woodchipper? I know I would. Let them pass over to Paradise and their 72 virgins in 7200 separate bloody pieces. And even that is too good for these scum.

As it turns out in the three to five years leading up to the 2003 invasion of Iraq, Uday and Qusay Hussein were more in charge than Saddam. He spilt the security of Iraq in half between his sons. Where Qusay was more like his father in understanding the inner workings of external and internal security, Uday entertained high level Jihadi front men. Uday knew Saddam would leave Iraq to his more sane and satisfying brother. So he started years before OIF reaching out to Sunni groups who could challenge his brother or at least provide some protection for him if Qusay decided his torture happy megalomaniac brother got out of hand.

In the mid 90s Uday formed and trained the Fedayeen Saddam. The secret police guerilla unit grew to such an importance that Saddam replaced Uday with his brother fearing his son was becoming too powerful. As we saw in the weeks leading up to OIF the Fedayeen Saddam were placed in strategic locations throughout Iraq especially in Shia southern Iraq. What started out as a unit of Iraqi Sunni loyalists expanded to expat Palestinians and foreign fighters. The tats on some of the FS we captured painted the picture to confirm this. Then they melted in the background to become the Sunni insurgency and most folding under AQI by 2004.

A messy deal indeed. So much can be said if an aging Saddam really had full control of Iraq's military at the time of the invasion. That his sons were struggling control of the various pieces Saddam usually had sole control of. The key to all these despots is the Praetorian Guard or in this case the Republican Guard. Most good analysts of Saddam knew he would never let his RG turn tail and run. The confusion of who was in charge (Qusay?) of deploying the RG is still somewhat of a mystery.

But it is no mystery why coalition forces prioritized Saddam's sons capture/kill before Saddam.

"Now godliness with contentment is great gain. For we brought nothing into this world, and it is certain we can carry nothing out." (1 Timothy 6:6-7)

redleghunter  posted on  2015-03-01   17:49:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#25. To: SOSO, redleghunter (#22)

So the $64,000 question is, what to do about nationalistic Islamic fundamentalism? There seems little basis for peaceful coexistence.

It is a bit narrower than that.

ISIS represents a brutal Sunni caliphate, fully ready to wage offensive war to subdue new lands to Sunni Islam (Wahhabism, Salafism, the harsh Islam of conquest and forcible conversion). So no Christians, no Shi'a or others meaning no Druze, no Alawites (Assad's sect), no Ismailis (the formerly majority version of Shi'ia Islam), no pre-Islamic Yahzidi (ethnic Kurd) mountain tribesmen (whose ancient pagan symbols adorn the Islamic flag of the Kurds, unique to Islamic states). And not even the other varieties of Sunni Muslims are safe from ISIS. For instance, it is hard to imagine they have any warm regards for Sufism which is the kind of Islam most compatible with the West. So Wahhabist/Salafist (Sunni) ISIS is never going to have much in common with the far more philosophical Sufi sects who have good claims to a philosophy that is Islamic but with pre-Islamic elements.

And as bizarre as that dizzying recitation of historical, cultural, sectarian and tribal litany was, I actually only mentioned some of the better known groups from the region. My list is quite abbreviated. Just figuring out ethnicity and religion in the Mideast and understanding the history to try to understand them all is quite a job for anyone. It's a crazy jumble of religion, ethnicity, nationality, much as Reformation Europe became for a few centuries.

It does seem unfair we have to learn so much about these unimportant pissants of the Mideast. So little redeeming quality remaining of the ancient empires of the region who at least managed peaceful trade and relative domestic tranquility and a stable social order.

If I didn't get those mostly straight in my accounting, perhaps redleghunter could offer corrections.

The oil patch just is not a simple place. We ain't in Kansas any more, Toto.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   17:52:12 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#26. To: redleghunter (#24)

Then they melted in the background to become the Sunni insurgency and most folding under AQI by 2004.

Royalist usurpers turning traitors who ended brigands and rebels against occupation forces and against Shi'a majority rule in Baghdad.

And now they've become the multinational ISIS.

I've read of this before but you have a great recall of the details. I recall thinking that Saddam was trying to find a way not to have to kill his son. But we also recall the execution of a minister in the palace by Saddam or the execution of Saddam's son-in-law after he defected to Jordan but sought pardon and returned, only to be killed immediately.

Understanding Saddam and his reliance on his wife's family, the Tulfah family, is essential to understanding how much a clannish family operation Saddam's Iraq was. Including a lot of intermarriage from people who came from the Tikrit area, Saddam's hometown.

To find a comparison, you might think of JFK and his prominent import of Harvard intellectual types into his administration. Or Jimmuh Carter who brought a small army of Georgians to Washington D.C. with him. Even Obama has his Jarrett.

Saddam's clannishness went way beyond that of any modern presidents.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   18:05:28 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#27. To: SOSO (#22)

There is no doubt in my mind that the only reasonably viable solution to the current ISIS version Islamic stir-up short of an all out modern version of an East-West Holy War is a decisive Civil War within Islam in which those on the side of modernity triumph.

They need to start with a Sunni-Shia version of the Thirty Years War, three decades of war that leaves the Middle East like Germany in 1848, with a quarter of the population when the war began in 1618. We should do nothing that would interfere with such a beautiful outcome.

nativist nationalist  posted on  2015-03-01   18:15:05 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#28. To: TooConservative (#25)

It does seem unfair we have to learn so much about these unimportant pissants of the Mideast. So little redeeming quality remaining of the ancient empires of the region who at least managed peaceful trade and relative domestic tranquility and a stable social order.

There are the Senussi in Libya. One thing about Islam is that it is very prone to have a schism, some guy claims to be the Mahdi and a bunch of guys follow him. I believe the Baha'i started out that way. Saudi Arabia is the worst, if we're really serious about dealing with Islam we need to deal with our own ruling class that acts in league with the house of Saud.

nativist nationalist  posted on  2015-03-01   18:23:12 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#29. To: nativist nationalist (#28)

There are the Senussi in Libya. One thing about Islam is that it is very prone to have a schism, some guy claims to be the Mahdi and a bunch of guys follow him. I believe the Baha'i started out that way. Saudi Arabia is the worst, if we're really serious about dealing with Islam we need to deal with our own ruling class that acts in league with the house of Saud.

I know I left a lot of them out of my list, I was just trying to go mostly from memory. The Mideast is a crazy quilt of ethnicity/nation/sect/tribe and has been since long before Muhammad. Even after Islam conquered them all, it did not extinguish the tribal/ethnic hatred and having the British general staff draw lines on a map and declare them countries didn't help one bit.

Thanks a lot. Now I have to read some crap about the horribly unimportant Senussi sect in Libya. What a rotten trick for a Sunday afternoon!     : )

Ah, I see now that the Senussi are the Libyan Sufi sect. No surprise, I read about Libya's Sufis and their conflict with the Salafists before. Ghaddafi kept them from any open conflict for decades.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   18:32:22 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#30. To: TooConservative (#25)

You are correct. A lot more Shia variants out there.

Also some of the lesser groups like the Sabeans and Mandaeans.

Interesting history for both. One or both institute full immersion baptism.

"Now godliness with contentment is great gain. For we brought nothing into this world, and it is certain we can carry nothing out." (1 Timothy 6:6-7)

redleghunter  posted on  2015-03-01   19:37:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#31. To: redleghunter (#30) (Edited)

Also some of the lesser groups like the Sabeans and Mandaeans.

I'd only heard of Sabeans in Yemen and never heard a thing about these gnostic Mandaeans until you mentioned them. But it looks like Uncle Sam managed to import some Iraqi/Iranian gnostics with the rest of the hordes:
In 2002 the US State Department granted Iranian Mandaeans protective refugee status; since then roughly 1,000 have emigrated to the US, now residing in cities such as San Antonio, Texas. On the other hand, the Mandaean community in Iran has increased over the last decade, because of the exodus from Iraq of the main Mandaean community, which used to be 60,000–70,000 strong.
I see on the Mandaean wiki page a mention of two more obscure ethnoreligious groups, Roma and Shabaks. What the heck...?

And trying to understand all those nutty tiny remnant Zoroastrian cults and the various cults that synthesize more than one major religion is completely beyond me. Even a cultural anthropologist would get dizzy.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-01   19:56:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#32. To: TooConservative, redleghunter (#25)

The oil patch just is not a simple place. We ain't in Kansas any more, Toto.

Not all in the patch are equally endowed. And the riches of oil are a very new phenomena in your recitation of the history of the region. Who actually owns what? Why? It appears that ISIS would not be the force that it is without its access to the cash that oil brings them.

But more to your point - which IMO elaborates on the reason(s) why the Middle East will be a world of sh*t and therefore an existenail threat to the West for the foreseeable future. The Islamic culture for the most part is alien to Western thought and experience. The prosecution of its grudges are beyond any comprehensible measure of rationality, even to Siclians and Albanians. Its view, if not its hope for the future, is that of looking backwards. It rejects much of the civilized world's embrace of modernity and improvement thereof.

I used to believe that the answer to peaceful coexistance, other than at the ends of two bombs of similarly armed cultures that aimed at the other's each core existance, was simply to sincerely believe and tell each other that "I want for your children the same things that I want for mine." I really believed this up until it became apparent the Islam doesn't want for its daughters what I want for mine. Nor does it want for its sons as I would want for mine.

Perhaps both East and West are corrupt beyond redemption. Perhaps neither pursue the betterment of mankind that strives for a future where liberty, freedom, compassion, justice and tolerance are the overarching values of the society. But as I said, if it comes down to a matter of survival between them or us, I choose us.

Once Iran obtains nukes the world will change forever, and IMO not for the better. I still advocate that if Iran gets nukes the West should proivde the same to every country in the region, and I do mean every one. If your description of the major distrust and animosities among the well delineated tribes in the region it is likley that they would use the nukes to settle ancient scores in their backyard before striking out to gain additional territory.

I am becoming increasingly more of a fan of China for managing to sit on the sidelines and watch the death struggle within the MidEast and between the Mideast and the West play out. China seems to be in the best position to pick up the pieces after the demise of both Mideast and Westerns economies and cultures, whether swiftly by a big boom or evolutionary by economic and cultural degradation. In any evernt, I don't believe that we ave to learn much, if anything, about the important and unimportant pissants of the Mideast. It is incumbant upon them to clean out those that foul in there regional nest - much in the same way the U.S> dealt with the KKK. IMO the West doesn't need to choose sides among the regional players as all will eventually turn on us. IMO the West should do everything in its power to precipate and fuel a major Civil War in the region even if that means aiding and abetting those that we already know are not our friends but are yet not presently aggressive enemies. I do not see any other way or outcome, other than an overt act of God, to resolve what is an ancient problem being fought with modern weapons. The West will eventually have to deal with nationalistic Islam in a most violent way.

"So little redeeming quality remaining of the ancient empires of the region who at least managed peaceful trade and relative domestic tranquility and a stable social order."

I remind you that this so called peaceful trade and relative tranquility and a stable social order came at sword point of a very empirial Islam which literally destroyed some cultures in its pursuits.

потому что Бог хочет это тот путь

SOSO  posted on  2015-03-01   22:51:42 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#33. To: TooConservative (#31)

Yes it is called the land of Babylon for a reason:)

"Now godliness with contentment is great gain. For we brought nothing into this world, and it is certain we can carry nothing out." (1 Timothy 6:6-7)

redleghunter  posted on  2015-03-01   23:01:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#34. To: SOSO (#32)

I used to believe that the answer to peaceful coexistance, other than at the ends of two bombs of similarly armed cultures that aimed at the other's each core existance, was simply to sincerely believe and tell each other that "I want for your children the same things that I want for mine." I really believed this up until it became apparent the Islam doesn't want for its daughters what I want for mine. Nor does it want for its sons as I would want for mine.

You've recognized what Ronald Reagan called the fundamental irrationality of Mideast politics and diplomacy.

A game where the only way to win is not to play. History has rigged it for disaster and tragedy. Brits and Americans have only made it worse.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-02   6:43:36 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#35. To: TooConservative, redleghunter, Pericles, Deckard, Vicomte13 (#4)

I take this as a given. While we can always claim our former allies have suddenly betrayed us, the international arena is full of various players, many with bad intent, with whom an American president may ally himself and which later comes back to bite us in the ass.

The article inquired why Iranians believed the West/ ISIS was created by the U.S.

Abdullah Ganji, the managing-director of Javan newspaper, which is believed to closely reflect the views of the government and the powerful Iranian Revolutionary Guards, says that U.S. support for ISIS is in fact a way of ensuring Israel’s security and disrupting the Muslim world in the cause of advancing Western interests.

“We believe that the West has been influential in the creation of ISIS for a number of reasons.

Iran has experienced a coup run out of the U.S. embassy and war by Iraq funded by the U.S. They are likely to consider that the U.S funded al Qaeda, and that ISIS is derived from al Qaeda, and discount any claims of the U.S.

The alleged acts of ISIS are so outrageous that they scream for a U.S. military involvement in the area. Cui bono? To whose benefit?

nolu chan  posted on  2015-03-02   20:57:28 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#36. To: redleghunter, SOSO, tomder55, sneakypete (#10)

I was watching FNC tonight and they mentioned that, after cancelling the leaked plan to go on offensive against Mosul, now the Iraqis have announced that they will be making a preliminary attack on Tikrit, Saddam's hometown and a hotbed of Ba'athist revanchists and former top members of Saddam's regime (his wife's relatives).

And who is joining these Shi'a militias and the 20,000+ Iraqi army soldiers? Iran's Quds artillery units.

So Iran is going to have boots (or at least artillery) on the ground in assaulting Tikrit. Which leaves me wondering if the plan might be to leave Tikrit in the same shape as Vlad Putin left the Chechen capital, Grozny. IOW, a lifeless moonscape, flattened like a pancake.

And in other news of our ongoing glorious victories, you may recall how we were going to train and arm the "secular Syrian rebels" (actually another bunch of Sunni suspect militia), and we had one specific militia with thousands of fighters signed up for arms and training. Well, they suddenly disbanded today and completely disappeared. And al-Nusra swooped in a scooped up the (old) weapons we had already provided them with.

It's just one happy victory after the next for Commander Barky and his faithful butler, Lurch.

I can only hope that Bibi takes a moment to congratulate Barky and Lurch on these triumphs of their policy during his speech tomorrow. Some withering sarcasm would be epic.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-02   21:32:50 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#37. To: nolu chan (#35)

The article inquired why Iranians believed the West/ ISIS was created by the U.S.

Valid point. I was pursuing the more general charges we hear from the conspiracy-minded that bin Laden was always a CIA asset and that 9/11 was a Bush-directed massacre. As I said, we often ally with unsavory characters against a common enemy and, once that enemy is dispatched, our former ally fills the power vacuum and then turns into our new enemy because they were never our friends to begin with, merely other enemies of our enemy.

So I was debunking the usual conspiracy mongering.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-02   21:37:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#38. To: TooConservative (#36)

Quds artillery is interesting. The Quds have been in Iraq since the late 80s providing training and assistance with a now and then assassination squad.

But rolling out their own artillery is something I have not heard of before.

"Now godliness with contentment is great gain. For we brought nothing into this world, and it is certain we can carry nothing out." (1 Timothy 6:6-7)

redleghunter  posted on  2015-03-02   22:18:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#39. To: TooConservative, redleghunter, SOSO, tomder55, sneakypete (#36) (Edited)

So Iran is going to have boots (or at least artillery) on the ground in assaulting Tikrit. Which leaves me wondering if the plan might be to leave Tikrit in the same shape as Vlad Putin left the Chechen capital, Grozny. IOW, a lifeless moonscape, flattened like a pancake.

Please use the honorific of Putin the Great. Also, Iran is now inside Iraq as an invited armed force.

In olden days Europe such a fiasco by George Bush would be an occasion for an aide-de-camp to give him a hand gun with one bullet, a glass of sherry and an unoccupied room.

Pericles  posted on  2015-03-03   1:25:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#40. To: redleghunter (#38)

But rolling out their own artillery is something I have not heard of before.

Reported on Greta's FNC show tonight. One of the old generals (or colonels) was talking about it. And how America was disinvited from participating or planning for the operation. Which is why they needed the support of Iranian artillery.

Of course, Iraq's government and military have to be eager to show they can defend the country and do something on their own.

Tikrit, the hometown of Saddam and so many of Saddam's top officials, is naturally a hotbed of Sunni/Ba'athist revanchism.

Baghdad may have decided to make an example of Tikrit and what Sunni towns who cooperate with ISIS can expect to happen to them. And they won't want us close by to observe their actions too closely.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-03   4:33:11 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  



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